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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

MALINALTEPEC — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · MALINALTEPEC / GUERRERO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-12-42

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MALINALTEPEC / GUERRERO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-3a68a655ab4ee8ec6b40bfa6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT54.7%
  • MORENA24.5%
  • PBG8.7%
  • PES6.6%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD3.3%
  • PVEM0.9%
  • MC0.9%
  • PAC0.3%
  • MLGRO0.1%
Results for event-fdf863472cfe92b8a96f2038
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S14517308e9/20245,54154.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S14517308e9/20242,48324.5%UnknownRecorded
PBGmexico/S14517308e9/20248838.7%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S14517308e9/20246696.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S14517308e9/20243363.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S14517308e9/2024890.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S14517308e9/2024870.9%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S14517308e9/2024310.3%UnknownRecorded
MLGROmexico/S14517308e9/2024130.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PES27.8%
  • MORENA27.2%
  • PT_PVEM19.3%
  • PRI_PRD18.7%
  • PAN0.4%
  • MC0.0%
Results for event-4bb461cd15893a902c6d06b6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PESmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/20213,73027.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/20213,64827.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/20212,58419.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/20212,50518.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/2021600.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb2cac3b4f4/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA24.5%
  • PT20.2%
  • PRD13.3%
  • MC12.1%
  • PRI8.5%
  • ES7.7%
  • PSG2.1%
  • CG1.9%
  • PAN1.8%
  • IHG1.7%
  • PVEM0.3%
Results for event-0c30468a9c517e3ec77b5aa0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Se192d1803b/20182,96524.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se192d1803b/20182,44420.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Se192d1803b/20181,61013.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se192d1803b/20181,46012.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se192d1803b/20181,0278.5%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Se192d1803b/20189297.7%UnknownRecorded
PSGmexico/Se192d1803b/20182522.1%UnknownRecorded
CGmexico/Se192d1803b/20182271.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Se192d1803b/20182141.8%UnknownRecorded
IHGmexico/Se192d1803b/20182111.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Se192d1803b/2018340.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=4.581025235206191, previous_gap=0.6545860940368797

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0.47896543466113195,0,0,0,0,0,29.121098427396824,70.39993613794205],[1.8816495207948651,9.030159148861339,14.156335179811835,21.489492658049766,0.29895366218236175,12.837421964301416,26.070517893255957,14.235469972742461]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0.47896543466113195,0,0,0,0,0,29.121098427396824,70.39993613794205],[1.8816495207948651,9.030159148861339,14.156335179811835,21.489492658049766,0.29895366218236175,12.837421964301416,26.070517893255957,14.235469972742461]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0.47896543466113195,0,0,0,0,0,29.121098427396824,70.39993613794205],[1.8816495207948651,9.030159148861339,14.156335179811835,21.489492658049766,0.29895366218236175,12.837421964301416,26.070517893255957,14.235469972742461]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-12-42", "year": 2024, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": 517.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MALINALTEPEC — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-12-42. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S14517308e9, mexico--Sb2cac3b4f4, mexico--Se192d1803b.