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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Juan Tecuaco — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · San Juan Tecuaco / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-07

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Juan Tecuaco / Santa Rosa
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-93b8641202d9313c9ef7bee4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE47.5%
  • VAMOS46.9%
  • CABAL2.8%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA1.8%
  • AZUL1.0%
Results for event-0150498dccba71b4f946fd93
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · MARVIN MORALES GARCIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,77647.5%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,74146.9%2Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231622.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231081.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023561%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UCN39.9%
  • CREO30.5%
  • UNE24.6%
  • FCN-NACION3.9%
  • VAMOS1.1%
Results for event-5c7459f5f9b396b532f7ff2d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UCN · WILIAN ALONZO GARCÍA Y GARCÍAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,06739.9%5Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,58330.5%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,27524.6%1Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192033.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019551.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP44.0%
  • LIDER32.4%
  • UCN18.5%
  • UNE5.1%
Results for event-406f5f111fa7b5d9f0b159d7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Wilian Alonzo García y Garcíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,14144%5Recorded
LIDER · Mynor Giovany Morales Blancoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,57732.4%1Recorded
UCN · Leonidas Antonio Dávila Florianguatemala/S6241581360d0/201590218.5%1Recorded
UNE · Hedi Hernan Morales Marroquinguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152465.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

78.40–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5990073592332692, oldest_gap=11.590628853267575, previous_gap=9.338221107466719

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

74.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.509840835187404,46.910833475954135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.5793256888584635],[24.59965271078526,1.0611614894848542,0,39.88037815936716,0,0,0,30.542157051900443,3.9166505884622804,0,0,0],[5.055487053020962,0,0,18.53678586107686,0,32.4085491163173,43.99917796958488,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

76.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.509840835187404,46.910833475954135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.5793256888584635],[24.59965271078526,1.0611614894848542,0,39.88037815936716,0,0,0,30.542157051900443,3.9166505884622804,0,0,0],[5.055487053020962,0,0,18.53678586107686,0,32.4085491163173,43.99917796958488,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.509840835187404,46.910833475954135,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.5793256888584635],[24.59965271078526,1.0611614894848542,0,39.88037815936716,0,0,0,30.542157051900443,3.9166505884622804,0,0,0],[5.055487053020962,0,0,18.53678586107686,0,32.4085491163173,43.99917796958488,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Wilian Alonzo García y GarcíaAlcalde2015PPunknown
Alex Vásquez AceitunoSíndico I2015PPunknown
Francisco Javier Gómez AlcantaraSíndico II2015PPunknown
Margarito de Jesús González NavarijoSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Lucas García DonisConcejal 12015PPunknown
Alejandro García FelipeConcejal 22015PPunknown
Melvin Alexy Cano AceitunoConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Secundino Cano CardonaConcejal 42015UCNunknown
José Domingo García AquinoConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Marly Susana García BailónConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
WILIAN ALONZO GARCÍA Y GARCÍAALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019UCNunknown
FRANCISCO JAVIER GÓMEZ ALCANTARASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UCNunknown
HUMBERTO SALAZAR GODOYSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UCNunknown
HERIBERTO HERNADEZ NAVARIJOSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UCNunknown
ALEX VASQUEZ ACEITUNOCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UCNunknown
LUCAS GARCÍA DONISCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UCNunknown
EDELMAR MORATAYA MARROQUÍNCONCEJAL TERCERO2019CREOunknown
MELVIN ALEXY CANO ACEITUNOCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
ELIAZAR AQUINO GARCÍAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UCNunknown
JUAN ANTONIO GARCÍA DE LA ROSASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CREOunknown
MARVIN MORALES GARCIAALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023UNEunknown
GREGORIO CARDONA RODRIGUEZSINDICO I2023UNEunknown
JESLIAS ABELINO FELIPE VASQUEZSINDICO II2023UNEunknown
MELVIN ALEXY CANO ACEITUNOCONCEJAL I2023UNEunknown
EDGAR EDUARDO SANTOS AGUILARCONCEJAL II2023UNEunknown
ALEX VASQUEZ ACEITUNOCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
LUCAS GARCIA DONISCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
PETRONILO NAVARIJO GARCIASINDICO SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
ERVIN AROLDO MORATAYA MARROQUINCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
YENIFER PAHOLA VASQUEZ CARIASCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “San Juan Tecuaco — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.