Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Catarina Ixtahuacán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Santa Catarina Ixtahuacán / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-06

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Catarina Ixtahuacán / Sololá
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-abed780baf9c7106d0b7f40a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS64.1%
  • CABAL33.2%
  • UNE2.1%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA0.4%
  • MLP0.3%
Results for event-4e47f365541e436047225c3c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · PASCUAL TAMBRIZ TZEPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202314,20464.1%8Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,36833.2%2Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234612.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023860.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023570.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE52.4%
  • FCN-NACION22.2%
  • VAMOS20.8%
  • FUERZA3.2%
  • MLP1.0%
  • PHG0.2%
  • PODEMOS0.2%
  • WINAQ0.1%
Results for event-f672d9caf6047e1e3d9ad87f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · PASCUAL TAMBRÍZ TZEPguatemala/S6d250220e847/201911,52452.4%6Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,89022.2%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,56720.8%1Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196963.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192141%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019530.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019420.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019200.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP42.0%
  • LIDER31.4%
  • UNE19.5%
  • CREO- Unionista6.8%
  • PRI0.2%
Results for event-87cddda7cdb0dc025597dd29
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Pascual Tambriz Tzepguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159,21142%5Recorded
LIDER · Pascual Tambriz y Tambrizguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,87431.4%2Recorded
UNE · Miguel Arcenio Ixquiactap Tahayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,28419.5%1Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,4976.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Manuel Sac Tzepguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015540.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.826118326118326, oldest_gap=10.661496350364963, previous_gap=30.146323729891844

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

72.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.078823953823954,64.05122655122655,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.869949494949495],[52.36753612651095,20.753430882486594,0,0,0,0,0,0,22.221212396619105,0,0,4.657820594383351],[19.543795620437955,0,0,0,0,31.35948905109489,42.02098540145985,0,0,0,0,7.075729927007299]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.078823953823954,64.05122655122655,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.869949494949495],[52.36753612651095,20.753430882486594,0,0,0,0,0,0,22.221212396619105,0,0,4.657820594383351],[19.543795620437955,0,0,0,0,31.35948905109489,42.02098540145985,0,0,0,0,7.075729927007299]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

74.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.078823953823954,64.05122655122655,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.869949494949495],[52.36753612651095,20.753430882486594,0,0,0,0,0,0,22.221212396619105,0,0,4.657820594383351],[19.543795620437955,0,0,0,0,31.35948905109489,42.02098540145985,0,0,0,0,7.075729927007299]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Pascual Tambriz TzepAlcalde2015PPunknown
Roberto Guachiac SohomSíndico I2015PPunknown
Francisco Ixmatá RaxuléuSíndico II2015PPunknown
Juan Tum TahaySíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Sabino Tambriz SohómConcejal 12015PPunknown
Manuel Túm XocomConcejal 22015PPunknown
Manuel Ambrocio RaxuléuConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Antonio Cotiy SaquicConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Antonio Guarchaj AmbrocioConcejal 52015UNEunknown
Antonio Sohom XocómConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Martín Ixmatá SacConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
PASCUAL TAMBRÍZ TZEPALCALDE2019UNEunknown
FRANCISCO SIMAJ SOHOMSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
JAIME XOCHOLIJ CARRILLOSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
VACANTESÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
SABINO TAMBRIZ SOHÓMCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
MANUEL TÚM XOCOMCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
JUAN PERECHÚ IXQUIACTAPCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
MIGUEL XOCOL SACCONCEJAL CUARTO2019FCN-NACIONunknown
FRANCISCO TZOC POCOPCONCEJAL QUINTO2019VAMOSunknown
JUAN CARRILLO IXQUIERPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
ENRIQUE DIEGO TUM GUACHIACSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
PASCUAL TAMBRIZ TZEPALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
AGUSTIN SIMAJ XOCOLSINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
HORLANDO FRANCISCO IXTOS TZEPSINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
SABINO TAMBRIZ SOHOMCONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
MANUEL IXMATÁ SOHOMCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
FRANCISCO RAXULEU AMBROCIOCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
JUAN CARRILLO COJCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
MANUEL IXTOS COTIYCONCEJAL V2023VAMOSunknown
MIGUEL XOCOL PANQUIMCONCEJAL VI2023CABALunknown
JOSÉ AMBROCIO RAXULEUCONCEJAL VII2023CABALunknown
MIGUEL ARMANDO GARCÍA SAJVINSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
JUAN PERECHU TZEPCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
MAXIMILIANO MORALES TAMBRIZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown
MIGUEL CHOX XUMCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023CABALunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Catarina Ixtahuacán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-06. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.