Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CANALS POLDER — Local council PR component

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guyana · CANALS POLDER / Region 3 · municipal · Local council PR componentGY-PR-3.08

Read the complete original research briefing

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CANALS POLDER / Region 3
Next election
Not supplied
Linked upcoming event
None
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

No next-election date is supplied for this office.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/Cunknown
Results for event-c5b9c254b84af09439ca4868
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S5ef831f37e/2023UnknownUnknown9Recorded

2018-11-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C93.3%
  • APNU6.0%
  • URP0.7%
Results for event-8365a1ef3f5335764d311c06
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S51d0018f00/20182,80893.3%8Recorded
APNUguyana/S51d0018f00/20181816%1Recorded
URPguyana/S51d0018f00/2018210.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-03-18

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C90.1%
  • APNU+AFC9.9%
Results for event-76b0e104ed98419286bca5c0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S683852bdfd/20163,21890.1%8Recorded
APNU+AFCguyana/S683852bdfd/20163539.9%1Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2016-03-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=80.22962755530665, previous_gap=87.27574750830566

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[93.2890365448505,6.710963455149502],[90.11481377765332,9.885186222346682]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[93.2890365448505,6.710963455149502],[90.11481377765332,9.885186222346682]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[93.2890365448505,6.710963455149502],[90.11481377765332,9.885186222346682]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Unopposed cycles are retained as actual events and are not replaced by older contested polls. Older full PR vectors remain absent or inconsistent for several LAAs; Nile/Cozier 2018 has an unresolved printed-total conflict. The 2018 official index omits three towns. Whole-council constituency allocations, geography and current control remain incomplete. The Indigenous community directory is not a verified election register or a three-cycle return archive.

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: Source prints APNU 9 PPP 0 seats; incorrect version, seat allocation withheld

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: Corrected version of 034

  • other · open

    PR declaration qualification: Official PR declaration reviewed; unopposed, no numeric vote denominator

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CANALS POLDER — Local council PR component.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GY-PR-3.08. Sources: guyana--url-aa36af73360e7e8df4311a7d, guyana--url-639b1539992ced58ded1e75f, guyana--url-fb446d1a29fcea9e9b00869e, guyana--url-d624ad752c3799954230cfee, guyana--S5ef831f37e, guyana--S51d0018f00, guyana--S683852bdfd, guyana--Sd7e20c8345.