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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Zaragoza — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Zaragoza / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-15

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Zaragoza / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-40bc79859170b5362d03aa77
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE20.9%
  • VAMOS20.7%
  • VALOR18.3%
  • CABAL14.2%
  • EL CHORRO5.3%
  • UNIONISTA5.3%
  • PODEMOS4.1%
  • PPN3.7%
  • VIVA3.2%
  • VOS1.6%
  • MLP1.3%
  • ELEFANTE1.0%
  • UR0.4%
Results for event-c96760f55b5b1511c559c954
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · JULIO ROBERTO GIRON PORRASguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,84220.9%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,82220.7%1Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,61218.3%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,24914.2%1Recorded
EL CHORROguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234665.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234655.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233584.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233253.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232793.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231411.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231151.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ELEFANTEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023861%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023380.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CCEZS32.0%
  • PC27.9%
  • PODEMOS15.7%
  • VIVA6.8%
  • UNE6.0%
  • TODOS3.3%
  • FUERZA3.2%
  • FCN NACION2.4%
  • VICTORIA1.4%
  • VALOR1.3%
Results for event-d3aabbf2f14df001631bcc74
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CCEZS · HUGO LEONEL PÉREZ MELÉNDEZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,37832%5Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,07327.9%1Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,16415.7%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195076.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194436%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192443.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192363.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191762.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191061.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019941.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE17.2%
  • ZPS16.5%
  • LIDER16.4%
  • TODOS11.0%
  • PP9.5%
  • PAN7.6%
  • AVION4.6%
  • VIVA3.7%
  • FCN NACION3.6%
  • PRI3.1%
  • UCN2.8%
  • CREO- Unionista2.3%
  • FUERZA1.4%
Results for event-a2e8fb5d2d3ba23107d00c89
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · Javier Francisco Santizo Lópezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,39517.2%4Recorded
ZPS · Hugo Leonel Pérez Meléndezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,33916.5%1Recorded
LIDER · Juan Francisco Cardenas Arguetaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,33116.4%1Recorded
TODOS · Julio Roberto Girón Porrasguatemala/S6241581360d0/201589111%1Recorded
PP · Obdulio Ariel Salazar Porrasguatemala/S6241581360d0/20157729.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Jilmar Roberto Perez Guzmanguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156177.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AVION · Mario Rene Davila Marroquínguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153764.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Luzvin De Los Ángeles Guzmán Meléndezguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153013.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Mario Siquinajay Marroquínguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152903.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · René Marroquín Aranaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152553.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Hector Rumaldo Marroquín Marroquínguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152292.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · José Domingo Marroquín Siquinajayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151852.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZA · Arsenio Arana Suletaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151151.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

92.810–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.22732439190725273, oldest_gap=0.6916996047430821, previous_gap=4.1099582266540935

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[20.936576494657878,20.709252102750625,0,0,3.1711752671061606,0,0,0,0,5.285292111843601,0,49.89770402364174],[5.969545883304137,0,3.2879665813232717,0,6.831963347257782,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.9105241881148],[17.23073122529644,0,11.005434782608695,2.8285573122529644,3.7178853754940713,16.440217391304348,9.535573122529645,0,0,0,0,39.241600790513836]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[20.936576494657878,20.709252102750625,0,0,3.1711752671061606,0,0,0,0,5.285292111843601,0,49.89770402364174],[5.969545883304137,0,3.2879665813232717,0,6.831963347257782,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.9105241881148],[17.23073122529644,0,11.005434782608695,2.8285573122529644,3.7178853754940713,16.440217391304348,9.535573122529645,0,0,0,0,39.241600790513836]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[20.936576494657878,20.709252102750625,0,0,3.1711752671061606,0,0,0,0,5.285292111843601,0,49.89770402364174],[5.969545883304137,0,3.2879665813232717,0,6.831963347257782,0,0,0,0,0,0,83.9105241881148],[17.23073122529644,0,11.005434782608695,2.8285573122529644,3.7178853754940713,16.440217391304348,9.535573122529645,0,0,0,0,39.241600790513836]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Javier Francisco Santizo LópezAlcalde2015UNEunknown
Jose Alvaro Cali ChaliSíndico I2015UNEunknown
Juan Ajozal SemeyaSíndico II2015UNEunknown
Yerinso Roberto Zamora GuerraSíndico Suplente2015UNEunknown
Mauro Elvidio Meléndez JerezConcejal 12015UNEunknown
Julio Adolfo Girón MarroquínConcejal 22015ZPSunknown
Nestor Amilcar Meléndez MarroquínConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Ader Rubén Monroy GarcíaConcejal 42015TODOSunknown
José Manuel Montufar MartínezConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
Mateo Armando Ramírez MarroquínConcejal suplente 22015ZPSunknown
HUGO LEONEL PÉREZ MELÉNDEZALCALDE2019CCEZSunknown
FRANCISCO JAVIER SÁNCHEZ SUYÚCSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019CCEZSunknown
MATEO ARMANDO RAMÍREZ MARROQUÍNSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019CCEZSunknown
PEDRO DE JESÚS RUANO MARROQUINSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019CCEZSunknown
FRANCISCO JAVIER ARANA MARROQUINCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019CCEZSunknown
JOSÉ MANUEL GUZMAN ARANACONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019CCEZSunknown
NESTOR AMILCAR MELÉNDEZ MARROQUÍNCONCEJAL TERCERO2019PCunknown
JOSE CARLOS CÓRDOVA ORTÍZCONCEJAL CUARTO2019PODEMOSunknown
CARLOS VINICIO ARGUETA RAMIREZPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CCEZSunknown
MARIA DEL PILAR MARROQUÍN CÁRDENAS TOJÍNSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019PCunknown
JULIO ROBERTO GIRON PORRASALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023UNEunknown
VICTOR MANUEL RODAS YOOLSINDICO I2023UNEunknown
DELFINO COSME PEREZ QUIÑONEZSINDICO II2023UNEunknown
EDIODORO MARROQUIN RUANOCONCEJAL I2023UNEunknown
NERY ALBERTO MAYEN GOMEZCONCEJAL II2023UNEunknown
FRANCISCO JAVIER ARANA MARROQUINCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
MARIO RENE DAVILA MARROQUINCONCEJAL IV2023VALORunknown
GLENDY MARIELA ZULETA RODRIGUEZCONCEJAL V2023CABALunknown
FRANCISCO ANTONIO PEREZ ARGUETASINDICO SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
ALVARO ARGUETA JEREZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023UNEunknown
CARLOS VINICIO ARGUETA RAMIREZCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023VAMOSunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Zaragoza — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-15. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.