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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

AUTLAN DE NAVARRO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · AUTLAN DE NAVARRO / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-15

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AUTLAN DE NAVARRO / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-992e20df00ef7985fdc475cc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD41.9%
  • MC25.2%
  • MORENA14.6%
  • PVEM9.0%
  • HAGAMOS4.8%
  • PT0.6%
Results for event-238d4ac4a3e9490584cd0376
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/202412,63741.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/20247,59625.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/20244,40114.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/20242,7239%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/20241,4354.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sad2a71bc3d/20241720.6%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI33.6%
  • MC26.0%
  • MORENA15.8%
  • CAND_IND137.5%
  • PAN4.9%
  • HAGAMOS3.2%
  • FM2.5%
  • CAND_IND41.9%
  • PES0.9%
  • PRD0.7%
  • PT0.6%
  • RSP0.5%
  • FUTURO0.2%
Results for event-00d374eb5b89ca1e0f310ce2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20218,84633.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20216,85226%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20214,17515.8%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND13mexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20211,9837.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20211,3034.9%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20218373.2%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20216522.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20215081.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20212410.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20211750.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20211590.6%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/20211370.5%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S2ebfdfb01f/2021460.2%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES34.3%
  • PAN_PRD_MC33.1%
  • PRI25.0%
  • CAND_IND102.7%
  • PANAL2.3%
  • PVEM2.3%
Results for event-69e7e83f064e44214053781e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S8bdf5785d8/20189,14834.3%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S8bdf5785d8/20188,83433.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S8bdf5785d8/20186,66625%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND10mexico/S8bdf5785d8/20187132.7%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S8bdf5785d8/20186142.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8bdf5785d8/20186042.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.40436403811628, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=7.694682411051943

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5938406297472725,9.40132578373153,26.225659439303964,15.194724485568292,48.58444966164895],[5.02817010110365,34.135988268889406,0.6753106428957321,0.6135679555452651,0,26.441305857837463,16.110982480512465,16.994674693216023],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5938406297472725,9.40132578373153,26.225659439303964,15.194724485568292,48.58444966164895],[5.02817010110365,34.135988268889406,0.6753106428957321,0.6135679555452651,0,26.441305857837463,16.110982480512465,16.994674693216023],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5938406297472725,9.40132578373153,26.225659439303964,15.194724485568292,48.58444966164895],[5.02817010110365,34.135988268889406,0.6753106428957321,0.6135679555452651,0,26.441305857837463,16.110982480512465,16.994674693216023],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-15", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": 856.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AUTLAN DE NAVARRO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-15. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sad2a71bc3d, mexico--S2ebfdfb01f, mexico--S8bdf5785d8.