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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GOOD SUCCESS/CALEDONIA — Local council PR component

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guyana · GOOD SUCCESS/CALEDONIA / Region 4 · municipal · Local council PR componentGY-PR-4.04

Read the complete original research briefing

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GOOD SUCCESS/CALEDONIA / Region 4
Next election
Not supplied
Linked upcoming event
None
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

No next-election date is supplied for this office.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C66.6%
  • APNU33.4%
Results for event-92a0ab1a74bbf51cf83ff650
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/Se806ce68b3/20231,19966.6%6Recorded
APNUguyana/Se806ce68b3/202360033.4%3Recorded

2018-11-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C57.0%
  • Community for Change and Development (CDC)43.0%
Results for event-635a2a998d2d878e41141b5d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S172a911565/20181,21557%4Recorded
Community for Change and Development (CDC)guyana/S172a911565/201891843%3Recorded

2016-03-18

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C53.0%
  • Community for Change and Development47.0%
Results for event-fcc0c2ddfa24b88e9131a3d6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S3f6f19745e/20161,52753%5Recorded
Community for Change and Developmentguyana/S3f6f19745e/20161,35447%4Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.29627570872707, oldest_gap=6.004859423811183, previous_gap=13.924050632911388

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[66.64813785436354,33.35186214563647],[56.962025316455694,43.037974683544306],[53.00242971190559,46.99757028809441]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[66.64813785436354,33.35186214563647],[56.962025316455694,43.037974683544306],[53.00242971190559,46.99757028809441]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[66.64813785436354,33.35186214563647],[56.962025316455694,43.037974683544306],[53.00242971190559,46.99757028809441]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review. Older full PR vectors remain absent or inconsistent for several LAAs; Nile/Cozier 2018 has an unresolved printed-total conflict. The 2018 official index omits three towns. Whole-council constituency allocations, geography and current control remain incomplete. The Indigenous community directory is not a verified election register or a three-cycle return archive.

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: Full group name matches; source acronym CDC/CCD varies between sections

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “GOOD SUCCESS/CALEDONIA — Local council PR component.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GY-PR-4.04. Sources: guyana--url-fd3006aa3f5dd807530f952e, guyana--url-07d8383289176da480f962d9, guyana--url-3be8c966d1db89e78041ed0e, guyana--Se806ce68b3, guyana--S172a911565, guyana--S3f6f19745e.