Office briefing
Siquinalá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Siquinalá / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-04
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Siquinalá / Escuintla
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-127657038ceca71bfbf4b4d9
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VALOR41.3%
- VICTORIA15.4%
- PODEMOS14.9%
- CREO11.3%
- UNE5.0%
- VAMOS4.4%
- PHG2.7%
- VOS1.9%
- FCN-NACION1.7%
- TODOS0.9%
- BIEN0.3%
- MI FAMILIA0.2%
- CAMBIO0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALOR · DANIEL GONZALEZ JIMENEZ | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 4,459 | 41.3% | 6 | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,665 | 15.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,611 | 14.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,217 | 11.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 536 | 5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 477 | 4.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PHG | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 290 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 201 | 1.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 179 | 1.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 96 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 33 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MI FAMILIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 20 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5 | 0% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- CREO34.3%
- UNE25.3%
- UCN23.7%
- FUERZA8.4%
- FCN-NACION3.3%
- VAMOS2.8%
- PC1.6%
- PODEMOS0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CREO · EDGAR ROBERTO ALVAREZ VELIZ | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 3,299 | 34.3% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,430 | 25.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 2,279 | 23.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 809 | 8.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN-NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 315 | 3.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VAMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 265 | 2.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PC | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 154 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 63 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE28.6%
- CREO- Unionista25.8%
- PP19.4%
- LIDER19.3%
- TODOS6.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · Carlos Stuardo Dardón Grajeda | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,597 | 28.6% | 4 | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Edgar Roberto Álvarez Veliz | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 2,349 | 25.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| PP · Verny Danilo Veliz Porras | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,765 | 19.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| LIDER · Roy Enrique Soberanis Sánchez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,757 | 19.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS · Juan José Ramón Arévalo Montenegro | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 621 | 6.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI7.390–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=25.896746686439897, oldest_gap=2.7285730003300728, previous_gap=9.038901601830663
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility68.66percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.968022986375011,4.4211697098897025,0.889795161738808,0,0,0,0,11.28000741495968,1.6590972286588193,0,0,76.78190749837799],[25.275639692115664,2.7563969211566466,0,23.705013521947162,0,0,0,34.31454129394633,3.2764718119409193,0,0,10.671936758893281],[28.573000330069316,0,6.8324348113103754,0,0,19.331059522499725,19.41907800638134,0,0,0,0,25.844427329739244]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility64.05percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.968022986375011,4.4211697098897025,0.889795161738808,0,0,0,0,11.28000741495968,1.6590972286588193,0,0,76.78190749837799],[25.275639692115664,2.7563969211566466,0,23.705013521947162,0,0,0,34.31454129394633,3.2764718119409193,0,0,10.671936758893281],[28.573000330069316,0,6.8324348113103754,0,0,19.331059522499725,19.41907800638134,0,0,0,0,25.844427329739244]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility66.36percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.968022986375011,4.4211697098897025,0.889795161738808,0,0,0,0,11.28000741495968,1.6590972286588193,0,0,76.78190749837799],[25.275639692115664,2.7563969211566466,0,23.705013521947162,0,0,0,34.31454129394633,3.2764718119409193,0,0,10.671936758893281],[28.573000330069316,0,6.8324348113103754,0,0,19.331059522499725,19.41907800638134,0,0,0,0,25.844427329739244]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Stuardo Dardón Grajeda | Alcalde | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Nestor Omar Castillo García | Síndico I | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| César Augusto Xiloj Torres | Síndico II | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| José Miguel Gutiérrez Escobar | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Juan Pablo Godínez Guzmán | Concejal 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Pedro de Paz Soma | Concejal 2 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| Julio Otoniel González Lobos | Concejal 3 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Miguel Alfonso Sicay Marín | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Verny Darío Escobar Castellanos | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | UNE | unknown |
| Nora Johana Ramírez Ramos de Coronado | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | CREO-Unionista | unknown |
| EDGAR ROBERTO ALVAREZ VELIZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| ROGER GUILLERMO DAVILA MONTENEGRO | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| PEDRO ANTONIO GUTIERREZ ISPACHE | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| BERNARDO LÓPEZ LUIS | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| JUAN ALBERTO MACHUCA ALVAREZ | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| ELMER SALGUERO SARCEÑO | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| MANUEL AUGUSTO GUZMAN DE LA ROCA | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| NERY ALEXADER SANDOVAL | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| MARIANDRE ORTEGA PINZON | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | CREO | unknown |
| JUAN FRANCISCO LÓPEZ RAXTÚN | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| DANIEL GONZALEZ JIMENEZ | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| CARLOS JOEL CHICOJ MIRANDA | SINDICO I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| ARGENTINA LEMUS GUZMAN | SINDICO II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| JUAN HUMBERTO ARCE PAMAL | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| ANA LUCIA CASTILLO DIAZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| CARLOS ALFONSO ALVAREZ MELGAR | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| NERY ALEXANDER SANDOVAL | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VICTORIA | unknown |
| IVAN EDUARDO HERNANDEZ CONTRERAS | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | PODEMOS | unknown |
| ROLANDO ZOMETA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| JORGE ANTONIO ELIAS PU CASTRO | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| ELDER GUSTAVO MUN JUAREZ | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Siquinalá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-04. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.