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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

COSIO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · COSIO / AGUASCALIENTES · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-1-4

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
COSIO / AGUASCALIENTES
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-722b0d55e776e4411b597aa4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND135.6%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD34.9%
  • MC20.4%
  • MORENA5.4%
  • PT0.5%
Results for event-fc0322a36cd2bdd93a18e426
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND1mexico/S11784cf74a/20243,32135.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S11784cf74a/20243,24934.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S11784cf74a/20241,89820.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S11784cf74a/20245035.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S11784cf74a/2024420.5%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM33.8%
  • PAN_PRD24.7%
  • PRI24.3%
  • PT7.9%
  • MC3.6%
  • MORENA1.6%
  • PANALA1.4%
  • PES0.2%
  • PLA0.1%
  • FXM0.1%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-c7d13756789bb5dbe5f72caf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Sc13a152d24/20213,18733.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/Sc13a152d24/20212,32924.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc13a152d24/20212,29324.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sc13a152d24/20217477.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sc13a152d24/20213373.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sc13a152d24/20211511.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALAmexico/Sc13a152d24/20211311.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sc13a152d24/2021180.2%UnknownRecorded
PLAmexico/Sc13a152d24/2021100.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sc13a152d24/202150.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sc13a152d24/202140%UnknownRecorded

2019

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM30.4%
  • PRI27.4%
  • MC23.0%
  • PT7.9%
  • PAN7.8%
  • MORENA1.9%
  • PLA0.3%
  • PANALA0.0%
Results for event-e39f9447e9e1ab77fff7f1c7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S942514aa28/20192,53730.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S942514aa28/20192,28927.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S942514aa28/20191,91723%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S942514aa28/20196627.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S942514aa28/20196507.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S942514aa28/20191601.9%UnknownRecorded
PLAmexico/S942514aa28/2019220.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALAmexico/S942514aa28/20190 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

82.130–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.7988461111727503, oldest_gap=3.010804904698311, previous_gap=9.313938341293966

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.4659935648507711,0,21.058471097303894,5.580827693331854,72.89470764451347],[0,24.89144594007816,0,8.10898827616153,34.59617889709075,3.6582718193660444,1.6391663048198002,27.105948762483717],[7.891222532475416,27.78924365667112,0,8.03690664076727,30.80004856136943,23.273036299623648,1.9424547772247178,0.2670875318683987]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.4659935648507711,0,21.058471097303894,5.580827693331854,72.89470764451347],[0,24.89144594007816,0,8.10898827616153,34.59617889709075,3.6582718193660444,1.6391663048198002,27.105948762483717],[7.891222532475416,27.78924365667112,0,8.03690664076727,30.80004856136943,23.273036299623648,1.9424547772247178,0.2670875318683987]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.4659935648507711,0,21.058471097303894,5.580827693331854,72.89470764451347],[0,24.89144594007816,0,8.10898827616153,34.59617889709075,3.6582718193660444,1.6391663048198002,27.105948762483717],[7.891222532475416,27.78924365667112,0,8.03690664076727,30.80004856136943,23.273036299623648,1.9424547772247178,0.2670875318683987]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “COSIO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-1-4. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S11784cf74a, mexico--Sc13a152d24, mexico--S942514aa28.