Office briefing
Yepocapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Yepocapa / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-12
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Yepocapa / Chimaltenango
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-f7759b84a5c1cc62e9ba61c4
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-08-20
Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS51.6%
- UNE42.2%
- SEMILLA2.3%
- VALOR2.3%
- VOS0.5%
- MLP0.3%
- CAMBIO0.3%
- PPN0.3%
- AZUL0.2%
- PODEMOS0.1%
- ELEFANTE0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · BERNABE AJIN VICENTE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 6,434 | 51.6% | 6 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 5,261 | 42.2% | 2 | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 293 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 283 | 2.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 66 | 0.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 40 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 37 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PPN | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 34 | 0.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| AZUL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 19 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 8 | 0.1% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| ELEFANTE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 6 | 0% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- UNE58.2%
- UCN37.0%
- MLP3.2%
- VALOR1.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNE · BERNABÉ AJÍN VICENTE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 6,970 | 58.2% | 6 | Recorded |
| UCN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 4,429 | 37% | 2 | Recorded |
| MLP | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 383 | 3.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 186 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER60.2%
- UCN26.7%
- TODOS5.6%
- FCN NACION3.4%
- UNE1.6%
- URNG MAIZ1.4%
- VIVA0.9%
- CREO- Unionista0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Bernabe Ajin Vicente | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 6,792 | 60.2% | 7 | Recorded |
| UCN · José Antonio Cos Temal | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 3,008 | 26.7% | 1 | Recorded |
| TODOS · Marvín Yovany Sujuy Cos | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 636 | 5.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Reginaldo López Orizaba | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 387 | 3.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE · Marcos Antonio Cos Xia | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 175 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| URNG MAIZ · Julio Victor Pacheco García | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 156 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VIVA · Adrián Benito Juárez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 96 | 0.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO- Unionista · Noemi Margot Ramírez Xiaj de Zamora | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 24 | 0.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI23.180–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.398285393798574, oldest_gap=33.56395245698066, previous_gap=21.231617647058826
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.9percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[42.15207114814518,51.550356541943756,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.3475683038218094,3.950004006089255],[58.23863636363637,0,0,37.00701871657754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.754344919786096],[1.5522441014724144,0,5.64129856306546,26.68085861273727,0.8515167642362959,60.24481106971793,0,0,0,0,0,5.029270888770623]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility67.01percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[42.15207114814518,51.550356541943756,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.3475683038218094,3.950004006089255],[58.23863636363637,0,0,37.00701871657754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.754344919786096],[1.5522441014724144,0,5.64129856306546,26.68085861273727,0.8515167642362959,60.24481106971793,0,0,0,0,0,5.029270888770623]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.46percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[42.15207114814518,51.550356541943756,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.3475683038218094,3.950004006089255],[58.23863636363637,0,0,37.00701871657754,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.754344919786096],[1.5522441014724144,0,5.64129856306546,26.68085861273727,0.8515167642362959,60.24481106971793,0,0,0,0,0,5.029270888770623]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernabe Ajin Vicente | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Carlos Arnulfo Tejax Temal | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Esteban Chip Quebac | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Emilio Illu Xia | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Moises Bac Mox | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Josue Sujuy Poncio | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Nicolas Olegario Girón Umul | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Pablo Jiatz Per | Concejal 4 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Enrique Ismael Hernández García | Concejal 5 | 2015 | UCN | unknown |
| Andres Zamora | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Flavio Cos Sujuy | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| BERNABÉ AJÍN VICENTE | ALCALDE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| FELIPE VINICIO CHARÚC XIA | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ANTONIO CHARÚC BAC | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MARIA LORENA BAC MOX QUIQUINÁ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| MARVIN YOVANY SUJUY COS | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ERNESTO MATZIR COS | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ASTRID YERENA PÉREZ HERNÁNDEZ | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| JOSE LUIS YUTAN MOX | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| GERSON MOISES ILLU CHARUC | CONCEJAL QUINTO | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| JULIO RODOLFO COS COC | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| LILIA CARMELINA UMUL COS | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UCN | unknown |
| BERNABE AJIN VICENTE | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE LUIS YUTAN MOX | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FELIPE VINICIO CHARUC XIA | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARVIN YOVANY SUJUY COS | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| ASTRID YERENA PEREZ HERNANDEZ | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| GERSON MOISES ILLU CHARUC | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| LUIS MARDOQUEO COS CUC | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| JULIO ANTONIO MATZIR XINIC | CONCEJAL V | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
| JULIO CESAR SIAN UMUL | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JULIO RODOLFO COS COC | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| GLORIA MARINA CHARUC SIAN | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | UNE | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Yepocapa — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-12. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.