Office briefing
San Vicente Pacaya — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · San Vicente Pacaya / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-12
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Vicente Pacaya / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-7c7ce1f4c083d40dc8aa3104
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS31.0%
- CABAL30.2%
- UNE17.3%
- VICTORIA17.2%
- VALOR2.6%
- AZUL1.2%
- UR0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · AXEL CATALINO GONZALEZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,711 | 31% | 4 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,641 | 30.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,516 | 17.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,508 | 17.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 230 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 104 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 46 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE33.2%
- VAMOS25.5%
- PC15.4%
- PODEMOS10.1%
- BIEN8.9%
- FCN-NACION2.6%
- LIBRE1.4%
- UNIONISTA1.3%
- FUEZA1.3%
- SEMILLA0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · AXEL CATALINO GONZALEZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,540 | 33.2% | 5 | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,955 | 25.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,179 | 15.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 777 | 10.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 685 | 8.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 197 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 104 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIONISTA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 103 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUEZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 98 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 22 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PP34.1%
- LIDER31.7%
- CREO- Unionista25.5%
- UNE8.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP · Albaro Alidio González | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,594 | 34.1% | 5 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Axel Catalino Gonzalez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,415 | 31.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Kiambell Rogelio Pineda Mazariegos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,944 | 25.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE · Juventino Antonio Pineda Morales | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 663 | 8.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI84.970–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.7994518044769308, oldest_gap=2.3503151260504183, previous_gap=7.637075718015666
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.05percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[17.313841936957516,30.961626313385107,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.72453174965739],[33.15926892950392,25.52219321148825,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.5718015665796345,1.3446475195822454,0.28720626631853785,37.114882506527415],[8.705357142857142,0,0,0,0,31.709558823529413,34.05987394957983,0,0,0,0,25.525210084033613]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility65.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[17.313841936957516,30.961626313385107,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.72453174965739],[33.15926892950392,25.52219321148825,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.5718015665796345,1.3446475195822454,0.28720626631853785,37.114882506527415],[8.705357142857142,0,0,0,0,31.709558823529413,34.05987394957983,0,0,0,0,25.525210084033613]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.91percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[17.313841936957516,30.961626313385107,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.72453174965739],[33.15926892950392,25.52219321148825,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.5718015665796345,1.3446475195822454,0.28720626631853785,37.114882506527415],[8.705357142857142,0,0,0,0,31.709558823529413,34.05987394957983,0,0,0,0,25.525210084033613]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albaro Alidio González | Alcalde | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Elder Humberto Morales González | Síndico I | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Juan Francisco Pineda Pineda | Síndico II | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Edvin Fernando Pineda Quezada | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Felix Andres Pineda Ronquillo | Concejal 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Francisco Arturo Díaz Aceituno | Concejal 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Edgar Vitelio Mejicanos del Cid | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Fredi Matilde Pineda Alfaro | Concejal 4 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Juan Francisco Pineda Mencos | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Ramiro Peralta Rodríguez | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| AXEL CATALINO GONZALEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| OTTO ARIAS PINEDA | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MIGUEL CATALINO PONCIANO ECHEVERRÍA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN ARNOLDO DÁVILA MONTENEGRO | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FIDELINO PINEDA MEJÍA | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JOSÉ DIMAS RAMÍREZ PASCUAL | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO GONZALEZ ACEITUNO | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| SOCORRO ANTONIO CRUZ SANTIZO | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| VICTOR MANUEL DÍAZ ACEITUNO | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| HANCI FRANCISCO ALVAREZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | VAMOS | unknown |
| AXEL CATALINO GONZALEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MAMERTO PALENCIA GARCIA | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| AUGUSTO ELISEO MEJICANOS DEL CID | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FIDELINO PINEDA MEJIA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| DEMETRIO VALDEMAR ARIAS MEJICANOS | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| FREDI MATILDE PINEDA ALFARO | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| CARMEN ANTONIO PONCIANO REYES | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VICTORIA | unknown |
| OTTO ARIAS PINEDA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE OMAR PINEDA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JUAN MIGUEL RECINOS LIMA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Vicente Pacaya — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-12. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.