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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINERAL DEL CHICO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · MINERAL DEL CHICO / HIDALGO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-13-38

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINERAL DEL CHICO / HIDALGO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-fab40f53de33a145db8ece04
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_PAN_PRI_PRD45.0%
  • C_MORENA_NAH38.2%
  • PT8.1%
  • MC4.3%
Results for event-13f772d60334264e078793f2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S1f4edb7cfa/20242,36845%UnknownRecorded
C_MORENA_NAHmexico/S1f4edb7cfa/20242,01438.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S1f4edb7cfa/20244248.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S1f4edb7cfa/20242274.3%UnknownRecorded

2020

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD43.6%
  • PRI32.8%
  • PT6.4%
  • PANALH6.1%
  • MC5.3%
  • PODEMOS2.0%
  • ESH0.8%
  • PAN0.6%
Results for event-c7da82c357996c977bed5303
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/20202,08143.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/20201,56832.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/20203086.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALHmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/20202936.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/20202515.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/2020972%UnknownRecorded
ESHmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/2020360.8%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Se0eb7c4ec7/2020310.6%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD42.3%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL37.4%
  • PAN11.3%
  • MORENA4.8%
  • PT1.3%
  • MC0.9%
Results for event-1164ff16a1e3b84b69e1be03
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/S6f875afd95/20162,03642.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S6f875afd95/20161,79837.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S6f875afd95/201654211.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S6f875afd95/20162314.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S6f875afd95/2016611.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S6f875afd95/2016450.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

59.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.033578382674349, oldest_gap=5.049862083598555, previous_gap=10.996784565916393

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

79.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,8.424398966818995,0,4.510232465726207,0,87.0653685674548],[0.6645230439442658,33.61200428724545,44.60878885316184,6.602357984994641,0,5.380493033226152,0,9.131832797427652],[11.500106089539571,0,43.19966051347337,1.2942923827710588,0,0.9548058561425843,4.9013367281986,38.149798429874814]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,8.424398966818995,0,4.510232465726207,0,87.0653685674548],[0.6645230439442658,33.61200428724545,44.60878885316184,6.602357984994641,0,5.380493033226152,0,9.131832797427652],[11.500106089539571,0,43.19966051347337,1.2942923827710588,0,0.9548058561425843,4.9013367281986,38.149798429874814]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,8.424398966818995,0,4.510232465726207,0,87.0653685674548],[0.6645230439442658,33.61200428724545,44.60878885316184,6.602357984994641,0,5.380493033226152,0,9.131832797427652],[11.500106089539571,0,43.19966051347337,1.2942923827710588,0,0.9548058561425843,4.9013367281986,38.149798429874814]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MINERAL DEL CHICO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-13-38. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S1f4edb7cfa, mexico--Se0eb7c4ec7, mexico--S6f875afd95.