Office briefing
Santa Cruz La Laguna — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Cruz La Laguna / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-14
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Cruz La Laguna / Sololá
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-9243814602bccaf49b6af8d9
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS64.1%
- UNE33.8%
- VALOR UNIONISTA1.2%
- VIVA0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · PEDRO JUAN SOLIS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,978 | 64.1% | 6 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,044 | 33.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 38 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 26 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FUERZA35.7%
- VAMOS27.4%
- URGN-MAIZ20.6%
- FCN-NACION16.0%
- UNE0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUERZA · BARTOLO SIMAJ BALCOT | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,066 | 35.7% | 5 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 820 | 27.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| URGN-MAIZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 616 | 20.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 477 | 16% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 9 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER42.6%
- UNE28.7%
- PP26.5%
- UCN2.2%
- CREO- Unionista0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Ignacio Sosa Mendoza | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,167 | 42.6% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE · Bartolo Simaj Balcot | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 787 | 28.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Gregorio Simaj Garcia | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 725 | 26.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| UCN · Jose Maria Lopez De Paz | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 60 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Luis Yaxon Jiatz | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1 | 0% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.265716137394683, oldest_gap=13.868613138686136, previous_gap=8.23293172690763
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility71.02percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[33.830200907323395,64.09591704471808,0,0,0.8425145819831497,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.2313674659753726],[0.30120481927710846,27.44310575635877,0,0,0,0,0,0,15.963855421686747,0,0,56.291834002677376],[28.722627737226276,0,0,2.18978102189781,0,42.59124087591241,26.45985401459854,0,0,0,0,0.0364963503649635]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility99.66percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[33.830200907323395,64.09591704471808,0,0,0.8425145819831497,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.2313674659753726],[0.30120481927710846,27.44310575635877,0,0,0,0,0,0,15.963855421686747,0,0,56.291834002677376],[28.722627737226276,0,0,2.18978102189781,0,42.59124087591241,26.45985401459854,0,0,0,0,0.0364963503649635]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility85.34percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[33.830200907323395,64.09591704471808,0,0,0.8425145819831497,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.2313674659753726],[0.30120481927710846,27.44310575635877,0,0,0,0,0,0,15.963855421686747,0,0,56.291834002677376],[28.722627737226276,0,0,2.18978102189781,0,42.59124087591241,26.45985401459854,0,0,0,0,0.0364963503649635]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Sosa Mendoza | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Miguel Hernández Santos | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Lázaro Pecher Hernandez | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Andrés Tepaz Hernández | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Hilario Tepaz Santos | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Luciano Chumil Tepaz | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Victor Chumil Tepaz | Concejal 3 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Diego Pérez Mendoza | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Adolfo López Ujpán | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Diego Simon Sajquiy | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| BARTOLO SIMAJ BALCOT | ALCALDE | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| PASCUAL BALCOT SANTOS | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| NICOLAS SIMON RAFAEL SAJQUIY | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| PEDRO CANEL SANTOS | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| FRANCISCO CHUMIL BUCH | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| SANTIAGO SIMON PEREZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| SANTOS YAXÓN MÉNDEZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ANDRÉS MENDOZA SANTOS | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | URNG-MAIZ | unknown |
| DOMINGO MENDOZA SANTOS | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| MANUEL HERNÁNDEZ ROCCHÉ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| PEDRO JUAN SOLIS | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ANDRES CUMES RAFAEL | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| IGNACIO RAFAEL SIMON | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| NOE CHUMIL TEPAZ | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| BARTOLOME SIMAJ CHIYAL | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| PEDRO SIPAC UJPAN | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FRANCISCO CHUMIL BUCH | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| LUCAS HERNANDEZ CHUMIL | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ANTONIO SIPAC QUICHE | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE SANTOS PEREZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Cruz La Laguna — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-14. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.