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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa María Ixhuatán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Santa María Ixhuatán / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-10

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa María Ixhuatán / Santa Rosa
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-73e387953dfab09e2ee64615
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CABAL29.3%
  • VAMOS21.9%
  • UNE20.3%
  • VIVA11.0%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA6.7%
  • PODEMOS3.3%
  • BIEN2.8%
  • MLP1.4%
  • AZUL1.4%
  • PPN1.2%
  • MI FAMILIA0.3%
  • SEMILLA0.3%
  • PHG0.1%
Results for event-c34f77ade10a686d50c2729d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CABAL · WILSON ANTONIO GONZALEZ CORADOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,39729.3%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,79421.9%2Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,65820.3%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202389711%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235496.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232693.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232302.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231161.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231131.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231011.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023260.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023210.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023120.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE31.4%
  • FCN-NACION26.7%
  • SEMILLA26.0%
  • UCN5.7%
  • VICTORIA3.3%
  • MLP2.5%
  • PC2.3%
  • TODOS1.9%
  • VALOR0.2%
Results for event-4f9bf4891a0cdc6202a179b3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,43331.4%2Recorded
FCN-NACION · JORGE ALEXIS QUEVEDO DIVASguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,06826.7%4Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,01226%1Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194445.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192533.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191902.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191792.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191461.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019180.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP31.7%
  • LIDER25.4%
  • CREO- Unionista11.3%
  • UCN11.1%
  • TODOS8.6%
  • UNE6.6%
  • FCN NACION4.8%
  • EG0.5%
Results for event-2a4efbe9a244f367db9c6953
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Jorge Alexis Quevedo Divasguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,56331.7%5Recorded
LIDER · Elman Erik González Ramosguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,05825.4%2Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Wilson Antonio González Coradoguatemala/S6241581360d0/201591211.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Irma De Jesús Divas Castellanosguatemala/S6241581360d0/201590111.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Sixto Ramiro Dávila Gonzálezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156958.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Ronny Sthuartth González Aguilarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155356.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · German David Castillo Blancoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153884.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EG · Carmen Alegría Ruanoguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015420.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.368935598191371, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=4.713935167247836

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[20.261517780765,21.923499938897717,0,0,10.961749969448858,0,0,0,0,0,0.2566295979469632,46.59660271294147],[31.421929484695855,0,1.8855740668991348,5.734211545912437,0,0,0,0,26.70799431744802,0,25.984760428774376,8.265530156270179],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[20.261517780765,21.923499938897717,0,0,10.961749969448858,0,0,0,0,0,0.2566295979469632,46.59660271294147],[31.421929484695855,0,1.8855740668991348,5.734211545912437,0,0,0,0,26.70799431744802,0,25.984760428774376,8.265530156270179],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[20.261517780765,21.923499938897717,0,0,10.961749969448858,0,0,0,0,0,0.2566295979469632,46.59660271294147],[31.421929484695855,0,1.8855740668991348,5.734211545912437,0,0,0,0,26.70799431744802,0,25.984760428774376,8.265530156270179],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Jorge Alexis Quevedo DivasAlcalde2015PPunknown
Julio Roberto Pineda MoralesSíndico I2015PPunknown
Hernán Jiménez MoratayaSíndico II2015PPunknown
Victor Manuel Ramos VillaltaSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Sergio Federico Aguilar LeónConcejal 12015PPunknown
Isidro de La Cruz Lemus SantosConcejal 22015PPunknown
Marlon Arjeniz González GonzálezConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Antonio Morales PérezConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Everardo Morataya AriasConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Amarildo de Jesús Castellanos HerrarteConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
JORGE ALEXIS QUEVEDO DIVASALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019FCN-NACIONunknown
JOSÉ PERFECTO BLANCO ZEPEDASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019FCN-NACIONunknown
HERNÁN JIMÉNEZ MORATAYASÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019FCN-NACIONunknown
NELVIN ALEXANDER ZULETA LÓPEZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019FCN-NACIONunknown
SERGIO FEDERICO AGUILAR LEÓNCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
ISIDRO DE LA CRUZ LEMUS SANTOSCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
MELVIN ALEXANDER BAILÓN SOLISCONCEJAL TERCERO2019FCN-NACIONunknown
MARLON ARJENIZ GONZALEZ GONZALEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019SEMILLAunknown
JOSÉ ARTEMIO AGUILAR PÉREZPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
ALIS ELIZABETH MORALES HERNÁNDEZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019FCN-NACIONunknown
WILSON ANTONIO GONZALEZ CORADOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023CABALunknown
NELVIN ALEXANDER ZULETA LOPEZSINDICO I2023CABALunknown
RAMIRO DAVILA OSORIOSINDICO II2023CABALunknown
MELVIN ALEXANDER BAILON SOLISCONCEJAL I2023CABALunknown
WALTER ANTONIO MORATAYA MIJANGOSCONCEJAL II2023CABALunknown
ISIDRO DE LA CRUZ LEMUS SANTOSCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
SERGIO FEDERICO AGUILAR LEONCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
MAYNOR ANIBAL SANTOS MONTENEGROCONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
EDWIN RONALDO GARCIA ORANTESSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
PEDRO LUIS AGUILAR AGUILARCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023CABALunknown
DAVID CRUZ MUÑOZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Votes do not reconcile to printed emitted total: {"id": "GT-M-06-10", "year": 2015, "issue": "Votes do not reconcile to printed emitted total", "difference": 2, "pages": [359]}

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa María Ixhuatán — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-10. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.