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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Tejar — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · El Tejar / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-16

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Tejar / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-43abb25f4f8f538ce7223689
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS48.6%
  • CABAL25.3%
  • UNIONISTA5.9%
  • UNE5.5%
  • PODEMOS4.9%
  • VALOR3.7%
  • VICTORIA2.4%
  • MLP1.6%
  • PPN1.2%
  • CAMBIO0.9%
Results for event-563cea947261050eba129148
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · JULIO AXEL FIGUEROA MUÑOZguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,68548.6%6Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,44325.3%2Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235725.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235275.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234744.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233563.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232312.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231561.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231181.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023830.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FCN NACION43.0%
  • LIBRE11.1%
  • VALOR9.1%
  • VIVA6.7%
  • UCN6.5%
  • PODEMOS5.3%
  • EG4.1%
  • UNE3.8%
  • VAMOS2.9%
  • TODOS2.6%
  • PC2.5%
  • PHG2.3%
Results for event-2588a83fcd062952fc4ba965
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FCN NACION · JULIO AXEL FIGUEROA MUÑOZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193,48643%6Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/201990311.1%1Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197419.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195416.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195286.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194315.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193304.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193103.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192382.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192132.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192002.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191882.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER32.0%
  • CONVERGENCIA13.6%
  • UNE12.1%
  • PP10.8%
  • FCN NACION10.5%
  • UCN10.0%
  • PROFE9.0%
  • TODOS2.0%
Results for event-7269da90d63d3cb64807a12d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Juan Jose Cua Hernándezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,89532%5Recorded
CONVERGENCIA · Sergio Llobani Tumax Sierraguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,23213.6%1Recorded
UNE · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,09412.1%1Recorded
PP · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/201597410.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Oscar Rubelsi De Mata Poronguatemala/S6241581360d0/201595110.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Denmar Andres Garcia Maycaguatemala/S6241581360d0/201590510%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PROFE · Miguel Angel Reyes Salazarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158139%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Ricardo Chali Cuxilguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151832%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.245204769310526, oldest_gap=18.38178401680115, previous_gap=31.853496115427298

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.463970969414205,48.57439087610161,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.930533955417315,0,40.031104199066874],[3.822912812923912,2.9350104821802936,2.6267110617832037,6.511283758786534,6.67159945739302,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.43248242693305],[12.092406322537858,0,2.022769978998563,10.003316016359014,0,31.999557864485464,10.765999778932242,0,0,0,0,33.11595003868686]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.463970969414205,48.57439087610161,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.930533955417315,0,40.031104199066874],[3.822912812923912,2.9350104821802936,2.6267110617832037,6.511283758786534,6.67159945739302,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.43248242693305],[12.092406322537858,0,2.022769978998563,10.003316016359014,0,31.999557864485464,10.765999778932242,0,0,0,0,33.11595003868686]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.463970969414205,48.57439087610161,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.930533955417315,0,40.031104199066874],[3.822912812923912,2.9350104821802936,2.6267110617832037,6.511283758786534,6.67159945739302,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.43248242693305],[12.092406322537858,0,2.022769978998563,10.003316016359014,0,31.999557864485464,10.765999778932242,0,0,0,0,33.11595003868686]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Juan Jose Cua HernándezAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Walfred Moreira LunaSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Elizabeth De Jesus Villeda GarcíaSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
VACANTESíndico Suplente2015Unknownunknown
Angelica del Rosario Patzán QuisqueConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Byron Antonio Mayca CastellanosConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Nelson Eduardo Subuyuc PatzánConcejal 32015CONVERGENCIAunknown
Percival Giovanni Salazar VillaseñorConcejal 42015UNEunknown
Hector Roderico López HernándezConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
VACANTEConcejal suplente 22015Unknownunknown
JULIO AXEL FIGUEROA MUÑOZALCALDE2019FCN NACIONunknown
DENNIS DAVID SULECIO VIELMANSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019FCN NACIONunknown
WILLIAM ESTUARDO MORALES AROCHESÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019FCN NACIONunknown
VIVIANA EUGENIA LARA ORTÍZSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019FCN NACIONunknown
DANIEL PABLO ORTIZCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019FCN NACIONunknown
JORGE OBDULIO MORALES FAJARDOCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019FCN NACIONunknown
MARTHA ODILIA HERNANDEZ SURANCONCEJAL TERCERO2019FCN NACIONunknown
FERMIN RAMIREZ ANDRESCONCEJAL CUARTO2019LIBREunknown
NIDIAN ELIZABETH LÓPEZ MORATAYA AGREDAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019FCN NACIONunknown
RENÉ PANGAN SEQUENSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019FCN NACIONunknown
JULIO AXEL FIGUEROA MUÑOZALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
PEDRO JOEL CHUQUIEJ COTZOJAYSINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
RENE PANGAN SEQUENSINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
FREDY ELADIO LOPEZ VELASQUEZCONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
JOSE PABLO GIL CHUYCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
MARTHA ODILIA HERNANDEZ SURANCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
TRINIDAD HERNANDEZCONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
CARLOS ENRIQUE SANCHEZ ALBALCONCEJAL V2023CABALunknown
MARIA ADRIANA AVILA SOCOPSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
NIDIAN ELIZABETH LOPEZ MORATAYA DE AGREDACONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
SANDRA LUCRECIA RODRIGUEZ ARANACONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023CABALunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Tejar — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-16. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.