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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

SAN MIGUEL TOTOLAPAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SAN MIGUEL TOTOLAPAN / GUERRERO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-12-55

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN MIGUEL TOTOLAPAN / GUERRERO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-8eaa09ecf66ecb5f0f36015d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI59.2%
  • PT37.7%
  • MORENA1.6%
  • MC0.5%
  • MA0.3%
  • PRD0.3%
  • PVEM0.2%
  • PAN0.1%
  • PBG0.0%
Results for event-489c9b23a8b07be93d9b7801
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S20dde7453b/20247,58559.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S20dde7453b/20244,82937.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S20dde7453b/20242101.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S20dde7453b/2024630.5%UnknownRecorded
MAmexico/S20dde7453b/2024390.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S20dde7453b/2024380.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S20dde7453b/2024260.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S20dde7453b/2024180.1%UnknownRecorded
PBGmexico/S20dde7453b/202450%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD76.5%
  • MORENA9.5%
  • PAN6.5%
  • PRI2.2%
  • PT_PVEM0.9%
Results for event-9b4fba1e09ba0837e0c91a58
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/S0c9a9a1c3c/20217,78776.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0c9a9a1c3c/20219639.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S0c9a9a1c3c/20216606.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S0c9a9a1c3c/20212212.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/S0c9a9a1c3c/2021950.9%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC72.7%
  • MORENA_ES18.2%
  • PVEM3.8%
  • PRI1.2%
  • PT0.6%
Results for event-ce84163133004811c2ac800b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S051913762f/20186,70772.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_ESmexico/S051913762f/20181,67718.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S051913762f/20183473.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S051913762f/20181121.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S051913762f/2018510.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=56.55498088599056, previous_gap=70.16245116183426

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[6.785934608266502,2.272259921858935,80.06374665844129,0,0,0,9.901295496607032,0.9767633148262389],[0,1.2592759163480998,0,0.5734202833370812,3.9015066336856306,0,0,94.26579716662918]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

97.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[6.785934608266502,2.272259921858935,80.06374665844129,0,0,0,9.901295496607032,0.9767633148262389],[0,1.2592759163480998,0,0.5734202833370812,3.9015066336856306,0,0,94.26579716662918]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[6.785934608266502,2.272259921858935,80.06374665844129,0,0,0,9.901295496607032,0.9767633148262389],[0,1.2592759163480998,0,0.5734202833370812,3.9015066336856306,0,0,94.26579716662918]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-12-55", "year": 2024, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": 625.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN MIGUEL TOTOLAPAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-12-55. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S20dde7453b, mexico--S0c9a9a1c3c, mexico--S051913762f.