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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Concepción — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Concepción / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-08

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Concepción / Sololá
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-8216a4b0facd645b82861661
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE38.3%
  • VAMOS20.7%
  • MLP19.9%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA18.3%
  • ELEFANTE2.7%
Results for event-e38c6894f2bc3de8e08c6fbc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · FILIBERTO SEQUEC JURACANguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,31338.3%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202370920.7%1Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202368119.9%1Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202362818.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ELEFANTEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023932.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FUERZA30.8%
  • CREO30.7%
  • PC21.4%
  • FCN-NACION8.5%
  • URGN-MAIZ7.5%
  • PODEMOS1.0%
Results for event-1c21782cfce54b34add933ff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA · PEDRO JURACAN LEJAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201993230.8%5Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/201992930.7%1Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/201964721.4%1Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192588.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URGN-MAIZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192287.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019291%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER42.8%
  • UNE29.4%
  • PP27.3%
  • UCN0.4%
Results for event-b6febc2f7abd3585251fda4f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Pedro Juracán Lopícguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,31742.8%5Recorded
UNE · Lorenzo Sequec Juracanguatemala/S6241581360d0/201590629.4%1Recorded
PP · Santiago Lopic Lejaguatemala/S6241581360d0/201584127.3%1Recorded
UCN · Samuel Lopic Raxtunguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015130.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

40.250–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.640186915887853, oldest_gap=13.35716607084823, previous_gap=0.09923916639100128

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.05percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[38.34696261682243,20.70677570093458,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.94626168224299],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,30.731061859080384,8.534568309626199,0,0,60.734369831293414],[29.444263893402663,0,0,0.4224894377640559,0,42.80142996425089,27.331816704582387,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[38.34696261682243,20.70677570093458,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.94626168224299],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,30.731061859080384,8.534568309626199,0,0,60.734369831293414],[29.444263893402663,0,0,0.4224894377640559,0,42.80142996425089,27.331816704582387,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

79.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[38.34696261682243,20.70677570093458,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.94626168224299],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,30.731061859080384,8.534568309626199,0,0,60.734369831293414],[29.444263893402663,0,0,0.4224894377640559,0,42.80142996425089,27.331816704582387,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Pedro Juracán LopícAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Lorenzo Lopíc SolísSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Nicolas Xitamul MoralesSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Jesus SotoySíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Esteban Tzunun VelásquezConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Victor Manuel Tax CozConcejal 22015UNEunknown
Andres Tos XiapConcejal 32015PPunknown
Esteban Juracán XitamulConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Genaro Leja JuracanConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
PEDRO JURACAN LEJAALCALDE2019FUERZAunknown
SANTOS XITAMUL MORALESSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019FUERZAunknown
LUCAS JURACAN LEBONSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019FUERZAunknown
VICTOR TZUNUN XITAMULSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019FUERZAunknown
JUAN MACARIO SAMINES TAYCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019FUERZAunknown
JEREMIAS SOLIS NIMAJAYCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019FUERZAunknown
FILIBERTO SEQUEC JURACÁNCONCEJAL TERCERO2019CREOunknown
JULIÁN JURACAN SEQUECCONCEJAL CUARTO2019PCunknown
VICTOR JURACAN SOLÍSPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019FUERZAunknown
RICARDO GONZALEZ TÓSSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CREOunknown
FILIBERTO SEQUEC JURACANALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023UNEunknown
RICARDO GONZALEZ TOSSINDICO I2023UNEunknown
CARLOS PEREBAL SALAZARSINDICO II2023UNEunknown
JOSUE ISAIAS TAX COZCONCEJAL I2023UNEunknown
SANTIAGO TOC JURACANCONCEJAL II2023UNEunknown
NICOLAS TOC TOCCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
SANTOS LOPIC QUIEJUCONCEJAL IV2023MLPunknown
VICTOR BALAM JURACANSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
RICARDO SOLIS SOLISCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
VACANTECONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023Unknownunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Concepción — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-08. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.