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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

XOCHIHUEHUETLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · XOCHIHUEHUETLAN / GUERRERO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-12-71

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
XOCHIHUEHUETLAN / GUERRERO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-5ed3f4378637a0ddda73034b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA46.2%
  • PRD33.5%
  • MLGRO11.8%
  • PT1.3%
  • PVEM1.0%
  • PBG0.7%
  • PAC0.5%
  • PAN0.2%
  • PRI0.1%
Results for event-350a839e5e9bf25a64a28149
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sc82f5e8425/20241,76646.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sc82f5e8425/20241,28333.5%UnknownRecorded
MLGROmexico/Sc82f5e8425/202445311.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sc82f5e8425/2024501.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sc82f5e8425/2024401%UnknownRecorded
PBGmexico/Sc82f5e8425/2024270.7%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sc82f5e8425/2024190.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sc82f5e8425/202470.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc82f5e8425/202430.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM43.0%
  • MORENA23.9%
  • PRD17.6%
  • PT10.4%
  • PAN1.3%
  • PRI0.8%
Results for event-1a3670f2298dde028e7f1950
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Se48102b941/20211,74743%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Se48102b941/202197423.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Se48102b941/202171417.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se48102b941/202142210.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Se48102b941/2021531.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se48102b941/2021340.8%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT40.0%
  • PRI_PVEM34.8%
  • PAN_PRD_MC12.9%
  • MORENA_ES8.6%
Results for event-2dcaee38330d081c1a20a5f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S8c44d53cd8/20181,60740%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S8c44d53cd8/20181,39534.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S8c44d53cd8/201851712.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_ESmexico/S8c44d53cd8/20183468.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

28.140–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.24013157894737, oldest_gap=5.485122897800778, previous_gap=19.599391480730226

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.19188596491228072,0.08223684210526316,35.16995614035088,1.3706140350877194,1.0964912280701755,0,48.41008771929825,13.678728070175438],[1.343813387423935,0.8620689655172413,18.103448275862068,10.699797160243408,44.29513184584179,0,24.69574036511156,0],[0,0,0,41.57826649417853,0,0,0,58.42173350582148]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

89.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.19188596491228072,0.08223684210526316,35.16995614035088,1.3706140350877194,1.0964912280701755,0,48.41008771929825,13.678728070175438],[1.343813387423935,0.8620689655172413,18.103448275862068,10.699797160243408,44.29513184584179,0,24.69574036511156,0],[0,0,0,41.57826649417853,0,0,0,58.42173350582148]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.19188596491228072,0.08223684210526316,35.16995614035088,1.3706140350877194,1.0964912280701755,0,48.41008771929825,13.678728070175438],[1.343813387423935,0.8620689655172413,18.103448275862068,10.699797160243408,44.29513184584179,0,24.69574036511156,0],[0,0,0,41.57826649417853,0,0,0,58.42173350582148]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “XOCHIHUEHUETLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-12-71. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sc82f5e8425, mexico--Se48102b941, mexico--S8c44d53cd8.