Jamaica · ST MARY

RICHMOND — Electoral division councillor

All 228 electoral divisions now have individual ward records alongside the 15 council/mayor records, with three ordinary cycles and eight identified by-elections. Greater Portmore North 2017 has a certified final return; seven other by-elections retain preliminary or incomplete evidence and are unscored. Ward and whole-council totals overlap. The Portmore boundary bridge, full intervening-event audit and current control remain unresolved.

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 2.4/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Grouped party-share volatility: latest interval 5.3 points; earlier interval 10.2 points; two-interval mean 7.8 points.

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). JLP, PNP and Other (minor parties and independents). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

Polling: no vetted current evidence included for this office.

Individual ward ballot. Parent council records aggregate the same ballots and must not be added to ward votes.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record JM-W-ST-MARY-RICHMOND.