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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ORDNANCE/FORT LANDS NO.38 — Local council PR component

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guyana · ORDNANCE/FORT LANDS NO.38 / Region 6 · municipal · Local council PR componentGY-PR-6.07

Read the complete original research briefing

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ORDNANCE/FORT LANDS NO.38 / Region 6
Next election
Not supplied
Linked upcoming event
None
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

No next-election date is supplied for this office.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/Cunknown
Results for event-25243967dc6efe1180f5a7d3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S720b9371b3/20230 (recorded zero)Unknown8Recorded

2018-11-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C70.9%
  • APNU27.2%
  • DAFC1.5%
  • URP0.4%
Results for event-65a4cea82b9275ff57873d20
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S3657da32e6/20181,12170.9%5Recorded
APNUguyana/S3657da32e6/201843127.2%2Recorded
DAFCguyana/S3657da32e6/2018231.5%UnknownRecorded
URPguyana/S3657da32e6/201870.4%UnknownRecorded

2016-03-18

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C66.8%
  • APNU+AFC32.3%
  • DAFO0.8%
Results for event-4997ab51d611f665051c4ffe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/See37129ce0/20161,28766.8%5Recorded
APNU+AFCguyana/See37129ce0/201662332.3%3Recorded
DAFOguyana/See37129ce0/2016160.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=34.47559709241952, previous_gap=43.61567635903919

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[70.85967130214918,29.140328697850826],[66.82242990654206,33.177570093457945]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

4.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[70.85967130214918,29.140328697850826],[66.82242990654206,33.177570093457945]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[70.85967130214918,29.140328697850826],[66.82242990654206,33.177570093457945]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls. Older full PR vectors remain absent or inconsistent for several LAAs; Nile/Cozier 2018 has an unresolved printed-total conflict. The 2018 official index omits three towns. Whole-council constituency allocations, geography and current control remain incomplete. The Indigenous community directory is not a verified election register or a three-cycle return archive.

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: DAFO is independent list, not AFC

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: Unopposed PR; zero is not a ballot denominator

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ORDNANCE/FORT LANDS NO.38 — Local council PR component.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GY-PR-6.07. Sources: guyana--url-4f6d66df09b1889bb5ef6369, guyana--url-109fe6b21e25c8b30afe91fe, guyana--url-fd8c599e1942e4d06f7d64b6, guyana--S720b9371b3, guyana--S3657da32e6, guyana--See37129ce0.