Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Center forDigital DemocracyElection database
Back to the Center

Office briefing

SANTA CRUZ DE JUVENTINO ROSAS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SANTA CRUZ DE JUVENTINO ROSAS / GUANAJUATO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-11-35

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA CRUZ DE JUVENTINO ROSAS / GUANAJUATO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-349d7f6c8496f1f79788da0a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND_335.4%
  • PRD21.3%
  • PAN17.7%
  • MORENA13.4%
  • PVEM5.3%
  • PT1.6%
  • PRI1.3%
Results for event-37cf400e86ea1b07958ac3b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND_3mexico/Sf49916df0c/202414,17535.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sf49916df0c/20248,55921.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sf49916df0c/20247,10017.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sf49916df0c/20245,37513.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sf49916df0c/20242,1355.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sf49916df0c/20246601.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sf49916df0c/20245281.3%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN31.6%
  • PRI_PRD26.0%
  • NA_GTO25.5%
  • MORENA6.6%
  • MC3.3%
  • PT2.6%
  • PVEM2.1%
  • PES0.4%
  • RSP0.0%
  • FXM0.0%
Results for event-9714e0ca100484b471a0a1bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S0930ab0301/20219,78131.6%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/S0930ab0301/20218,03826%UnknownRecorded
NA_GTOmexico/S0930ab0301/20217,89025.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0930ab0301/20212,0436.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S0930ab0301/20211,0353.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S0930ab0301/20218002.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0930ab0301/20216422.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S0930ab0301/20211210.4%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S0930ab0301/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S0930ab0301/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD37.9%
  • PAN24.1%
  • MORENA_PT_ES18.2%
  • PVEM5.5%
  • PRI5.3%
  • CAND_IND234.1%
  • PANAL1.3%
  • MC0.5%
Results for event-d1fbfb38fac1786985aa6e91
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/S460bafcaba/201812,62637.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S460bafcaba/20188,02024.1%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PT_ESmexico/S460bafcaba/20186,05418.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S460bafcaba/20181,8475.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S460bafcaba/20181,7635.3%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND23mexico/S460bafcaba/20181,3554.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S460bafcaba/20184211.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S460bafcaba/20181680.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

40.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.574898785425098, oldest_gap=14.280399330315618, previous_gap=5.7429983525535455

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.4262431225994,1.370289629398941,22.212706322018064,1.7128620367486764,5.540849164330946,0,13.949444617460811,36.78760510744316],[32.22734761120264,0,0,2.6359143327841843,2.115321252059308,3.4102141680395386,6.731466227347611,52.87973640856672],[24.865133006758853,5.465988714578037,39.14553233707447,0,5.7264215291126686,0.5208656290692627,0,24.276058783406707]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.4262431225994,1.370289629398941,22.212706322018064,1.7128620367486764,5.540849164330946,0,13.949444617460811,36.78760510744316],[32.22734761120264,0,0,2.6359143327841843,2.115321252059308,3.4102141680395386,6.731466227347611,52.87973640856672],[24.865133006758853,5.465988714578037,39.14553233707447,0,5.7264215291126686,0.5208656290692627,0,24.276058783406707]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.4262431225994,1.370289629398941,22.212706322018064,1.7128620367486764,5.540849164330946,0,13.949444617460811,36.78760510744316],[32.22734761120264,0,0,2.6359143327841843,2.115321252059308,3.4102141680395386,6.731466227347611,52.87973640856672],[24.865133006758853,5.465988714578037,39.14553233707447,0,5.7264215291126686,0.5208656290692627,0,24.276058783406707]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA CRUZ DE JUVENTINO ROSAS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-11-35. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sf49916df0c, mexico--S0930ab0301, mexico--S460bafcaba.