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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Chiquimulilla — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Chiquimulilla / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-08

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Chiquimulilla / Santa Rosa
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-49e04dcb643e48afcba3e60d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS56.8%
  • UNE33.9%
  • CABAL4.2%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA1.5%
  • MLP1.2%
  • BIEN1.0%
  • AZUL0.9%
  • MI FAMILIA0.3%
  • PODEMOS0.3%
Results for event-6fde294c6fede6120063ad46
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · RUBEN DARIO ESCOBAR RUIZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202312,21056.8%8Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,28033.9%2Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238994.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233301.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232481.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232091%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231870.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023650.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023610.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PC21.6%
  • UNE21.4%
  • PHG13.2%
  • FCN-NACION10.2%
  • RETO10.2%
  • VAMOS7.7%
  • UCN4.7%
  • TODOS2.3%
  • VALOR1.7%
  • SEMILLA1.6%
  • RENACER CHIQUIMULILLA1.5%
  • MLP1.2%
  • CCP1.0%
  • PAN0.5%
  • CREO0.5%
  • WINAQ0.4%
  • AVANZA0.2%
  • EG0.1%
Results for event-784ba6217d0b416b380dbd81
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PC · RUBEN DARIO ESCOBAR RUIZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,51221.6%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,47221.4%2Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,75613.2%1Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,14410.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RETOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,13710.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,6177.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199844.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194882.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193531.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193371.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
RENACER CHIQUIMULILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193111.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192471.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CCPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192151%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PANguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191120.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019990.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019860.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVANZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019380.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EGguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019160.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UCN33.3%
  • PP26.9%
  • LIDER18.8%
  • FCN NACION11.3%
  • UNE4.9%
  • TODOS2.5%
  • CREO- Unionista1.3%
  • CNN1.2%
Results for event-ad6314dace5ed908daac7ebf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UCN · Obdulio Herrarte Carreraguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,82133.3%5Recorded
PP · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155,50726.9%2Recorded
LIDER · Jose Arturo Crespin De Pazguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,85218.8%1Recorded
FCN NACION · Luis Alberto Villegas Pachecoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,30611.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Luis Estuardo Gudiel Robledoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159974.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Jose Hernan Pineda Cerrateguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155062.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Armando Interiano Salazarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152581.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CNN · Juan Julian Ordoñez Hernandezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152361.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

27.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.94197031039137, oldest_gap=6.415075916613773, previous_gap=0.19116803670426208

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[33.87779794313369,56.81976825352506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.302433803341243],[21.37258650353661,7.727967883769834,2.332250047792009,4.702733702924871,0,0,0,0.47314089084305105,10.2466067673485,0,1.6105907092334162,51.53412349455171],[4.867451056974076,0,2.4703412586046967,33.30078601767319,0,18.80583898842943,26.885710101059416,0,0,0,0,13.66987257725919]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

74.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[33.87779794313369,56.81976825352506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.302433803341243],[21.37258650353661,7.727967883769834,2.332250047792009,4.702733702924871,0,0,0,0.47314089084305105,10.2466067673485,0,1.6105907092334162,51.53412349455171],[4.867451056974076,0,2.4703412586046967,33.30078601767319,0,18.80583898842943,26.885710101059416,0,0,0,0,13.66987257725919]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

68.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[33.87779794313369,56.81976825352506,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.302433803341243],[21.37258650353661,7.727967883769834,2.332250047792009,4.702733702924871,0,0,0,0.47314089084305105,10.2466067673485,0,1.6105907092334162,51.53412349455171],[4.867451056974076,0,2.4703412586046967,33.30078601767319,0,18.80583898842943,26.885710101059416,0,0,0,0,13.66987257725919]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Obdulio Herrarte CarreraAlcalde2015Ucnunknown
Juan Herrera PelicoSíndico I2015Ucnunknown
Melvin Ediberto Donis HernándezSíndico Ii2015Ucnunknown
Cecilio Donis HernándezSíndico Suplente2015Ucnunknown
Guadalupe Aguirre González DonisConcejal 12015Ucnunknown
Armando Coronado HernandezConcejal 22015Ucnunknown
Alvaro Alexander Morales FajardoConcejal 32015Ppunknown
Allan Omar Gómez ContrerasConcejal 42015Ppunknown
Helar David López GarcíaConcejal 52015Liderunknown
Regino Ramírez Y RamírezConcejal Suplente 12015Ucnunknown
Luis Alberto Parada MartínezConcejal Suplente 22015Ppunknown
RUBEN DARIO ESCOBAR RUIZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019PCunknown
MAYRA GARCIA GALICIASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019PCunknown
GILBERTO PINEDA REYESSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
SALVADOR HERNANDEZ PEREZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
EDGAR DANILO CORADO ESTRADACONCEJAL PRIMERO2019PCunknown
HÉCTOR ARMANDO SAGASTUME AVILACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
WALTER JOSÉ PÉREZ CASTELLANOSCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
ARMANDO ANTONIO MARTÍNEZ CHAVEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
HECTOR ANTONIO ARRIAZA ALVAREZCONCEJAL QUINTO2019PHGunknown
EDY ARISTIDES GARCÍA AVILAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
WALTER IGNACIO SOLARES PINEDASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
RUBEN DARIO ESCOBAR RUIZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
MAYRA GARCIA GALICIASINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
GILBERTO PINEDA REYESSINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
EDGAR DANILO CORADO ESTRADACONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
HECTOR ARMANDO SAGASTUME AVILACONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
OSCAR ORLANDO LOPEZ PINEDACONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
ESTEBAN PACAY AJCABULCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
CARLOS HUMBERTO PINEDA RODRIGUEZCONCEJAL V2023VAMOSunknown
KEVIN ASDRUVAL ALBUREZ MENDOZACONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
HIGINIO GONZALO PEREZ AGUILARCONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
ANTONY CRISTIAN GONZALEZ SURIANOSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
BYRON ATILIO GARCIA MORENOCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
OCTAVIANO SANTOS GONZALEZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown
JOSE MARIA DIAZ RAMIREZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Chiquimulilla — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-08. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.