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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JALTOCAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · JALTOCAN / HIDALGO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-13-32

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JALTOCAN / HIDALGO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-a690627d7ebf905b87d7f281
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_MORENA_NAH36.4%
  • PAN34.1%
  • MC14.1%
  • PRI3.9%
  • PT3.3%
  • PVEM2.8%
Results for event-ff6d9e8dd4ba21732a42ccd2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_MORENA_NAHmexico/Sd758d86851/20242,01836.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sd758d86851/20241,89334.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sd758d86851/202478214.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd758d86851/20242163.9%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sd758d86851/20241813.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd758d86851/20241572.8%UnknownRecorded

2020

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD33.5%
  • PRI26.3%
  • MORENA25.4%
  • PAN4.5%
  • CAND_IND142.9%
  • PODEMOS2.6%
  • ESH1.5%
  • PANALH1.2%
  • MC0.3%
Results for event-98d2fb621b4effb92fcf2542
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/S7632e45643/20201,97433.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S7632e45643/20201,54826.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S7632e45643/20201,50025.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S7632e45643/20202664.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND14mexico/S7632e45643/20201692.9%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S7632e45643/20201552.6%UnknownRecorded
ESHmexico/S7632e45643/2020861.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALHmexico/S7632e45643/2020701.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S7632e45643/2020180.3%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD52.2%
  • PRI33.7%
  • ES3.5%
  • PANAL2.7%
  • MC2.4%
  • PAN1.2%
  • PVEM0.8%
  • MORENA0.6%
Results for event-f83b53e3b23bd3fb6fca7f54
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Sa29304b00a/20163,13252.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sa29304b00a/20162,02433.7%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Sa29304b00a/20162093.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sa29304b00a/20161642.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa29304b00a/20161462.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa29304b00a/2016691.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa29304b00a/2016470.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sa29304b00a/2016350.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

72.30–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.3823137030684194, oldest_gap=19.018194301407483, previous_gap=7.362599377808504

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

82.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[36.077758719268154,4.11663807890223,0,3.4495902420430724,2.992186011053936,14.903754526396035,0,38.46007242233657],[4.597303836847563,26.754234358797095,34.1168337366056,0,0,0.3110957483581058,25.924645696508815,8.29588662288282],[1.184346035015448,34.74081702711981,53.75901132852729,0,0.8067284586337109,2.5060075523515275,0.6007552351527635,6.402334363199451]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[36.077758719268154,4.11663807890223,0,3.4495902420430724,2.992186011053936,14.903754526396035,0,38.46007242233657],[4.597303836847563,26.754234358797095,34.1168337366056,0,0,0.3110957483581058,25.924645696508815,8.29588662288282],[1.184346035015448,34.74081702711981,53.75901132852729,0,0.8067284586337109,2.5060075523515275,0.6007552351527635,6.402334363199451]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

56.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[36.077758719268154,4.11663807890223,0,3.4495902420430724,2.992186011053936,14.903754526396035,0,38.46007242233657],[4.597303836847563,26.754234358797095,34.1168337366056,0,0,0.3110957483581058,25.924645696508815,8.29588662288282],[1.184346035015448,34.74081702711981,53.75901132852729,0,0.8067284586337109,2.5060075523515275,0.6007552351527635,6.402334363199451]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “JALTOCAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-13-32. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sd758d86851, mexico--S7632e45643, mexico--Sa29304b00a.