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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Barberena — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Barberena / Santa Rosa · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-06-02

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Barberena / Santa Rosa
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-d22e894663915888e6ef873a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS43.6%
  • VALOR UNIONISTA35.3%
  • UNE11.1%
  • CABAL5.6%
  • VIVA1.8%
  • PPN1.0%
  • TODOS0.7%
  • AZUL0.6%
  • P A N0.2%
Results for event-ff03d3f286373faaad34069a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · JONATHAN JOSE ANTONIO RUEDA VALLEJOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238,26743.6%6Recorded
VALOR UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236,68635.3%3Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,10811.1%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,0715.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233351.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231871%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231410.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231230.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
P A Nguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023460.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNIONISTA25.5%
  • C.C.M23.2%
  • VICTORIA13.6%
  • UNE13.4%
  • UCN12.4%
  • PC3.7%
  • TODOS3.3%
  • CREO2.3%
  • SEMILLA1.2%
  • VAMOS0.9%
  • PHG0.5%
Results for event-bd638bef40f5d9b693559b8c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIONISTA · RUBELIO RECINO COERAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,66425.5%5Recorded
C.C.Mguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,25123.2%1Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,49713.6%1Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,44813.4%1Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,28012.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196763.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20196043.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194242.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192211.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191660.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019830.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP32.4%
  • UCN31.4%
  • LIDER15.5%
  • UNE11.3%
  • CREO- Unionista4.5%
  • TODOS3.7%
  • EG1.2%
Results for event-2e19f2b6d1d734462fcafec8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Victor Manuel Jiménez Morán*guatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,37532.4%5Recorded
UCN · José Francisco Muñoz Quevedoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,16931.4%2Recorded
LIDER · Cesar Ignacio Monzón Garcíaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,05015.5%1Recorded
UNE · María Del Rosario Valenzuela Bonillaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,22311.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Juan José Alonzo Figueroaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158754.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Lucinda Elvidia Castellanos Sandovalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157293.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EG · Lucía Esperanza Arredondo Luceroguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152401.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.080–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.3368487660831, oldest_gap=1.0477595239306225, previous_gap=2.2551053838593447

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[11.115798354777473,43.593123813541446,0.7435140265766715,0,1.7665049567601772,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.78105884834424],[13.366823195369662,0.9064103964180409,3.2980233700993775,12.449492191765863,0,0,0,2.31516872338102,0,25.46685595719122,1.2067270940264279,40.99049907174839],[11.30664767814455,0,3.707848024006917,31.37683739382534,0,15.512944407710696,32.42459691775596,0,0,0,0,5.671125578556532]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[11.115798354777473,43.593123813541446,0.7435140265766715,0,1.7665049567601772,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.78105884834424],[13.366823195369662,0.9064103964180409,3.2980233700993775,12.449492191765863,0,0,0,2.31516872338102,0,25.46685595719122,1.2067270940264279,40.99049907174839],[11.30664767814455,0,3.707848024006917,31.37683739382534,0,15.512944407710696,32.42459691775596,0,0,0,0,5.671125578556532]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

56.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[11.115798354777473,43.593123813541446,0.7435140265766715,0,1.7665049567601772,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.78105884834424],[13.366823195369662,0.9064103964180409,3.2980233700993775,12.449492191765863,0,0,0,2.31516872338102,0,25.46685595719122,1.2067270940264279,40.99049907174839],[11.30664767814455,0,3.707848024006917,31.37683739382534,0,15.512944407710696,32.42459691775596,0,0,0,0,5.671125578556532]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Victor Manuel Jiménez Morán*Alcalde2015PPunknown
Francisco Arturo Hernández LanuzaSíndico I2015PPunknown
Ramiro Alfonso González HerrarteSíndico II2015PPunknown
Ilda Del Rosario Mejía Lanuza de GonzálezSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Eduardo Chinchilla GirónConcejal 12015PPunknown
Israel Antonio de Jesús Zetino DávilaConcejal 22015PPunknown
Edvin Eduardo Ramos MedinaConcejal 32015UCNunknown
Carlos Humberto Morales CastañedaConcejal 42015UCNunknown
Jorge Leonel Garcia DavilaConcejal 52015LIDERunknown
Juan Alberto Bolaños YumánConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Delmer Velasquez CermeñoConcejal suplente 22015UCNunknown
RUBELIO RECINO COERAALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019UNIONISTAunknown
FEDERICO FULGENCIO CRUZ SUAREZSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNIONISTAunknown
MARCO TULIO HERNANDEZ LANUZASÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNIONISTAunknown
RAMIRO DE PAZ DEOCUTESÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
WALTER ISRAEL FIGUEROA FLORESCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNIONISTAunknown
LUIS ALFONSO DE LA ROSA REYESCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNIONISTAunknown
CARMELA SÁNCHEZ JIMÉNEZ DE FERNANDEZCONCEJAL TERCERO2019C.C.M.unknown
ARODI ESAU LARA GONZALEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019VICTORIAunknown
ROGER ANTONIO ROMERO LIMACONCEJAL QUINTO2019UNEunknown
AMELIA ESTER CHAVEZ CATELLANOS DE CARDENASPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNIONISTAunknown
EDGAR ANTONIO OSCAL GODINEZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CCMunknown
JONATHAN JOSE ANTONIO RUEDA VALLEJOALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
LUIS ALFREDO CHAJON IXTUPESINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
JOSE CARLOS LIMA POCASANGRESINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
BALTAZAR EMERSON MUZ PEREZCONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
WALFREDO AREBALO LOPEZCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
NESTOR MANFREDO YUMAN MEJIACONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
ANA LUCIA RECINOS CHAVARRIA DE DIAZCONCEJAL IV2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
WALTER ISRAEL FIGUEROA FLORESCONCEJAL V2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
LUIS ALFONSO DE LA ROSA REYESCONCEJAL VI2023VALOR UNIONISTAunknown
MARIA DEL ROSARIO VALENZUELA BONILLACONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
JAIME ANTONIO CHAJON IXTUPESINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
BYRON ALEXANDER ARREDONDO ARIASCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
RAFAEL FRANCISCO AGUIRRE MELGARCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Barberena — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-06-02. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.