Office briefing
La Gomera — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · La Gomera / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-07
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- La Gomera / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-dd7ccd6a09bf57e846e29f91
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS40.6%
- PODEMOS20.4%
- VIVA13.2%
- VALOR11.2%
- UNE8.9%
- CABAL2.6%
- VICTORIA1.9%
- MI FAMILIA0.7%
- PR0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · HECTOR HUGO CARDONA MORALES | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5,330 | 40.6% | 6 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,669 | 20.4% | 2 | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,729 | 13.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,464 | 11.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,168 | 8.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 339 | 2.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 250 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 89 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 74 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE27.6%
- PC21.6%
- UCN13.2%
- FCN-NACION10.7%
- TODOS7.9%
- VIVA5.6%
- PAN3.6%
- BIEN3.1%
- VAMOS2.3%
- SEMILLA1.9%
- VALOR1.7%
- FUERZA0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · FLORIDALMA MORALES CONTRERAS QUIÑONEZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 4,002 | 27.6% | 5 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 3,125 | 21.6% | 2 | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,907 | 13.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,548 | 10.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,143 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 813 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 527 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 447 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 332 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 280 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 244 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 115 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER33.0%
- PP31.5%
- UNE24.5%
- VIVA6.9%
- MI PAIS2.1%
- UCN2.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Martin Castillo Figueroa | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 6,323 | 33% | 5 | Recorded |
| PP · Francisco Javier Vásquez Montepeque | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 6,034 | 31.5% | 2 | Recorded |
| UNE · Floridalma Morales Contreras | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 4,702 | 24.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| VIVA · Obbed Ediberto Castañasa Mendizabal | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,325 | 6.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI PAIS · Byron Estuardo Hernández Castillo | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 403 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Julio César Marín Estrada | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 379 | 2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI29.280–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.29438682123246, oldest_gap=1.507878534905565, previous_gap=6.055375267555064
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.41percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.907870652837095,40.649786455155585,0,0,13.186394142769982,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.25594874923734],[27.63239660291376,2.292342746668508,7.892011323620797,13.167161499689291,5.613477870606919,0,0,0,10.688393288683283,0,1.9333011116481391,30.7809155561693],[24.53302723572994,0,0,1.9774600855681936,6.913283940310968,32.99071272044245,31.482834185536888,0,0,0,0,2.102681832411562]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility65.77percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.907870652837095,40.649786455155585,0,0,13.186394142769982,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.25594874923734],[27.63239660291376,2.292342746668508,7.892011323620797,13.167161499689291,5.613477870606919,0,0,0,10.688393288683283,0,1.9333011116481391,30.7809155561693],[24.53302723572994,0,0,1.9774600855681936,6.913283940310968,32.99071272044245,31.482834185536888,0,0,0,0,2.102681832411562]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.09percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.907870652837095,40.649786455155585,0,0,13.186394142769982,0,0,0,0,0,0,37.25594874923734],[27.63239660291376,2.292342746668508,7.892011323620797,13.167161499689291,5.613477870606919,0,0,0,10.688393288683283,0,1.9333011116481391,30.7809155561693],[24.53302723572994,0,0,1.9774600855681936,6.913283940310968,32.99071272044245,31.482834185536888,0,0,0,0,2.102681832411562]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Castillo Figueroa | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Armando Vidal Chajon García | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Hector Hugo Cota Estrada | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Jessica Fabiola Pérez Tobar | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Mario Portillo Amaya | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Vilma Marivel Santillano Rodas de Pineda | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Byron Milián Morales | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Noé de Jesús Muralles Valenzuela | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Carlos Roberto Esquivel y Esquivel | Concejal 5 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Isaias Sinay Luna | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Erwín Castillo López | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| FLORIDALMA MORALES CONTRERAS QUIÑONEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JORGE LUIS VILLATORIO CASTILLO | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| SELVIN ROMERO RODAS HERRERA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| OSCAR HUMBERTO MELENDEZ MADRID | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| LUIS FELIPE ALVARADO RODAS | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FERNANDO ESTEBAN SANTOS SISNEROS | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JUAN JOSE GUTIERREZ AROCHE | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| CRISTIAN EMANUEL PEÑA RODRIGUEZ | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| CAMILO CARBALLOS CHUB | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FELIPA GODOY VASQUEZ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| HECTOR HUGO CARDONA MORALES | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARIO ARTURO AGUILAR ARGUETA | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| CARLOS AMILCAR TINOCO ESTRADA | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| EDGAR ESTUARDO GRIJALVA ESPINOZA | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| EDWIN ABEL GUTIERREZ AROCHE | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| NORA LUZ FAJARDO ARIAS DE GUERRA | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MIGUEL ANGEL BERGANZA JURADO | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| JAIRON ISRAEL HERNANDEZ GUERRERO | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| ANNER ARIEL LOPEZ MEDINA | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | VIVA | unknown |
| MARIO ENRIQUE REYES RIVAS | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| JUDITH GUMERCINDA SANCHEZ DEL CID | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE ABEL COMAYAGUA SARAVIA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| BYRON GEOVANNI SANTIZO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| EDVIN ENRIQUE GONZALEZ DEL CID | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “La Gomera — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.