Office briefing
Santa María Visitación — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa María Visitación / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-03
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa María Visitación / Sololá
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-41d80df1f8d99428dd0a09bf
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS50.4%
- CABAL46.2%
- VALOR UNIONISTA3.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · MARIO ROBERTO DIONISIO DIONISIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 741 | 50.4% | 5 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 678 | 46.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 50 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS35.5%
- URGN-MAIZ32.7%
- VIVA22.3%
- FUERZA4.8%
- SEMILLA4.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · MARIO ROBERTO DIONISIO DIONISIO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 495 | 35.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| URGN-MAIZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 456 | 32.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 311 | 22.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 67 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 64 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- TODOS40.0%
- LIDER34.4%
- PP21.8%
- UNE3.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODOS · Mario Roberto Dionisio Dionisio | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 509 | 40% | 5 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Edgar Rolando Sosa Dionisio | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 438 | 34.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Gerardo Chavajay Dionisio | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 278 | 21.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE · Diego Adrian Chavajay Dionicio | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 48 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI80.150–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.2886317222600425, oldest_gap=5.577376276512176, previous_gap=2.7997128499641093
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility26.92percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,50.442477876106196,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.557522123893804],[0,35.53481694185212,0,0,22.32591529073941,0,0,0,0,0,4.594400574300072,37.5448671931084],[3.7706205813040063,0,39.98428908091123,0,0,34.406912804399056,21.838177533385704,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility100percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,50.442477876106196,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.557522123893804],[0,35.53481694185212,0,0,22.32591529073941,0,0,0,0,0,4.594400574300072,37.5448671931084],[3.7706205813040063,0,39.98428908091123,0,0,34.406912804399056,21.838177533385704,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.46percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,50.442477876106196,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.557522123893804],[0,35.53481694185212,0,0,22.32591529073941,0,0,0,0,0,4.594400574300072,37.5448671931084],[3.7706205813040063,0,39.98428908091123,0,0,34.406912804399056,21.838177533385704,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Roberto Dionisio Dionisio | Alcalde | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Catarino Teleguario Ixen | Síndico I | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Bartolo Celada Pérez | Síndico II | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Edgar Chavajay Dionicio | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Lucia Adriana Cox Chavajay | Concejal 1 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Reyes Baltasar Tahay Cimilian | Concejal 2 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Angela Filomena Sosa Cox de Chavajay | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Ana Florinda Dionisio Yac de Chavajay | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| José de León Chutá | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Luis Chavajay Dionisio | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| MARIO ROBERTO DIONISIO DIONISIO | ALCALDE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ADELIO EDUARDO DIONISIO TOHOM | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HELDER MAIXIMIANO SOSA AJU | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSÉ MIGUEL GONZÁLES CHAVAJAY | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CASIMIRO MUY VÁSQUEZ | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| WERNER EMANUEL SOSA TEPAZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ODILIA CAROLINA DIONISIO CUÁ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | URNG-MAIZ | unknown |
| VICENTA CHAVAJAY DIONISIO | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | VIVA | unknown |
| DANTE RIVELINO CUTZAL CHAVAJAY | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ROBERTO ANTONIO CHAVAJAY GODOY | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | URNG-MAIZ | unknown |
| MARIO ROBERTO DIONISIO DIONISIO | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ENRIQUE EUGENIO PACHECO TAHAY | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| NICOLAS CHAVAJAY CHAVAJAY | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CRUZ BENIGNO JAMINEZ CHOVON | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| HERMELINDO PANTALEON CHOX ATZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ARMANDO ALFREDO CHÁVEZ CHAVAJAY | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JUAN DIONISIO IXMAY CALEL | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| HERBERT ANTONIO PÉREZ JUÁREZ | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MAXIMILIANO EUGENIO LÓPEZ AJÚ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| GLENDA MAGDALENA PÉREZ AJSOC | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa María Visitación — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-03. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.