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Office briefing

Sololá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Sololá / Sololá · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-07-01

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sololá / Sololá
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-52cc8d76b90aa276142b6c8f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • SUD39.5%
  • U R N G - MAIZ35.8%
  • VAMOS21.3%
  • TICC3.5%
Results for event-a573c70f015fd99b5f12d9e2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SUD · ANDRES LISANDRO IBOY CHIROYguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202314,21939.5%8Recorded
U R N G - MAIZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202312,88535.8%4Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,66621.3%2Recorded
TICCguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,2633.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • URGN-MAIZ44.9%
  • SUD39.5%
  • ATS10.6%
  • PODEMOS2.6%
  • FUERZA1.2%
  • SEMILLA0.7%
  • PC0.5%
Results for event-b5faaabf959ce077cdde9ec4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
URGN-MAIZ · CARLOS HUMBERTO GUARQUEZ AJIQUICHÍguatemala/S6d250220e847/201914,15544.9%7Recorded
SUDguatemala/S6d250220e847/201912,43139.5%3Recorded
ATSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,33010.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20198282.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193851.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192310.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191480.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • SUD49.5%
  • URNG MAIZ42.3%
  • LIDER3.1%
  • UCN2.9%
  • UNE1.7%
  • CREO0.5%
Results for event-88bb1517aea2ddf980a5d80b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SUD · Andrés Lisandro Iboy Chiroyguatemala/S6241581360d0/201515,55849.5%7Recorded
URNG MAIZ · Carlos Humberto Guarquez Ajiquichiguatemala/S6241581360d0/201513,30742.3%3Recorded
LIDER · Norberto Melquiades Pocop Salojguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159673.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Gabriel Amilcar De León Mogollonguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159052.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Rudy Anibal Ralon Lópezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155281.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO · Julio Cesar Cabrera Aguilarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151590.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

77.10–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.7021619071406775, oldest_gap=7.16331466395112, previous_gap=5.471626253649866

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,21.274942413898373,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.72505758610164],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.7331471372349879,99.26685286276499],[1.680244399185336,0,0,2.8799643584521384,0,3.077265784114053,0,0.5059826883910387,0,0,0,91.85654276985744]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,21.274942413898373,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.72505758610164],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.7331471372349879,99.26685286276499],[1.680244399185336,0,0,2.8799643584521384,0,3.077265784114053,0,0.5059826883910387,0,0,0,91.85654276985744]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,21.274942413898373,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.72505758610164],[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.7331471372349879,99.26685286276499],[1.680244399185336,0,0,2.8799643584521384,0,3.077265784114053,0,0.5059826883910387,0,0,0,91.85654276985744]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Andrés Lisandro Iboy ChiroyAlcalde2015SUDunknown
Bernardino Alfonso Cumatz YaxónSíndico I2015SUDunknown
Ramón Cosiguá OrozcoSíndico II2015SUDunknown
Alberto Panjoj SicajauSíndico Suplente2015SUDunknown
Juan Pich GüitConcejal 12015SUDunknown
Francisco Javier Laparra ArreagaConcejal 22015SUDunknown
Genaro Acetún AjcalónConcejal 32015SUDunknown
Mariano Israel Xaminez BaquinConcejal 42015SUDunknown
Pedro Saloj PozConcejal 52015URNG-MAIZunknown
Juan Procopio Sicajau SalojConcejal 62015URNG-MAIZunknown
Héctor Coc ChiroyConcejal 72015URNG-MAIZunknown
Miguel Guarcax CastroConcejal suplente 12015SUDunknown
Mateo Saminez MeletzConcejal suplente 22015SUDunknown
Mariano Sulugui XepConcejal suplente 32015URNG-MAIZunknown
CARLOS HUMBERTO GUARQUEZ AJIQUICHÍALCALDE2019URNG-MAIZunknown
EFRAÍN MURA CUMATZSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
HÉCTOR COC CHIROYSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
INÉS SALOJ SALOJSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019URNG-MAIZunknown
JUAN PROCOPIO SICAJAU SALOJCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
CARLOS HUMBERTO CHIYAL CUXULICCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
JUAN CARLOS SOLARES SALOJCONCEJAL TERCERO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
CALIXTO TUY TUISCONCEJAL CUARTO2019URNG-MAIZunknown
BERNARDINO ALFONSO CUMATZ YAXONCONCEJAL QUINTO2019SUDunknown
MANUEL SAMINES CUCCONCEJAL SEXTO2019SUDunknown
JUAN PICH GUITCONCEJAL SÉPTIMO2019SUDunknown
PEDRO ALFONSO YAX GARCÍAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019URNG-MAIZunknown
ANGÉLICA MENDOZA TÚNSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019URNG-MAIZunknown
CARLOS CHURUNEL QUISQUINÁTERCEL CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019SUDunknown
ANDRES LISANDRO IBOY CHIROYALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023SUDunknown
VICENTE PALAX YAXÓNSINDICO I2023SUDunknown
LUIS ANTONIO TZORÍN NOJSINDICO II2023SUDunknown
DANIEL CASTRO XOQUICSINDICO III2023SUDunknown
PEDRO VÁSQUEZ PARCONCEJAL I2023SUDunknown
JESÚS YAXÓN CHUMILCONCEJAL II2023SUDunknown
CELESTINO PILO PABLOCONCEJAL III2023SUDunknown
JUANA RAMOS GUITCONCEJAL IV2023SUDunknown
EFRAÍN MURA CUMATZCONCEJAL V2023U R N G - MAIZunknown
SAMUEL BERNABE MENDOZA MARTINCONCEJAL VI2023U R N G - MAIZunknown
JUAN CARLOS SOLARES SALOJCONCEJAL VII2023U R N G - MAIZunknown
JULIO AJCALÓN BENCONCEJAL VIII2023U R N G - MAIZunknown
RODOLFO ALEJANDRO SALAZAR DE LEÓNCONCEJAL IX2023VAMOSunknown
CARLOS HUMBERTO CHIYAL CUXULICCONCEJAL X2023VAMOSunknown
MARÍA CARMEN BOCEL YAXÓNSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023SUDunknown
MATEO SAMINEZ MELETZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023SUDunknown
BERTA ELVIRA TUY JOJCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023SUDunknown
CAROLINA ALONZO CHUJCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023U R N G - MAIZunknown
VICTOR MENDOZA RAXTÚNCONCEJAL SUPLENTE IV2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Sololá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-07-01. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.