Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San José — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · San José / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-09

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San José / Escuintla
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-d578e5d4e4c88d0b1fa68612
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR32.1%
  • VAMOS22.8%
  • UNE21.6%
  • PPN7.2%
  • ELEFANTE5.4%
  • TODOS3.0%
  • VIVA2.7%
  • CABAL1.1%
  • SEMILLA1.0%
  • MAR0.8%
  • PODER0.6%
  • AZUL0.4%
  • MLP0.3%
  • PR0.3%
  • MI FAMILIA0.2%
  • WINAQ0.2%
  • UR0.1%
Results for event-95e92131fd085d1f78292ed6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · MARCOS ODILIA GONZALEZ GARCIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20237,34532.1%6Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,21622.8%2Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,92921.6%2Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,6527.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ELEFANTEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,2465.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236853%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236182.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232581.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232271%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MARguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231790.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODERguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231450.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023880.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023800.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023780.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023570.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023370.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023240.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE42.1%
  • BIEN22.9%
  • PC17.8%
  • VALOR4.3%
  • VAMOS2.4%
  • PPT2.3%
  • FUERZA2.3%
  • LIBRE1.7%
  • VIVA1.5%
  • TODOS1.0%
  • MLP0.8%
  • PODEMOS0.5%
  • CONVERGENCIA0.3%
  • FCN-NACION0.3%
Results for event-f5fee9f3c89bf730d43a0db2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · MARCO VINICIO NAJARRO CRUZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199,34242.1%6Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195,08222.9%1Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,96217.8%1Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199594.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195372.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPTguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195062.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195012.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193751.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193231.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192131%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191670.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191080.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019680.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019620.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PP30.0%
  • TODOS25.9%
  • UCN12.3%
  • LIDER11.3%
  • UNE8.9%
  • URNG MAIZ6.3%
  • FCN NACION1.6%
  • CREO- Unionista1.5%
  • VIVA1.2%
  • FUERZA1.0%
Results for event-6b0556bef8a6f291f65a9423
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PP · Jorge Alberto Rizzo Moránguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156,25430%UnknownRecorded
TODOS · Marco Vinicio Najarro Cruzguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155,38625.9%UnknownRecorded
UCN · Caleb Hilcias Ortiz Sánchezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,56512.3%UnknownRecorded
LIDER · Walter Lemus Arroyoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,35911.3%UnknownRecorded
UNE · Fredy René Olivares Gonzálezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,8578.9%UnknownRecorded
URNG MAIZ · Higinio De La Cruz Floriánguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,3116.3%UnknownRecorded
FCN NACION · Hector Manuel Paredes Herradorguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153311.6%UnknownRecorded
CREO- Unionista · Aldo Leonel De Leon Villagranguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153121.5%UnknownRecorded
VIVA · José Esteban López Fuentesguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152421.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA · Cristobal Hernández Gutiérrezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152051%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.20–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.311581525542337, oldest_gap=4.168667755258859, previous_gap=19.18486827291151

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[21.557907627711685,22.813156053184045,2.9959762071378586,0,2.7029391182645206,0,0,0,0,0,0.9928271518544437,48.93719384184746],[42.07160549425805,2.418374240036028,0.9592434136455753,0,1.4546273361855437,0,0,0,0.2792163927043459,0,0,52.81693312317045],[8.918451637690904,0,25.866871578138507,12.31870137354721,1.1622322543463643,11.32936317356642,30.035539333397367,0,0,0,0,10.368840649313228]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

78.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[21.557907627711685,22.813156053184045,2.9959762071378586,0,2.7029391182645206,0,0,0,0,0,0.9928271518544437,48.93719384184746],[42.07160549425805,2.418374240036028,0.9592434136455753,0,1.4546273361855437,0,0,0,0.2792163927043459,0,0,52.81693312317045],[8.918451637690904,0,25.866871578138507,12.31870137354721,1.1622322543463643,11.32936317356642,30.035539333397367,0,0,0,0,10.368840649313228]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[21.557907627711685,22.813156053184045,2.9959762071378586,0,2.7029391182645206,0,0,0,0,0,0.9928271518544437,48.93719384184746],[42.07160549425805,2.418374240036028,0.9592434136455753,0,1.4546273361855437,0,0,0,0.2792163927043459,0,0,52.81693312317045],[8.918451637690904,0,25.866871578138507,12.31870137354721,1.1622322543463643,11.32936317356642,30.035539333397367,0,0,0,0,10.368840649313228]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Jorge Alberto Rizzo MoránAlcalde2015PPunknown
Hugo Orlando Calderón MoralesSíndico I2015PPunknown
Francisca Cruz GarcíaSíndico II2015PPunknown
Lorena Maritza Hernández Linares de BranSíndico Suplente2015PPunknown
Julio César Solares HernándezConcejal 12015PPunknown
Sergio Mauricio Enriquez MonzónConcejal 22015PPunknown
VACANTEConcejal 32015Unknownunknown
Reyna Vidalia Cordero Pérez de PérezConcejal 42015TODOSunknown
Felipe Oracio Navarijo BarrientosConcejal 52015UCNunknown
Gerson Guillermo González GuerreroConcejal suplente 12015PPunknown
Mario Rene Pérez VasquezConcejal suplente 22015TODOSunknown
MARCO VINICIO NAJARRO CRUZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019UNEunknown
FLOR DE MARÍA JURADO LÓPEZ LAUSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
VICTOR HUGO ROMERO MELGARSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
TITO NOEL MORALES RUANOSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
VENEDICTO GONZALEZ RUANOCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
MARIO DANILO SÁNCHEZ BONILLACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
IRENE OLIVARES CENTENOCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
JUAN PABLO SALVATIERRA NAJARROCONCEJAL CUARTO2019BIENunknown
JULIO CESAR CASTRO LOPEZCONCEJAL QUINTO2019PCunknown
OSCAR RIVELINO HERNÁNDEZ ARDÓNPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
MYNOR ATILIANO TORRES CRUZSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019BIENunknown
MARCOS ODILIA GONZALEZ GARCIAALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALORunknown
JOSE MARIA SANTOS CALITOSINDICO I2023VALORunknown
NANCY NATALIA SANDOVAL MARTINEZSINDICO II2023VALORunknown
JUAN PABLO SALVATIERRA NAJARROCONCEJAL I2023VALORunknown
JOSE EMILIO REVOLORIO ROMANCONCEJAL II2023VALORunknown
OTONIEL ALBERTO HERNANDEZ MEDINACONCEJAL III2023VALORunknown
VICTOR HUGO ROMERO MELGARCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
OSCAR RIVELINO HERNANDEZ ARDONCONCEJAL V2023VAMOSunknown
ERICK JAVIER DOMINGUEZ SALAZARCONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
VIRGILIO DE JESUS MONRROYCONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
GELBER MANUEL GRANADOS CONTRERASSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
CLAUDIA JOSEFINA MORATAYA LUNACONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
ALLENDE ROLDAN ESPAÑACONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown
SONIA UMAÑACONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Elected party not matched to vote party: {"id": "GT-M-05-09", "year": 2015, "issue": "Elected party not matched to vote party", "parties": [""], "pages": [354]}

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “San José — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-09. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.