Office briefing
Santa Cruz Naranjo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Cruz Naranjo / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-12
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Cruz Naranjo / Santa Rosa
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-09edb1434e6e27c38cf18b50
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL52.9%
- VAMOS33.3%
- VALOR UNIONISTA9.7%
- BIEN3.0%
- UNE1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · IVAN ANTONIO MORALES DEL CID | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,735 | 52.9% | 6 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,352 | 33.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 686 | 9.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 214 | 3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 69 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CCS27.5%
- PC26.2%
- UNIONISTA13.1%
- CCT10.7%
- VAMOS9.5%
- CREO4.7%
- VALOR4.1%
- FCN-NACION2.2%
- LIBRE1.5%
- AVANZA0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCS · CARLOS SALVADOR RODRIGUEZ REVOLORIO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,917 | 27.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,825 | 26.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 915 | 13.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| CCT | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 744 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 662 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 324 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 283 | 4.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 155 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 103 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AVANZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 34 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PP32.9%
- CCT32.4%
- LIDER26.2%
- UNE6.5%
- TODOS1.2%
- CREO- Unionista0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP · José Angel Lechuga Avila | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,189 | 32.9% | 5 | Recorded |
| CCT · Carlos Salvador Rodriguez Revolorio | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,155 | 32.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Margarito De Jesus Mejia Quevedo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,746 | 26.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE · Juan Alberto Revolorio Herrarte | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 435 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Erick Ricardo Navarro Castro | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 77 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Miguel Angel Guzman Barrios | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 57 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI38.960–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.60034013605442, oldest_gap=0.510587175251537, previous_gap=1.3214593507612733
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility24.8percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.9778911564625851,33.333333333333336,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.68877551020408],[0,9.508761850043092,0,0,0,0,0,4.6538351048549265,2.2263717322608447,13.142775064636599,0,70.46825624820454],[6.532512389247635,0,1.1563297792461331,0,0,26.220153176152575,32.872803724282925,0,0,0,0,33.21820093107073]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility66.78percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.9778911564625851,33.333333333333336,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.68877551020408],[0,9.508761850043092,0,0,0,0,0,4.6538351048549265,2.2263717322608447,13.142775064636599,0,70.46825624820454],[6.532512389247635,0,1.1563297792461331,0,0,26.220153176152575,32.872803724282925,0,0,0,0,33.21820093107073]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45.79percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.9778911564625851,33.333333333333336,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.68877551020408],[0,9.508761850043092,0,0,0,0,0,4.6538351048549265,2.2263717322608447,13.142775064636599,0,70.46825624820454],[6.532512389247635,0,1.1563297792461331,0,0,26.220153176152575,32.872803724282925,0,0,0,0,33.21820093107073]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Angel Lechuga Avila | Alcalde | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Joel Anibal Alvarez Meda | Síndico I | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Daniel Antonio Santos Salazar | Síndico II | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Fabian de Jesús Aguilar Gómez | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Rudi Gerardo Franco y Franco | Concejal 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Ovidio Valenzuela López | Concejal 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Henri Leonardo Quevedo Revolorio | Concejal 3 | 2015 | CCT | unknown |
| Adan Urbano Quevedo Ortiz | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Alberto Carías Monterroso | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Pedro Adolfo Pichilla Ramírez | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | CCT | unknown |
| CARLOS SALVADOR RODRIGUEZ REVOLORIO | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| JOSE DAVID MEJIA CERMEÑO | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| OSCAR ANIBAL MEJIA VALENZUELA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| ANGEL GOMEZ ORTIZ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| NORBERTO ANTONIO ORTIZ TURCIOS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| PEDRO ADOLFO PICHILLA RAMIREZ | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| JOEL ANIBAL ÁLVAREZ MEDA | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| MIGUEL ANGEL MONROY CONTRERAS | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UNIONISTA | unknown |
| GLENDER MAURICIO DONIS BOLAÑOS | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| ORLANDO OTONIEL LARA DÁVILA | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| IVAN ANTONIO MORALES DEL CID | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JUAN JOSE MORALES GOMEZ | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ELMER RAFAEL CONTRERAS GOMEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| RONI ESTUARDO QUEVEDO LOPEZ | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ROSA AMALIA MEJIA DAVILA | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO LOPEZ MEJIA | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| NORBERTO ANTONIO ORTIZ TURCIOS | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FERDIN ORLANDO LARA URBINA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ROGELIO DE JESUS ARROYO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| VERONICA AMARILIS GALEANO AGUILAR | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Cruz Naranjo — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-12. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.