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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ATOTONILCO EL GRANDE — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ATOTONILCO EL GRANDE / HIDALGO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-13-11

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ATOTONILCO EL GRANDE / HIDALGO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-001574f3c3637ab7ad68cfb5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT51.2%
  • C_MORENA_NAH34.7%
  • PVEM3.6%
  • MC3.5%
  • C_PAN_PRI_PRD2.9%
Results for event-0589d2675980793c46ebe3eb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/Sfe12782689/20247,70151.2%UnknownRecorded
C_MORENA_NAHmexico/Sfe12782689/20245,22334.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sfe12782689/20245393.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sfe12782689/20245273.5%UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sfe12782689/20244432.9%UnknownRecorded

2020

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PODEMOS18.7%
  • PRI17.0%
  • PANALH14.7%
  • MORENA13.3%
  • PAN_PRD12.7%
  • MC7.5%
  • PT6.9%
  • MAS_X_HIDALGO4.0%
  • PVEM2.0%
  • ESH0.6%
Results for event-ce397ed92eaec9754366d6f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PODEMOSmexico/S5d3257273e/20202,56718.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5d3257273e/20202,33817%UnknownRecorded
PANALHmexico/S5d3257273e/20202,01914.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S5d3257273e/20201,82613.3%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/S5d3257273e/20201,74212.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S5d3257273e/20201,0377.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5d3257273e/20209536.9%UnknownRecorded
MAS_X_HIDALGOmexico/S5d3257273e/20205564%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5d3257273e/20202722%UnknownRecorded
ESHmexico/S5d3257273e/2020890.6%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL36.2%
  • PAN31.2%
  • PRD20.4%
  • ES3.8%
  • PT3.6%
  • MORENA1.8%
  • MC0.2%
Results for event-004d7b94f76592f47301e803
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S2644e520f7/20164,86636.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S2644e520f7/20164,20031.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S2644e520f7/20162,74820.4%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S2644e520f7/20165073.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S2644e520f7/20164823.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S2644e520f7/20162391.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S2644e520f7/2016290.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

43.380–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.16898773643733, oldest_gap=5.095249024558186, previous_gap=1.709082767370699

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.35689045936396,3.7344973325019053,3.651354534746761,0,39.25725767338738],[0,17.449063362937533,0,7.112471079931338,2.030002238973058,7.739383536084782,13.627882677811778,52.041197104261514],[32.13220105577232,0,21.023640119348176,3.687552597352919,0,0.22186519776604696,1.828475250554663,41.10626577920588]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.35689045936396,3.7344973325019053,3.651354534746761,0,39.25725767338738],[0,17.449063362937533,0,7.112471079931338,2.030002238973058,7.739383536084782,13.627882677811778,52.041197104261514],[32.13220105577232,0,21.023640119348176,3.687552597352919,0,0.22186519776604696,1.828475250554663,41.10626577920588]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.35689045936396,3.7344973325019053,3.651354534746761,0,39.25725767338738],[0,17.449063362937533,0,7.112471079931338,2.030002238973058,7.739383536084782,13.627882677811778,52.041197104261514],[32.13220105577232,0,21.023640119348176,3.687552597352919,0,0.22186519776604696,1.828475250554663,41.10626577920588]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ATOTONILCO EL GRANDE — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-13-11. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sfe12782689, mexico--S5d3257273e, mexico--S2644e520f7.