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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

ABASOLO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ABASOLO / GUANAJUATO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-11-1

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ABASOLO / GUANAJUATO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-bbbb8f446e9cc23660594ee2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA33.0%
  • PAN29.7%
  • PRI29.5%
  • PVEM1.9%
  • MC1.0%
  • PT0.8%
  • PRD0.7%
Results for event-e3d2cf9251fa1169d06b8c30
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sa78109796e/202413,88733%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa78109796e/202412,50729.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sa78109796e/202412,43229.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa78109796e/20248131.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa78109796e/20244271%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sa78109796e/20243500.8%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sa78109796e/20242840.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI24.5%
  • PAN22.3%
  • RSP20.7%
  • MORENA13.4%
  • FXM6.2%
  • PVEM4.5%
  • MC2.4%
  • PT2.0%
  • NA_GTO0.9%
  • PES0.7%
  • PRD0.4%
Results for event-9a1405d3d1de069871d9ab0d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S8033eaeb39/20218,07524.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S8033eaeb39/20217,34622.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S8033eaeb39/20216,81620.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S8033eaeb39/20214,41813.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S8033eaeb39/20212,0306.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8033eaeb39/20211,4984.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8033eaeb39/20217922.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S8033eaeb39/20216482%UnknownRecorded
NA_GTOmexico/S8033eaeb39/20213110.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S8033eaeb39/20212200.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8033eaeb39/20211290.4%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI31.9%
  • MORENA_PT_ES29.4%
  • PAN27.0%
  • PVEM5.3%
  • PRD1.2%
  • PANAL1.2%
  • MC0.9%
Results for event-9d3add53ef47b36dcb01bdae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S2367d79b53/201811,19131.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PT_ESmexico/S2367d79b53/201810,28829.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S2367d79b53/20189,46527%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S2367d79b53/20181,8535.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S2367d79b53/20184121.2%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S2367d79b53/20184081.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S2367d79b53/20183100.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

85.110–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.390663390663388, oldest_gap=2.661596958174904, previous_gap=2.2581544466127674

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[30.72972972972973,30.545454545454547,0.6977886977886978,0.85995085995086,1.9975429975429975,1.049140049140049,34.12039312039312,0],[22.755010376978596,25.013164823591364,0.39959111606728,2.0072483969891275,4.640213115261902,2.4533035963200445,13.685221323916613,29.046247250875073],[27.898134229374833,32.98552775075898,1.214372034073157,0,5.461726648392136,0.9137265304919385,0,31.526512806908954]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[30.72972972972973,30.545454545454547,0.6977886977886978,0.85995085995086,1.9975429975429975,1.049140049140049,34.12039312039312,0],[22.755010376978596,25.013164823591364,0.39959111606728,2.0072483969891275,4.640213115261902,2.4533035963200445,13.685221323916613,29.046247250875073],[27.898134229374833,32.98552775075898,1.214372034073157,0,5.461726648392136,0.9137265304919385,0,31.526512806908954]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[30.72972972972973,30.545454545454547,0.6977886977886978,0.85995085995086,1.9975429975429975,1.049140049140049,34.12039312039312,0],[22.755010376978596,25.013164823591364,0.39959111606728,2.0072483969891275,4.640213115261902,2.4533035963200445,13.685221323916613,29.046247250875073],[27.898134229374833,32.98552775075898,1.214372034073157,0,5.461726648392136,0.9137265304919385,0,31.526512806908954]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ABASOLO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-11-1. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sa78109796e, mexico--S8033eaeb39, mexico--S2367d79b53.