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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Iztapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Iztapa / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-10

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Iztapa / Escuintla
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-6e6ac1e509551d17c9a9e866
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR48.0%
  • UNE47.9%
  • CABAL3.1%
  • PODER0.7%
  • PHG0.3%
Results for event-f0402e076cdff3173249c775
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · JONATAN JOSUE ZARCEÑO CORTEZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,62848%6Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,61747.9%2Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233653.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODERguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023810.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023360.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-08-11

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PC49.9%
  • UNE34.3%
  • UNIONISTA12.5%
  • CONVERGENCIA0.9%
  • PAN0.7%
  • UCN0.4%
  • VAMOS0.4%
  • FCN-NACION0.3%
  • CCTPI0.3%
  • TODOS0.2%
  • SEMILLA0.1%
Results for event-f9a8ffbe5b8865d3ba2dfa10
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PC · MARIO ROLANDO MEJIA ALFAROguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194,56149.9%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,13734.3%2Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,13912.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019820.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PANguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019610.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019400.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019390.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019280.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CCTPIguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019240.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019200.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201970.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER54.6%
  • PP42.0%
  • UNE3.4%
Results for event-ad637d082c0ec92bdf5be7bc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Edwin Rolando Chicas Telonguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155,22154.6%5Recorded
PP · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,02242%2Recorded
UNE · Eswin Herlindo Álvarez Sipaqueguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153243.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.080–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.09380063102242531, oldest_gap=12.532664367095222, previous_gap=15.583278616765156

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.898013132088344,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,52.10198686791166],[34.329174874151896,0.42678923177938277,0.2188662727073758,0.4377325454147516,0,0,0,0,0.3064127817903261,12.464434230685052,0.07660319544758153,51.739986868023635],[3.3866415804327374,0,0,0,0,54.57301139333124,42.04034702623602,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

96.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.898013132088344,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,52.10198686791166],[34.329174874151896,0.42678923177938277,0.2188662727073758,0.4377325454147516,0,0,0,0,0.3064127817903261,12.464434230685052,0.07660319544758153,51.739986868023635],[3.3866415804327374,0,0,0,0,54.57301139333124,42.04034702623602,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.898013132088344,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,52.10198686791166],[34.329174874151896,0.42678923177938277,0.2188662727073758,0.4377325454147516,0,0,0,0,0.3064127817903261,12.464434230685052,0.07660319544758153,51.739986868023635],[3.3866415804327374,0,0,0,0,54.57301139333124,42.04034702623602,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Edwin Rolando Chicas TelonAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Endhir Ribelino Barrientos y BarrientosSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Walfre Ottoniel Minera MonzónSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
VACANTESíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Mario Rolando Mejia AlfaroConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Alfredo Sierra VillegasConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Ismael Archila GallardoConcejal 32015PPunknown
Rocael Franco GrajedaConcejal 42015PPunknown
Julio Romeo Morales HernandezConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Emilio Garcia RamirezConcejal suplente 22015PPunknown
MARIO ROLANDO MEJIA ALFAROALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019PCunknown
WALFRE OTTONIEL MINERA MONZONSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019PCunknown
ALFREDO SIERRA VILLEGASSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
EMILIO GARCIA RAMIREZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
ENDHIR RIBELINO BARRIENTOS Y BARRIENTOSCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019PCunknown
ISMAEL ARCHILA GALLARDOCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019PCunknown
ELMER BELSUE GRANADOS SOTOCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
ALBERT GEOVANY MORALES RODRIGUEZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
HECTOR DAVID DIAZ CHINCHILLAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
ALBERTO CEBALLOS HERRERASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
JONATAN JOSUE ZARCEÑO CORTEZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALORunknown
ANDY RODOLFO CASTILLO OCHOASINDICO I2023VALORunknown
SELVIN OMAR GARCIA AVILASINDICO II2023VALORunknown
ALBERT GEOVANY MORALES RODRIGUEZCONCEJAL I2023VALORunknown
PABLO ABRAHAM RUIZ ZACARIASCONCEJAL II2023VALORunknown
JULIO FRANCISCO PEREZ MARTINEZCONCEJAL III2023VALORunknown
WALFRE OTTONIEL MINERA MONZONCONCEJAL IV2023UNEunknown
HECTOR DAVID DIAZ CHINCHILLACONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
ALEXI ROBERTO FAJARDO ALVARADOSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
JENNYFHER ZELADA CORADO DE SANTOSCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
MAYRA ELISET CONDE SALAZAR DE CASTAÑEDACONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Iztapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-10. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.