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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Escuintla — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Escuintla / Escuintla · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-05-01

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Escuintla / Escuintla
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-f8757426353559c8f16a700c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VICTORIA24.4%
  • UNE20.0%
  • VAMOS13.9%
  • VALOR6.2%
  • PODEMOS5.8%
  • CABAL4.3%
  • SEMILLA3.6%
  • VIVA3.5%
  • ELEFANTE2.5%
  • TCB2.1%
  • PPN2.0%
  • VOS1.9%
  • AZUL1.8%
  • BIEN1.5%
  • TODOS1.4%
  • U R N G - MAIZ1.2%
  • UR1.2%
  • PR0.8%
  • MLP0.6%
  • WINAQ0.5%
  • CAMBIO0.5%
  • MI FAMILIA0.4%
Results for event-a1d054b84b9c98fcb7d96bd5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VICTORIA · EDGAR ABRAHAM RIVERA ESTEVEZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202311,24024.4%8Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239,23120%3Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236,41713.9%2Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,8426.2%1Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,6815.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,9674.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,6433.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,5933.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ELEFANTEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,1392.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TCBguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239492.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20239402%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238551.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238131.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BIENguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236991.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236651.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
U R N G - MAIZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235601.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235391.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233490.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232850.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232510.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232310.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MI FAMILIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231990.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VICTORIA22.3%
  • UNE18.4%
  • CREO8.9%
  • BIEN8.6%
  • VAMOS5.8%
  • FCN-NACION5.5%
  • TODOS5.4%
  • PHG3.8%
  • UCN3.0%
  • VIVA2.6%
  • URNG MAIZ2.5%
  • SEMILLA2.5%
  • LIBRE2.4%
  • FUERZA1.3%
  • MLP1.2%
  • PC.1.1%
  • VALOR1.0%
  • PODEMOS0.9%
  • UNIONISTA0.9%
  • WINAQ0.8%
  • UNIDOS0.4%
  • CONVERGENCIA0.4%
  • PPT0.2%
Results for event-a6bf6f6e8abb01020e12298a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VICTORIA · EDGAR ABRAHAM RIVERA ESTEVEZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199,67222.3%8Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197,94818.4%3Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,8638.9%1Recorded
BIENguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,7048.6%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,5295.8%1Recorded
FCN-NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,3895.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,3245.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,6553.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,2953%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1292.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG MAIZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1012.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1002.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,0482.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195421.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195201.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PC.guatemala/S6d250220e847/20194741.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194391%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193900.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193750.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193550.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191870.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191560.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPTguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019810.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER23.5%
  • UNE18.1%
  • PP16.0%
  • FCN NACION10.4%
  • CREO- Unionista9.3%
  • TODOS7.3%
  • VIVA6.0%
  • PAN4.1%
  • MR2.0%
  • EU1.7%
  • FUERZA1.4%
Results for event-7bceaf48ae3091278a5275f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Edgar Abraham Rivera Estévezguatemala/S6241581360d0/201510,84023.5%7Recorded
UNE · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158,37318.1%2Recorded
PP · Lewis Armand Logan Orellanaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157,39916%2Recorded
FCN NACION · Guillermo Dominguez De Leonguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,81810.4%1Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Saira Azucena Morales Vasquez Del Valleguatemala/S6241581360d0/20154,3009.3%1Recorded
TODOS · Pablo Homero Collado Gironguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,3587.3%1Recorded
VIVA · Marvin Eduardo Carrera Martinezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,7866%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Jorge Alejandro Perez Rodriguezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,8894.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MR · Lucas Chapas Perezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20159352%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EU · Cesar Augusto Mont Salazarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158031.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Edgar Amilcar Segura Barzzolguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156551.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

78.270–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.359052247873631, oldest_gap=5.344917237195599, previous_gap=3.983732322765505

