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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MUNICIPALITY OF MABARUMA — Local council PR component

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guyana · MUNICIPALITY OF MABARUMA / Region 1 · municipal · Local council PR componentGY-PR-1.02

Read the complete original research briefing

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MUNICIPALITY OF MABARUMA / Region 1
Next election
Not supplied
Linked upcoming event
None
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

No next-election date is supplied for this office.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C75.0%
  • APNU25.0%
Results for event-aef6957919d5ac38d0d677eb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S2d49dbea54/20231,49175%5Recorded
APNUguyana/S2d49dbea54/202349725%2Recorded

2018-11-12

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PPP/C57.3%
  • APNU37.2%
  • AFC5.5%
Results for event-8249a842cc6e82845ab2f164
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PPP/Cguyana/S88001eccb7/20181,00657.3%4Recorded
APNUguyana/S88001eccb7/201865337.2%2Recorded
AFCguyana/S88001eccb7/2018965.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2016-03-18

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • APNU+AFC53.1%
  • PPP/C46.9%
Results for event-ea02d4652c9ce5986427a297
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
APNU+AFCguyana/S6ab5b7b3af/201677753.1%3Recorded
PPP/Cguyana/S6ab5b7b3af/201668746.9%3Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=50, oldest_gap=6.147540983606561, previous_gap=20.11396011396011

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[75,25],[57.32193732193732,42.67806267806268],[46.92622950819672,53.07377049180328]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[75,25],[57.32193732193732,42.67806267806268],[46.92622950819672,53.07377049180328]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PPP/C and Other on the PR ballot only. APNU, AFC, their joint slate and local groups stay together in Other to avoid treating a coalition split as a measured voter transfer. This deliberately coarse lower bound hides changes among every non-PPP/C list. Whole-council composition is separate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PPP/C","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[75,25],[57.32193732193732,42.67806267806268],[46.92622950819672,53.07377049180328]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

PR declarations visually/digitally reviewed. PR seats are explicitly component-only; no whole-council majority or present government is inferred from them. Spelling bridges preserve original source identity. Published PR council sizes change across the history; boundary/council-composition comparability requires review. Older full PR vectors remain absent or inconsistent for several LAAs; Nile/Cozier 2018 has an unresolved printed-total conflict. The 2018 official index omits three towns. Whole-council constituency allocations, geography and current control remain incomplete. The Indigenous community directory is not a verified election register or a three-cycle return archive.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “MUNICIPALITY OF MABARUMA — Local council PR component.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GY-PR-1.02. Sources: guyana--url-a8e8eae4901cae6af59410f9, guyana--url-0223ae7f78788634b21c78ec, guyana--url-2158321d9b5af0912fe33cd6, guyana--S2d49dbea54, guyana--S88001eccb7, guyana--S6ab5b7b3af.