Office briefing
Santa Clara La Laguna — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Clara La Laguna / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-07
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Clara La Laguna / Sololá
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-c5fdaf9158e5929b781f0041
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS32.5%
- VICTORIA26.1%
- UNE19.2%
- CABAL15.0%
- VALOR UNIONISTA4.7%
- TODOS2.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · FRANCISCO CHAVAJAY SAQUIC | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,588 | 32.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,273 | 26.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 936 | 19.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 731 | 15% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 231 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 124 | 2.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UCN41.9%
- UNE25.9%
- VAMOS23.5%
- FCN-NACION6.1%
- LIBRE2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCN · FRANCISCO CHAVAJAY SAQUIC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,899 | 41.9% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,176 | 25.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,064 | 23.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 278 | 6.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 116 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-10-25
Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER48.0%
- PP46.2%
- UNE5.2%
- TODOS0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Pedro Par Par | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,166 | 48% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · Francisco Chavajay Saquic | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,086 | 46.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| UNE · Alberto Abraham Zapeta Chavez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 236 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Enrique Rafael Chiyal To | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 27 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI55.840–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.450952283432315, oldest_gap=1.771871539313402, previous_gap=15.949702183984119
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.8percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.168543927913166,32.52099119393815,2.5394224861765307,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.771042391972145],[25.943084050297816,23.47231414074564,0,41.892786234281935,0,0,0,0,6.132803882638429,0,0,2.559011692036179],[5.227021040974529,0,0.5980066445182725,0,0,47.9734219269103,46.201550387596896,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility94.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.168543927913166,32.52099119393815,2.5394224861765307,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.771042391972145],[25.943084050297816,23.47231414074564,0,41.892786234281935,0,0,0,0,6.132803882638429,0,0,2.559011692036179],[5.227021040974529,0,0.5980066445182725,0,0,47.9734219269103,46.201550387596896,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility74.79percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.168543927913166,32.52099119393815,2.5394224861765307,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,45.771042391972145],[25.943084050297816,23.47231414074564,0,41.892786234281935,0,0,0,0,6.132803882638429,0,0,2.559011692036179],[5.227021040974529,0,0.5980066445182725,0,0,47.9734219269103,46.201550387596896,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Par Par | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Lorenzo Yac Sulugui | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| José Feliciano Mazariegos Tuj | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Francisco To Chacom | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Nicolás Bay Chacom | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Antonio Santos To | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Miguel Tuj Mazariegos | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Maria Sac Chocoy de Pérez | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Pedro Samuel Canis Tacam | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Jerónimo Tahay Ajú | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| FRANCISCO CHAVAJAY SAQUIC | ALCALDE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| DELFINO JOSE YAC JOJ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| MIGUEL AJSOC CHACOM | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| GASPAR TÓ CHIYAL | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| PEDRO FABIAN IXMATA CHOCOY | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| ESDRAS SAC AJCHÉ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| JUAN ANTONIO BATZ TÓ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| PEDRO SAMUEL CANIS TACAM | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| DIEGO EDUARDO SOSA PÉREZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| NICOLAS CHACÓM TÓ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FRANCISCO CHAVAJAY SAQUIC | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JORGE URBANO PEREZ TZAJ | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JUAN ALFONZO QUICHE SAQUIC | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JUAN ANTONIO BATZ TO | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| VICENTE ISAIAS VASQUEZ COXAJ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| NICOLAS OSWALDO CHAVAJAY QUICHE | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VICTORIA | unknown |
| ENRIQUE RAFAEL CHIYAL TO | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| MIGUEL TZAJ RAZON | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MIGUEL CHOCOY AJSOC | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ANTONIO TUJ TZAJ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VICTORIA | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Clara La Laguna — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.