Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TUXCUECA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TUXCUECA / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-108

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TUXCUECA / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-47e982fcce48828398e14145
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC51.2%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO36.7%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD9.7%
Results for event-2c75b3a7e38142650ecd9c7f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S9786a7ee73/20242,08351.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S9786a7ee73/20241,49436.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S9786a7ee73/20243969.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM25.5%
  • MC24.4%
  • PAN13.3%
  • PES10.0%
  • FM6.1%
  • PT6.0%
  • PRI5.7%
  • PRD5.3%
  • MORENA2.1%
  • HAGAMOS0.3%
Results for event-080cecec6b8b754d3de9fd6f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/202199325.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/202194724.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/202151913.3%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/202138710%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/20212366.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/20212326%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb9a5842d1d/20212235.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/20212085.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/2021832.1%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/Sb9a5842d1d/2021110.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI36.8%
  • MC27.4%
  • PAN23.8%
  • PT_MORENA_ES4.3%
  • PRD2.4%
  • PANAL2.1%
  • PVEM0.4%
Results for event-c110740585f25c211d28d7ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/20181,36336.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/20181,01327.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/201887923.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/20181604.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/2018872.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/2018762.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sbc6b1c1f95/2018150.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

48.860–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.82506921721621, oldest_gap=9.741163373225714, previous_gap=1.1982287053920295

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,52.42889504153033,0,47.571104958469675],[13.519145610836155,5.808804376139619,5.4180776243813495,6.043240427194582,25.8661109663975,24.66788226100547,2.162021359729096,16.514717374316227],[24.464236014472586,37.93487336487615,2.421374895630392,0,0.41747843028110215,28.193709991650433,0,6.56832730308934]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,52.42889504153033,0,47.571104958469675],[13.519145610836155,5.808804376139619,5.4180776243813495,6.043240427194582,25.8661109663975,24.66788226100547,2.162021359729096,16.514717374316227],[24.464236014472586,37.93487336487615,2.421374895630392,0,0.41747843028110215,28.193709991650433,0,6.56832730308934]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,52.42889504153033,0,47.571104958469675],[13.519145610836155,5.808804376139619,5.4180776243813495,6.043240427194582,25.8661109663975,24.66788226100547,2.162021359729096,16.514717374316227],[24.464236014472586,37.93487336487615,2.421374895630392,0,0.41747843028110215,28.193709991650433,0,6.56832730308934]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TUXCUECA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-108. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9786a7ee73, mexico--Sb9a5842d1d, mexico--Sbc6b1c1f95.