Office briefing
Santa Lucía Utatlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Lucía Utatlán / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-04
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Lucía Utatlán / Sololá
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-927d95faa87a858738614177
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS36.8%
- UNE24.5%
- CABAL14.6%
- U R N G - MAIZ9.0%
- AZUL6.8%
- VALOR UNIONISTA3.6%
- TODOS2.1%
- MLP1.7%
- VICTORIA0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · STUARDO ALFONSO CACERES OVALLE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,350 | 36.8% | 6 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,229 | 24.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,329 | 14.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| U R N G - MAIZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 821 | 9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 622 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 325 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 195 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 159 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 61 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VIVA26.6%
- PC18.7%
- VAMOS18.5%
- UNE18.5%
- SEMILLA7.7%
- FUERZA4.5%
- MLP3.1%
- TODOS2.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIVA · MACARIO ENCARNACION JOJ YAC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,057 | 26.6% | 4 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,447 | 18.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,434 | 18.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,432 | 18.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 597 | 7.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 347 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 243 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 174 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER46.1%
- PP35.9%
- UCN12.4%
- CONVERGENCIA2.8%
- UNE2.2%
- CREO0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Santos Augusto Yac Joj | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,724 | 46.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · Adrian Carmen Cochoy Yac | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,904 | 35.9% | 2 | Recorded |
| UCN · Nicolas Xaminez Cux | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,001 | 12.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CONVERGENCIA · Luz Emilia Gregoria Ulario Zavala | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 230 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE · Venancio Cruz Yac Chamorro | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 175 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO · Lorenzo Chávez y Chávez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 45 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI46.10–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.330876691233087, oldest_gap=10.149771011263773, previous_gap=7.890311731988103
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility34.44percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.518754812451874,36.84963150368496,2.144978550214498,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,36.48663513364867],[18.522830164273703,18.54870003880481,2.2506790842064417,0,26.60716595524512,0,0,0,0,0,7.722157547535894,26.348467209934032],[2.1661096670379996,0,0,12.390147295457359,0,46.09481371456864,35.945042703304864,0.5569996286669142,0,0,0,2.846886990964228]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility94.99percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.518754812451874,36.84963150368496,2.144978550214498,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,36.48663513364867],[18.522830164273703,18.54870003880481,2.2506790842064417,0,26.60716595524512,0,0,0,0,0,7.722157547535894,26.348467209934032],[2.1661096670379996,0,0,12.390147295457359,0,46.09481371456864,35.945042703304864,0.5569996286669142,0,0,0,2.846886990964228]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility64.71percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.518754812451874,36.84963150368496,2.144978550214498,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,36.48663513364867],[18.522830164273703,18.54870003880481,2.2506790842064417,0,26.60716595524512,0,0,0,0,0,7.722157547535894,26.348467209934032],[2.1661096670379996,0,0,12.390147295457359,0,46.09481371456864,35.945042703304864,0.5569996286669142,0,0,0,2.846886990964228]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Augusto Yac Joj | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Esvin Arcadio Xum Saquic | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Fernando Rodrigo Aju Ixcol | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Domingo Saloj Aju | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Haroldo Castillo Ovalle | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Vicente Felipe Chavez Saquic | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Alejandro Fidel Vicente Vásquez | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Gaspar Arnoldo Chox López | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Pedro Rafael Charar González | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Marcos Arturo López Vásquez | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| MACARIO ENCARNACION JOJ YAC | ALCALDE | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| MARIANO SAZO DE LEON | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| JULIAN CAN TUNAY | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| PANTALEON FELIX YAC LOCH | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| MOISES PEREZ YAXON | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| ANTONIO FELICITO IXCOL CHÁVEZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JOSÉ LUIS CAN CHAY | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| NICOLÁS JOSÉ YAC CÁN | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MARGARITO PABLO CHAVEZ SAQUIC | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| PEDRO RAFAEL CHARAR GONZÁLEZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| STUARDO ALFONSO CACERES OVALLE | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CARLOS ENRIQUE GUTIERREZ SAQUIC | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| SANTIAGO DOMINGO IXCOL XITAMUL | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| WILLIAM ESTUARDO COCHOY RALDA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| BARTOLO ENCARNACION XAMINEZ CUX | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ENRIQUE SANTIAGO AJÚ CUX | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CARLOS ANTONIO CAN XITAMUL | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| MOISÉS PÉREZ YAXÓN | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| LORENZO YAC CHÁVEZ | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MIGUEL ULARIO SAZO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JORGE ALBERTO FERMIN CHARAR YAC | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Lucía Utatlán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-04. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.