Office briefing
Nueva Concepción — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Nueva Concepción / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-13
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Nueva Concepción / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5ebf7936a6fadf047d979964
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE24.9%
- CABAL16.5%
- VALOR16.0%
- PPN11.2%
- TODOS9.7%
- VIVA9.1%
- VAMOS7.0%
- PODEMOS2.8%
- CAMBIO0.9%
- AZUL0.6%
- VOS0.6%
- MI FAMILIA0.5%
- MLP0.2%
- PR0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · ISAIAS CORADO GARCÍA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,899 | 24.9% | 5 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,243 | 16.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 3,145 | 16% | 1 | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,204 | 11.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,908 | 9.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,802 | 9.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,388 | 7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 543 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 169 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 122 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 114 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 94 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 40 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 39 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE41.0%
- FUERZA21.0%
- PODEMOS11.9%
- PC11.1%
- VAMOS4.5%
- LIBRE2.6%
- BIEN2.0%
- CREO1.7%
- PHG1.3%
- UCN1.2%
- MLP1.0%
- UNIONISTA0.5%
- SEMILLA0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · JOSE ADOLFO POSUELOS SUAREZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 8,041 | 41% | 6 | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 4,125 | 21% | 2 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,333 | 11.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,171 | 11.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 882 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 520 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 385 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 343 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 259 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 226 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 189 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 98 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 57 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CREO- Unionista31.5%
- UNE17.4%
- PP14.5%
- TODOS12.3%
- LIDER12.0%
- URNG MAIZ2.7%
- MI PAIS2.6%
- VIVA2.4%
- FCN NACION2.0%
- PAN2.0%
- UCN0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CREO- Unionista · Otoniel Lima Recinos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 6,885 | 31.5% | 6 | Recorded |
| UNE · Jose Adolfo Posuelos Suarez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,792 | 17.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Jose Arturo Reynosa Orantes | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,176 | 14.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS · Carlos Ramiro De Jesus Herrarte Alvarez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,683 | 12.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Nehemias Mendoza | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,625 | 12% | 1 | Recorded |
| URNG MAIZ · Jorge Luis Noriega Martinez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 588 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI PAIS · Disraeli Cresencio Mendoza Hernandez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 574 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA · Manuel Vicente Chinchilla Ruano | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 514 | 2.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Wilian Rene Monterroso Mendez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 430 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN · Vacante | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 426 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Neri Arceli Fajardo Gutierrez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 153 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI37.790–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.401826484018265, oldest_gap=14.158198297171108, previous_gap=19.950073870293952
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility21.37percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.855403348554034,7.042110603754439,9.680365296803654,0,9.142567224759006,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.27955352612888],[40.96489887411483,4.493351673544246,0,1.1513576850578227,0,0,0,1.7474145397116512,0,0.49926129706047173,0.2903866727800703,50.85332925773091],[17.357868717385333,0,12.281424517074063,0.7003570447679209,2.352833470658244,12.015929689645702,14.538130550215142,0,0,0,0,40.753456010253586]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility41.19percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.855403348554034,7.042110603754439,9.680365296803654,0,9.142567224759006,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.27955352612888],[40.96489887411483,4.493351673544246,0,1.1513576850578227,0,0,0,1.7474145397116512,0,0.49926129706047173,0.2903866727800703,50.85332925773091],[17.357868717385333,0,12.281424517074063,0.7003570447679209,2.352833470658244,12.015929689645702,14.538130550215142,0,0,0,0,40.753456010253586]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility31.28percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.855403348554034,7.042110603754439,9.680365296803654,0,9.142567224759006,0,0,0,0,0,0,49.27955352612888],[40.96489887411483,4.493351673544246,0,1.1513576850578227,0,0,0,1.7474145397116512,0,0.49926129706047173,0.2903866727800703,50.85332925773091],[17.357868717385333,0,12.281424517074063,0.7003570447679209,2.352833470658244,12.015929689645702,14.538130550215142,0,0,0,0,40.753456010253586]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otoniel Lima Recinos | Alcalde | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Fidadelfo Gudiel Contreras | Síndico I | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Jaqueline Anabella Barrera Miranda | Síndico II | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| VACANTE | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Carlos Humberto Amaya Martínez | Concejal 1 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Hugo Humberto Galicia Pérez | Concejal 2 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Wayne Henry Sagastume Girón | Concejal 3 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Edix Isaias Lemus Orellana | Concejal 4 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Amilcar Bizarro Cermeño | Concejal 5 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Loly Etelvina Gonzáles Espina | Concejal 6 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Jose Gonzalo Barrera Calderón | Concejal 7 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Carlos Lima Ordóñez | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Elías Manolo Escobar Fernández | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | TODOS | unknown |
| Ingris Yanira López del Cid | Concejal suplente 3 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| JOSE ADOLFO POSUELOS SUAREZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ELIU DE JESÚS BAUTISTA GARCIA | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| SAUL LINARES CARDONA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| WALTER HERMIREZ HERNANDEZ BARRIENTOS | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FABIÑAN ALVAREZ MORALES | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FREDY FERNANDO CASTELLANOS | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ABEL GARCIA | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| WILLIAM ROBERTO ALVAREZ PACHECO | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| ELIEL ACEVEDO DIAZ | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| RODOLFO PAIZ FLORES | CONCEJAL SEXTO | 2019 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| SAYRA VERONICA REYES MARTINEZ | CONCEJAL SÉPTIMO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| KEVIN ELEAZAR SANTIAGO CARRASCOZA | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FIDEL DE LA CRUZ RODRIGUEZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| EDY CLEMENTE GOMEZ DEL CID | TERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| ISAIAS CORADO GARCÍA | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| OTILIO GÓMEZ | SINDICO I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| MYNOR YOVANI RAMIREZ HERNANDEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| ALVARO NOE ALONZO ARIAS | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| NEHEMIAS ROCAEL MENDEZ BATZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| ROLANDO DE JESUS RIOS VEGA | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| MARIANO HUMBERTO CRUZ DIAZ | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| MANUEL VICENTE CHINCHILLA RUANO | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | PPN | unknown |
| FLUVIA RAQUEL GUDIEL ALFARO DE ORTIZ | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | TODOS | unknown |
| DAVID FERNANDO CHIC JIMENEZ | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | VIVA | unknown |
| MAGALY MOLINA HERNANDEZ | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| AMILCAR BIZARRO CERMEÑO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| MAYRO CORADO GOMEZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| RUDY ALEJANDRO FIGUEROA CARDONA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Nueva Concepción — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-13. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.