Office briefing
Sipacate — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Sipacate / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-14
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Sipacate / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-7d1ffd477e554cb0f5247d7e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VALOR64.6%
- VAMOS28.6%
- VIVA3.9%
- UNE2.2%
- PODEMOS0.5%
- CABAL0.2%
- MI FAMILIA0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALOR · WALTER ORLANDO NAJERA GONZALEZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5,252 | 64.6% | 6 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,324 | 28.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 318 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 175 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 37 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 19 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5 | 0.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FCN-NACION66.2%
- VALOR30.5%
- VAMOS2.3%
- SEMILLA1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCN-NACION · WALTER ORLANDO NAJERA GONZALEZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 4,698 | 66.2% | 6 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,160 | 30.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 166 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 68 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=36.01476014760148, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=35.786802030456855
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility67.2percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.1525215252152523,28.585485854858547,0,0,3.911439114391144,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.35055350553506],[0,2.340665538635082,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.24365482233503,0,0.9588268471517203,30.456852791878173],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.1525215252152523,28.585485854858547,0,0,3.911439114391144,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.35055350553506],[0,2.340665538635082,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.24365482233503,0,0.9588268471517203,30.456852791878173],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.1525215252152523,28.585485854858547,0,0,3.911439114391144,0,0,0,0,0,0,65.35055350553506],[0,2.340665538635082,0,0,0,0,0,0,66.24365482233503,0,0.9588268471517203,30.456852791878173],null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WALTER ORLANDO NAJERA GONZALEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| EDGAR ADÁN VELÁSQUEZ ALEMAN | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| JOSÉ MANUEL HERNÁNDEZ FIGUEROA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| RUBEN CÁRDENAS ORTEGA | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| JOSÉ LUIS MURALLES ZEPEDA | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| ILCY MARICELA MARROQUIN MEJIA YANES | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| CASTA LUZ RALÓN GUTIERREZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| ERICK OMAR SURIANO CARRILLO | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | VALOR | unknown |
| GUILLERMO FLORIAN | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| FRANKIE ADAM RAMIREZ HERRERA | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | FCN-NACION | unknown |
| WALTER ORLANDO NAJERA GONZALEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| EDGAR ADAN VELASQUEZ ALEMAN | SINDICO I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| JOSE MANUEL HERNANDEZ FIGUEROA | SINDICO II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| JOSE LUIS MURALLES ZEPEDA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| ILCY MARICELA MARROQUIN MEJIA DE YANES | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| GUILLERMO FLORIAN | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| EDNA SUCELY VASQUEZ MORALES DE BAUTISTA | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| RUBEN CARDENAS ORTEGA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| FRANKIE ADAM RAMIREZ HERRERA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| MAURICIO ERNESTO QUINTANILLA MEMBREÑO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Sipacate — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-14. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645.