Office briefing
Santa Rosa De Lima — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Rosa De Lima / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-03
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Rosa De Lima / Santa Rosa
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-408285b37164bdb14b6c93fb
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL32.5%
- VAMOS27.6%
- CCS21.0%
- VALOR UNIONISTA17.7%
- BIEN0.8%
- TODOS0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · JUAN JOSE DAVILA AGUILAR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,491 | 32.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,112 | 27.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| CCS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,609 | 21% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR UNIONISTA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,358 | 17.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 59 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 31 | 0.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CCS25.8%
- UNE22.5%
- VAMOS15.4%
- UCN12.0%
- VALOR11.7%
- FCN-NACION10.6%
- EG1.7%
- AVANZA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCS · LLAN CARLOS DÁVILA ARÉVALO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,868 | 25.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,630 | 22.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,118 | 15.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 867 | 12% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 850 | 11.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 770 | 10.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| EG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 121 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AVANZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 15 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CCS46.0%
- PP35.4%
- LIDER17.4%
- CREO- Unionista1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCS · Llan Carlos Davila Arevalo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,528 | 46% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · Oscar Armando Ramírez Dávila | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,709 | 35.4% | 2 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Carlos Guillermo Donis Álvarez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,333 | 17.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · José Rafael González Santos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 92 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI74.880–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.947780678851178, oldest_gap=10.689115113547373, previous_gap=3.287746926371046
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45.13percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,27.571801566579634,0.4046997389033943,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.02349869451697],[22.51692222682691,15.444122116314409,0,11.97679237463738,0,0,0,0,10.636828291200443,0,0,39.42533499102086],[0,0,0,0,0,17.39754633255025,35.35630383711825,0,0,0,0,47.246149830331504]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.57percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,27.571801566579634,0.4046997389033943,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.02349869451697],[22.51692222682691,15.444122116314409,0,11.97679237463738,0,0,0,0,10.636828291200443,0,0,39.42533499102086],[0,0,0,0,0,17.39754633255025,35.35630383711825,0,0,0,0,47.246149830331504]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.85percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,27.571801566579634,0.4046997389033943,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,72.02349869451697],[22.51692222682691,15.444122116314409,0,11.97679237463738,0,0,0,0,10.636828291200443,0,0,39.42533499102086],[0,0,0,0,0,17.39754633255025,35.35630383711825,0,0,0,0,47.246149830331504]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llan Carlos Davila Arevalo | Alcalde | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Mardoqueo Santos Hernandez | Síndico I | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Juan Francisco Sil Urias | Síndico II | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Arnoldo Gonzalez Samayoa | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Pedro Donis del Cid | Concejal 1 | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Adriana Solares Culex De Urias | Concejal 2 | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Balter Armando Aguilar Pichilla | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Maria Angelica Moran Moreira de Davila | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Erix Baldemar Camey Muñoz | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | CCS | unknown |
| Felix del Cid del Cid | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| LLAN CARLOS DÁVILA ARÉVALO | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| MARDOQUEO SANTOS HERNÁNDEZ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO SIL URIAS | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| TEOFILO GUERRA TUNCHE | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| ADRIANA SOLARES CULEX DE URIAS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| RUTH DEL CARMEN CASTILLO ALEGRIA DE GONZÁLES | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| SALVADOR DÁVILA AGUILAR | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JOSÉ DARIO ESCALANTE FRANCO | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ERIX BALDEMAR CAMEY MUÑOZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | CCS | unknown |
| MARIO HERLINDO DONIS SALAZAR | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN JOSE DAVILA AGUILAR | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MARTO VICENTE MEJIA YUMAN | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| NOE REMBERTO PINEDA QUIÑONEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE ARTURO SALAZAR PORTILLO | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE LAUREANO AVENDAÑO URIAS | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| FRANCISCO DE LOS ANGELES FRANCO CONTRERAS | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO MONTERROSO MELGAR | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | CCS | unknown |
| SALVADOR DAVILA AGUILAR | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | VALOR UNIONISTA | unknown |
| MIGUEL ANGEL GONZALEZ SAMAYOA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| EDGAR MARTIN GONZALEZ DEL CID | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| CLARA LUZ GARCIA YUMAN DE RODAS | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Rosa De Lima — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-03. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.