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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUAUTEPEC — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CUAUTEPEC / GUERRERO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-12-25

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUAUTEPEC / GUERRERO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ca8e16368690d153d9e44765
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT48.4%
  • MORENA30.1%
  • PRI13.0%
  • PVEM3.0%
  • PRD1.8%
  • PAC0.3%
  • MC0.2%
  • FXMG0.2%
  • REGENERACION0.1%
Results for event-a889327731a52681f0236492
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S8c61c89acd/20244,48248.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S8c61c89acd/20242,78930.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S8c61c89acd/20241,20713%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8c61c89acd/20242793%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8c61c89acd/20241671.8%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S8c61c89acd/2024250.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8c61c89acd/2024210.2%UnknownRecorded
FXMGmexico/S8c61c89acd/2024180.2%UnknownRecorded
REGENERACIONmexico/S8c61c89acd/202480.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD43.3%
  • PRI25.1%
  • PES14.7%
  • PVEM7.0%
  • MORENA5.9%
  • RSP0.6%
  • PT0.2%
  • FXP0.1%
  • MC0.1%
Results for event-feae685aecb6a51aa8813b54
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Sb9527ed210/20213,94643.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb9527ed210/20212,28825.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sb9527ed210/20211,33814.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb9527ed210/20216377%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb9527ed210/20215345.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sb9527ed210/2021510.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb9527ed210/2021220.2%UnknownRecorded
FXPmexico/Sb9527ed210/2021120.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb9527ed210/202170.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM46.4%
  • PAN_PRD_MC37.2%
  • MORENA_ES10.3%
  • PT0.5%
  • PANAL0.3%
  • PPG0.1%
  • IHG0.1%
  • CG0.0%
Results for event-8b0432893ac14d7f089feaef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEMmexico/S63501db268/20183,83846.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S63501db268/20183,07437.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_ESmexico/S63501db268/201885010.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S63501db268/2018420.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S63501db268/2018210.3%UnknownRecorded
PPGmexico/S63501db268/201870.1%UnknownRecorded
IHGmexico/S63501db268/201860.1%UnknownRecorded
CGmexico/S63501db268/201820%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=9.744897959183675, previous_gap=18.76627051499717

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,25.897000565930956,44.663271080928126,0.2490096208262592,7.2099603848330505,0.07923033389926429,6.044142614601019,15.857385398981323],[0,0,0,0.5357142857142857,0,0,0,99.4642857142857]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

83.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,25.897000565930956,44.663271080928126,0.2490096208262592,7.2099603848330505,0.07923033389926429,6.044142614601019,15.857385398981323],[0,0,0,0.5357142857142857,0,0,0,99.4642857142857]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,25.897000565930956,44.663271080928126,0.2490096208262592,7.2099603848330505,0.07923033389926429,6.044142614601019,15.857385398981323],[0,0,0,0.5357142857142857,0,0,0,99.4642857142857]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-12-25", "year": 2024, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": 2.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUAUTEPEC — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-12-25. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S8c61c89acd, mexico--Sb9527ed210, mexico--S63501db268.