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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · EMILIANO ZAPATA / HIDALGO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-13-21

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EMILIANO ZAPATA / HIDALGO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-43845a641b6a98dad71b6e30
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_MORENA_NAH33.8%
  • PVEM23.3%
  • PT18.1%
  • MC13.6%
  • PAN4.4%
  • PRI2.8%
Results for event-fdd7a4e5041064116dbd9300
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_MORENA_NAHmexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20242,73133.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20241,88523.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20241,46118.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20241,09913.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20243534.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sde3fe6d10f/20242242.8%UnknownRecorded

2020

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PANALH33.6%
  • PRI30.3%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_ESH11.7%
  • CAND_IND98.0%
  • PODEMOS5.9%
  • PAN5.1%
  • MAS_X_HIDALGO2.9%
Results for event-fbcaa17cd0f85cd8c90873a5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANALHmexico/S12ad1ba189/20202,18233.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S12ad1ba189/20201,96830.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_ESHmexico/S12ad1ba189/202075611.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND9mexico/S12ad1ba189/20205178%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S12ad1ba189/20203805.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S12ad1ba189/20203285.1%UnknownRecorded
MAS_X_HIDALGOmexico/S12ad1ba189/20201902.9%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC51.6%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL26.3%
  • PAN12.3%
  • CAND_IND133.6%
  • MORENA3.1%
  • ES1.0%
Results for event-c3694a024731f562361cf0a8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S64a2cf2781/20163,61251.6%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S64a2cf2781/20161,83726.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S64a2cf2781/201686212.3%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND13mexico/S64a2cf2781/20162553.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S64a2cf2781/20162183.1%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S64a2cf2781/2016701%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

49.240–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.911905069005549, oldest_gap=25.897286256200754, previous_gap=3.3855402626166757

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.553076228556688,2.889204179027473,0,18.84431832838901,24.31316909583387,14.175158003353541,0,35.22507416483942],[5.189052365132099,31.134314190792598,0,0,0,0,0,63.67663344407531],[12.57659760723665,0,0,0,0,52.69915377881529,3.180624452874234,31.54362416107383]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.553076228556688,2.889204179027473,0,18.84431832838901,24.31316909583387,14.175158003353541,0,35.22507416483942],[5.189052365132099,31.134314190792598,0,0,0,0,0,63.67663344407531],[12.57659760723665,0,0,0,0,52.69915377881529,3.180624452874234,31.54362416107383]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.553076228556688,2.889204179027473,0,18.84431832838901,24.31316909583387,14.175158003353541,0,35.22507416483942],[5.189052365132099,31.134314190792598,0,0,0,0,0,63.67663344407531],[12.57659760723665,0,0,0,0,52.69915377881529,3.180624452874234,31.54362416107383]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-13-21. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sde3fe6d10f, mexico--S12ad1ba189, mexico--S64a2cf2781.