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[20.029074813400452,13.923363999305677,1.442891859052248,0,3.456431175143204,0,0,0,0,0,3.564919284846381,57.58331886825205],[18.36583787780756,5.8438857565394215,5.370182087069045,2.992420741288474,2.6088363064978277,0,0,8.926425732507626,5.520380811535262,0.8665311026897126,2.5418245678898232,46.96367501617525],[18.14065343617298,0,7.275327151399601,0,6.036051650922957,23.485570673368578,16.030418580466247,0,0,0,0,29.031978507669642]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[20.029074813400452,13.923363999305677,1.442891859052248,0,3.456431175143204,0,0,0,0,0,3.564919284846381,57.58331886825205],[18.36583787780756,5.8438857565394215,5.370182087069045,2.992420741288474,2.6088363064978277,0,0,8.926425732507626,5.520380811535262,0.8665311026897126,2.5418245678898232,46.96367501617525],[18.14065343617298,0,7.275327151399601,0,6.036051650922957,23.485570673368578,16.030418580466247,0,0,0,0,29.031978507669642]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[20.029074813400452,13.923363999305677,1.442891859052248,0,3.456431175143204,0,0,0,0,0,3.564919284846381,57.58331886825205],[18.36583787780756,5.8438857565394215,5.370182087069045,2.992420741288474,2.6088363064978277,0,0,8.926425732507626,5.520380811535262,0.8665311026897126,2.5418245678898232,46.96367501617525],[18.14065343617298,0,7.275327151399601,0,6.036051650922957,23.485570673368578,16.030418580466247,0,0,0,0,29.031978507669642]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Edgar Abraham Rivera EstévezAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Juan Carlos Ponza MolinaSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Roberto Estrada AlonzoSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Tomasa Yuque López de RamírezSíndico III2015LIDERunknown
Leonel Cristobal Reyes VargasSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Ovidio Benigno de Leon GirónConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Leslie Susan Guisela Maldonado SánchezConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Alex Geovani Lau MendozaConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Marco Tulio Mayorga PolancoConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Julio Cesar Arita GarcíaConcejal 52015UNEunknown
Rubén Dario Crespo ValenzuelaConcejal 62015PPunknown
Rocael Horlando Bachez ArchilaConcejal 72015PPunknown
Antonio Eduardo Montepeque BerthetConcejal 82015FCN-NACIÓNunknown
Jose Juan Martínez CeladaConcejal 92015CREO-Unionistaunknown
Elvia Fernanda Isabel Parraga MéndezConcejal 102015TODOSunknown
Fernando Desiderio de León ReyesConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Mario Adolfo de Leon CondeConcejal suplente 22015LIDERunknown
José Arturo Trejo CastañedaConcejal suplente 32015UNEunknown
José Alfredo Hernández HerreraConcejal suplente 42015PPunknown
EDGAR ABRAHAM RIVERA ESTEVEZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2019VICTORIAunknown
JUAN CARLOS PONSA MOLINASÍNDICO PRIMERO2019VICTORIAunknown
TOMASA YUQUE LOPEZ DE RAMIREZSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019VICTORIAunknown
NERY ARNOLDO ACEVEDO ARRECISSÍNDICO TERCERO2019VICTORIAunknown
LESLIE SUSAN GUISELA MALDONADO SANCHEZCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019VICTORIAunknown
ALEX GEOVANI LAU MENDOZACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019VICTORIAunknown
ROCAEL HORLANDO BACHEZ ARCHILACONCEJAL TERCERO2019VICTORIAunknown
MARIO ADOLFO DE LEON CONDECONCEJAL CUARTO2019VICTORIAunknown
VILMA LUCRECIA RODAS MURGACONCEJAL QUINTO2019UNEunknown
AXEL MISAEL SANTIAGO ALFAROCONCEJAL SEXTO2019UNEunknown
ANA MERCEDES RIVERA ROJASCONCEJAL SÉPTIMO2019UNEunknown
RUDY MARTIN PEREZ BARRIOSCONCEJAL OCTAVO2019CREOunknown
ADAN HERRARTE GONZALEZCONCEJAL NOVENO2019BIENunknown
JORGE NOÉ VASQUEZ AREVALOCONCEJAL DÉCIMO2019VAMOSunknown
KRISLY PAOLA LUCERO DE LEONPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VICTORIAunknown
ELMER GEOVANNY CUA ORTEGASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VICTORIAunknown
MYNOR ROBERTO CASTILLO PINEDATERCER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
YOHANA AZUCENA AQUINO DIAZCUARTO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
EDGAR ABRAHAM RIVERA ESTEVEZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VICTORIAunknown
JORGE NOE VASQUEZ AREVALOSINDICO I2023VICTORIAunknown
ADAN HERRARTE GONZALEZSINDICO II2023VICTORIAunknown
ALEX GEOVANI LAU MENDOZASINDICO III2023VICTORIAunknown
LESLIE SUSAN GUISELA MALDONADO SANCHEZCONCEJAL I2023VICTORIAunknown
JUAN CARLOS PONSA MOLINACONCEJAL II2023VICTORIAunknown
ROCAEL HORLANDO BACHEZ ARCHILACONCEJAL III2023VICTORIAunknown
ENIO SAMUEL MARROQUIN MERIDACONCEJAL IV2023VICTORIAunknown
AUGUSTO ROBERTO GUZMAN GALIANOCONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
VICTORIA GUADALUPE CARDONA OBREGONCONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
CHRISTIAN FERNANDO AREVALO VILLANUEVACONCEJAL VII2023UNEunknown
BYRON ADOLFO ARANA ROCACONCEJAL VIII2023VAMOSunknown
DIEGO JOSE SALGUERO SANTOSCONCEJAL IX2023VAMOSunknown
MARCO ANTONIO GODINEZ GUZMANCONCEJAL X2023VALORunknown
BYRON ESTUARDO GONZALEZ SARCEÑOSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VICTORIAunknown
KRISLY PAOLA LUCERO DE LEONCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VICTORIAunknown
ELMER GEOVANNY CUA ORTEGACONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VICTORIAunknown
MANUEL ALEJANDRO MORALES LEMUSCONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown
BORIS FEDERICO KELLY VANEGASCONCEJAL SUPLENTE IV2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Escuintla — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-05-01. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.