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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Panajachel — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Panajachel / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-10

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Panajachel / Sololá
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-40e044fa5b0cc9b3de80e602
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MLP19.6%
  • VAMOS19.2%
  • CABAL12.6%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA10.0%
  • PR8.2%
  • VICTORIA7.6%
  • U R N G - MAIZ7.5%
  • VIVA4.7%
  • PHG4.1%
  • UNE3.9%
  • VOS1.2%
  • TODOS1.0%
  • AZUL0.3%
Results for event-f02ea575d21a69813e6f9191
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MLP · SAMUEL ZACARIAS SAHON ROSALESguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,32419.6%4Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,29519.2%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202384812.6%1Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202367710%1Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235538.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235157.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
U R N G - MAIZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235057.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233174.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232794.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232653.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023801.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023661%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023180.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PC28.7%
  • UCN23.8%
  • UNE15.0%
  • VIVA13.2%
  • FUERZA11.8%
  • SEMILLA2.7%
  • TODOS2.1%
  • FCN-NACION1.6%
  • BIEN1.2%
Results for event-6204e4bbb8aa5801c6b3138b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PC · CESAR PABLO PIEDRASANTA RODRÍGUEZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,78228.7%5Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,47623.8%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/201993115%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201981913.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201973111.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191652.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191322.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019991.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019761.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE38.2%
  • CREO- Unionista28.9%
  • UCN24.7%
  • LIDER4.8%
  • TODOS3.3%
Results for event-6df7d1093430ca2b8fc62dca
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · Enio Roberto Urízar Batresguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,43638.2%5Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Abrahan Mayén Moralesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,84228.9%1Recorded
UCN · Jordan Quenun Salporguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,57624.7%1Recorded
LIDER · Pedro Medrano Coroxón Juracanguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153074.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Carlos Roberto Mateo Rosalesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152103.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.660–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.43013942450311404, oldest_gap=9.323497096217238, previous_gap=4.92674287554339

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.9305843963215663,19.207950163156333,0.9789380005932957,0,4.7018688816374965,0,0,0,0,0,0,71.18065855829131],[14.9895346965062,0,2.1252616325873452,23.76428916438577,13.186282402189663,0,0,0,1.5939462244405087,0,2.6565770407341813,41.68410883915634],[38.23575576832523,0,3.296185842097002,24.73708993878512,0,4.818709778684665,0,0,0,0,0,28.91225867210799]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.9305843963215663,19.207950163156333,0.9789380005932957,0,4.7018688816374965,0,0,0,0,0,0,71.18065855829131],[14.9895346965062,0,2.1252616325873452,23.76428916438577,13.186282402189663,0,0,0,1.5939462244405087,0,2.6565770407341813,41.68410883915634],[38.23575576832523,0,3.296185842097002,24.73708993878512,0,4.818709778684665,0,0,0,0,0,28.91225867210799]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.9305843963215663,19.207950163156333,0.9789380005932957,0,4.7018688816374965,0,0,0,0,0,0,71.18065855829131],[14.9895346965062,0,2.1252616325873452,23.76428916438577,13.186282402189663,0,0,0,1.5939462244405087,0,2.6565770407341813,41.68410883915634],[38.23575576832523,0,3.296185842097002,24.73708993878512,0,4.818709778684665,0,0,0,0,0,28.91225867210799]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Enio Roberto Urízar BatresAlcalde2015UNEunknown
Rigoberto Rosales RosalesSíndico I2015UNEunknown
Carlos Enrique Chuc YaxSíndico II2015UNEunknown
Marco Antonio Vicente RodríguezSíndico Suplente2015UNEunknown
Manuel De Jesus Aceytuno GarcíaConcejal 12015UNEunknown
Rafael Efrain Celada OvalleConcejal 22015UNEunknown
Ingrid Aida Vásquez de Leon de MontufarConcejal 32015CREO-Unionistaunknown
Victor Raul García RosalesConcejal 42015UCNunknown
Gustavo Adolfo Queche LopezConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
Maria Del Carmen Joj ChurunelConcejal suplente 22015CREO-Unionistaunknown
CESAR PABLO PIEDRASANTA RODRÍGUEZALCALDE2019PCunknown
VÍCTOR YACH ROSALESSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019PCunknown
PEDRO MATÍAS GARCÍA Y GARCÍASÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
BYRON ISMAEL MATEO SACSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
GUSTAVO LOPEZ CANCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019PCunknown
JOSÉ ARNOLDO ROSALES AGUILARCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
JUAN ANTULIO ANLEU SÁNCHEZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UCNunknown
AURA VIRGINIA LÓPEZ FLORES GARCÍACONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
JIM PRESTON YACH QUECHEPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
CATALINA RIVERA MIRANDASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UCNunknown
SAMUEL ZACARIAS SAHON ROSALESALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023MLPunknown
VICTOR POLICARPO BARRENO ROSALESSINDICO I2023MLPunknown
PABLO YAX TOXCONSINDICO II2023MLPunknown
TERESO JOJ COSMECONCEJAL I2023MLPunknown
JULIO ESTUARDO PARAJON CAALCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
BYRON ISMAEL MATEO SACCONCEJAL III2023CABALunknown
JOSE LEONARDO BUCH MARROQUINCONCEJAL IV2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
EUSTAQUIO JUAN RODRIGUEZ BARRENOSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023MLPunknown
ELIDA LETICIA MATZAR CHURUNELCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023MLPunknown
GERMAN BERNARDO RAXTUN GONZALEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Panajachel — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-10. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.