Office briefing
Tiquisate — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Tiquisate / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-06
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Tiquisate / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-9accda1f9c7b361b86557592
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CABAL26.2%
- PODEMOS24.4%
- VALOR17.4%
- UNE13.5%
- CAMBIO3.9%
- AZUL3.4%
- PR3.1%
- VICTORIA1.9%
- VIVA1.8%
- VAMOS1.4%
- PPN1.1%
- MLP0.6%
- UR0.6%
- VOS0.3%
- BIEN0.3%
- TODOS0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABAL · HECTOR HIPOLITO CIFUENTES RUANO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,484 | 26.2% | 6 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,175 | 24.4% | 2 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,979 | 17.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 2,315 | 13.5% | 1 | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 666 | 3.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 587 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 524 | 3.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 319 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 316 | 1.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 241 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 186 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 107 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 95 | 0.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 58 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 43 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 41 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UCN24.8%
- PC13.0%
- UNE12.3%
- FUERZA9.9%
- VICTORIA7.8%
- EG6.4%
- VIVA4.8%
- SEMILLA4.8%
- VAMOS4.6%
- FCN-NACION4.0%
- TODOS2.1%
- PHG1.5%
- MLP1.4%
- PODEMOS1.2%
- PPT0.8%
- LIBRE0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCN · JUAN FRANCISCO CARIAS VIVAR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 4,224 | 24.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,210 | 13% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,097 | 12.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,682 | 9.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,328 | 7.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| EG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,085 | 6.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 824 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 812 | 4.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 792 | 4.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 681 | 4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 350 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 263 | 1.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 245 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 210 | 1.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPT | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 131 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| LIBRE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 127 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE34.8%
- UCN26.8%
- LIDER15.8%
- PP4.9%
- TODOS3.8%
- URNG MAIZ3.6%
- EG2.2%
- PAN2.1%
- FCN NACION2.1%
- VIVA1.3%
- CCLM1.1%
- CREO- Unionista1.0%
- MR0.3%
- PRI0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · Hector Arnoldo Portillo Coronado | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 6,296 | 34.8% | 5 | Recorded |
| UCN · Juan Francisco Carias Vivar | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 4,860 | 26.8% | 2 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Mauricio Leonel Jarquín Pineda | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,864 | 15.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Nereida Siomara Díaz Nájera de Henkle | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 894 | 4.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS · Axel Estuardo Ochaita Reyes | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 695 | 3.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| URNG MAIZ · Alberto Carmelino Camey Chinchilla | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 645 | 3.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| EG · Fernando Enrique Hernández Barrientos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 400 | 2.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PAN · Noe Benjamín Pérez Rivera | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 383 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Jose Alfonso Adolfo Salazar | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 376 | 2.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA · Alma Lorena Alvarado Juárez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 234 | 1.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CCLM · Vacante | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 198 | 1.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Victor Manuel Sánchez Marroquín | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 179 | 1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MR · Marco Aurelio Leiva Jerez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 50 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PRI · Roberto René Calderón Natareno | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 34 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI72.920–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.803221288515406, oldest_gap=7.9301965981886475, previous_gap=11.80470077955571
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility41.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[13.509570494864613,1.4063958916900094,0.2392623716153128,0,1.8440709617180207,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.00070028011206],[12.291190434323896,4.6421663442940035,2.0514623996248753,24.758220502901352,4.829728620831135,0,0,0,3.991559697555829,0,4.759392767129711,42.676279233339194],[34.76916280097195,0,3.8380826154185996,26.8389662027833,1.2922465208747516,15.816213828142258,4.937044400265076,0,0,0,0,12.508283631544069]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility47.1percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[13.509570494864613,1.4063958916900094,0.2392623716153128,0,1.8440709617180207,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.00070028011206],[12.291190434323896,4.6421663442940035,2.0514623996248753,24.758220502901352,4.829728620831135,0,0,0,3.991559697555829,0,4.759392767129711,42.676279233339194],[34.76916280097195,0,3.8380826154185996,26.8389662027833,1.2922465208747516,15.816213828142258,4.937044400265076,0,0,0,0,12.508283631544069]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility44.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[13.509570494864613,1.4063958916900094,0.2392623716153128,0,1.8440709617180207,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.00070028011206],[12.291190434323896,4.6421663442940035,2.0514623996248753,24.758220502901352,4.829728620831135,0,0,0,3.991559697555829,0,4.759392767129711,42.676279233339194],[34.76916280097195,0,3.8380826154185996,26.8389662027833,1.2922465208747516,15.816213828142258,4.937044400265076,0,0,0,0,12.508283631544069]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Arnoldo Portillo Coronado | Alcalde | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Martin Corado del Cid | Síndico I | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Isrrael Ibarra Ramírez | Síndico II | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Hugo Romeo Ramos Dávila | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Cesar Antonio Cordón Lemus | Concejal 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Carlos Humberto Cabrera Lara | Concejal 2 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Luis Gabriel Contreras Monroy | Concejal 3 | 2015 | UCN | unknown |
| Jesus Alexander Trujillo Escobar | Concejal 4 | 2015 | UCN | unknown |
| Raúl Antonio Martínez Marroquín | Concejal 5 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Jose Israel Martínez García | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Jorge Luis Carrillo Millan | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | UCN | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO CARIAS VIVAR | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| ERNESTO TELON DIAZ | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| LUIS ALFREDO LOPEZ CASTAÑEDA | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| HELLY LORENA MAYORGA | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| VICTOR ARMANDO PEREZ RIVERA | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| LUISA FERNANDA BARILLAS CASTRO | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| FREDY ROLANDO MOLINA SOLORZANO | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| BAYRON ANIBAL GUEVARA ARITA | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| OSCAR ANTONIO GARZARO LEMUS | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | FUERZA | unknown |
| ELMER JEU GONZALEZ RAMIREZ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| ROXANA ELIZABETH GARCIA RAMOS | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| HECTOR HIPOLITO CIFUENTES RUANO | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| CARLOS HUMBERTO GONZALES BARRIOS | SINDICO I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ALEX DANILO MEZA ARANGO | SINDICO II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| JOSE LEE ADOLFO PEREZ | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| LUIS EMILIO SAJQUIN PEREZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| WALTER RAFAEL MORALES SOLORZANO | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| HUGO RENE ARDON RODAS | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| EDGAR JOEL PARADA MEDINA | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| KELVIN JOEL AGUILAR RODAS | CONCEJAL VI | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| AXEL ESTUARDO OCHAITA REYES | CONCEJAL VII | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| ANDRES CHOGUAJ MACARIO | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| LUIS ALFREDO SANDOVAL DAVILA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| KAREN EDITH ARANA CERNA | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| SAILY KARINA OROZCO FAJARDO DE CORDON | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE III | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Tiquisate — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-06. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.