Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ASIENTOS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ASIENTOS / AGUASCALIENTES · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-1-2

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ASIENTOS / AGUASCALIENTES
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-75d3c1fc68b32e4d85a2d854
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD58.9%
  • MORENA32.4%
  • MC3.0%
  • PT2.2%
Results for event-10778bab612a69a21135e017
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Se09c7b846d/202414,76658.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Se09c7b846d/20248,11632.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se09c7b846d/20247613%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se09c7b846d/20245422.2%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA52.7%
  • PAN_PRD32.8%
  • PRI2.7%
  • PT2.2%
  • RSP1.5%
  • PANALA1.4%
  • MC1.4%
  • FXM1.1%
  • PVEM1.1%
  • PES0.8%
  • PLA0.3%
Results for event-5397f8eb3b55ed72d928dc60
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/202112,58652.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20217,83932.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20216412.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20215142.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20213571.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALAmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20213361.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20213351.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20212731.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20212521.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/20211830.8%UnknownRecorded
PLAmexico/S5ff43ba8a9/2021790.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA42.9%
  • PAN30.7%
  • PRI16.5%
  • PANALA1.8%
  • PLA1.6%
  • MC1.4%
  • PT1.0%
  • PVEM0.9%
  • PRD0.8%
Results for event-4d927f21b5db91b2adc18035
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S46b184da01/20199,58542.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S46b184da01/20196,84830.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S46b184da01/20193,68716.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALAmexico/S46b184da01/20193961.8%UnknownRecorded
PLAmexico/S46b184da01/20193621.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S46b184da01/20193211.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S46b184da01/20192141%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S46b184da01/20192110.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S46b184da01/20191780.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.496382054992765, oldest_gap=12.553894138152462, previous_gap=20.29066039752084

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.2410585073392597,0,3.1465784577217284,33.55799048997312,61.05437254496589],[0,2.7399016883949563,0,2.1970506518486856,1.07715323787134,1.4319298995511862,53.7978200470186,38.756144475315246],[31.40996238877167,16.911292541968628,0.8164388588202918,0.9815613246491147,0.9678011191633795,1.4723419869736722,43.96385652692413,3.476745252729107]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.2410585073392597,0,3.1465784577217284,33.55799048997312,61.05437254496589],[0,2.7399016883949563,0,2.1970506518486856,1.07715323787134,1.4319298995511862,53.7978200470186,38.756144475315246],[31.40996238877167,16.911292541968628,0.8164388588202918,0.9815613246491147,0.9678011191633795,1.4723419869736722,43.96385652692413,3.476745252729107]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.2410585073392597,0,3.1465784577217284,33.55799048997312,61.05437254496589],[0,2.7399016883949563,0,2.1970506518486856,1.07715323787134,1.4319298995511862,53.7978200470186,38.756144475315246],[31.40996238877167,16.911292541968628,0.8164388588202918,0.9815613246491147,0.9678011191633795,1.4723419869736722,43.96385652692413,3.476745252729107]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ASIENTOS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-1-2. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Se09c7b846d, mexico--S5ff43ba8a9, mexico--S46b184da01.