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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ATENANGO DEL RIO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ATENANGO DEL RIO / GUERRERO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-12-8

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ATENANGO DEL RIO / GUERRERO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ee03ebcdb13364424c87c8d7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT52.1%
  • MORENA42.4%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD2.0%
  • PVEM0.4%
  • PBG0.4%
  • PAC0.1%
  • MLGRO0.1%
Results for event-7df15fb7d2808f4eee947cc6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S0bb0211093/20242,40952.1%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0bb0211093/20241,96042.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S0bb0211093/2024912%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0bb0211093/2024190.4%UnknownRecorded
PBGmexico/S0bb0211093/2024180.4%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S0bb0211093/202460.1%UnknownRecorded
MLGROmexico/S0bb0211093/202440.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PES33.0%
  • FXP24.7%
  • PRI_PRD16.7%
  • PT13.0%
  • MORENA5.6%
  • PVEM2.6%
Results for event-cf60cbb84795eae47db12241
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PESmexico/S3439e2a708/20211,61233%UnknownRecorded
FXPmexico/S3439e2a708/20211,20624.7%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/S3439e2a708/202181516.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S3439e2a708/202163813%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S3439e2a708/20212725.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S3439e2a708/20211282.6%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT39.6%
  • PRI_PVEM27.0%
  • CG23.7%
  • MORENA_ES3.7%
  • PAN_PRD_MC1.2%
  • IHG0.5%
  • PANAL0.3%
  • PPG0.0%
Results for event-19ca7e3c539626d81f1bc5d4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/Sb94592837d/20181,89539.6%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/Sb94592837d/20181,29127%UnknownRecorded
CGmexico/Sb94592837d/20181,13523.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_ESmexico/Sb94592837d/20181773.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sb94592837d/2018551.2%UnknownRecorded
IHGmexico/Sb94592837d/2018220.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sb94592837d/2018140.3%UnknownRecorded
PPGmexico/Sb94592837d/201820%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.962280896383405, oldest_gap=13.156175125245042, previous_gap=8.691928923142797

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

77.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.450188595518085,0.4215664521854892,0,43.48790769913468,2.640337253161748],[0,0,0,13.658745450652965,2.7403125669021624,0,5.823164204667095,77.77777777777777],[0,0,0,41.27641036811152,0,0,0,58.723589631888466]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.450188595518085,0.4215664521854892,0,43.48790769913468,2.640337253161748],[0,0,0,13.658745450652965,2.7403125669021624,0,5.823164204667095,77.77777777777777],[0,0,0,41.27641036811152,0,0,0,58.723589631888466]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,53.450188595518085,0.4215664521854892,0,43.48790769913468,2.640337253161748],[0,0,0,13.658745450652965,2.7403125669021624,0,5.823164204667095,77.77777777777777],[0,0,0,41.27641036811152,0,0,0,58.723589631888466]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ATENANGO DEL RIO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-12-8. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S0bb0211093, mexico--S3439e2a708, mexico--Sb94592837d.