Office briefing
Santa Cruz Balanyá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Guatemala · Santa Cruz Balanyá / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-10
Read the complete original research briefing
Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Santa Cruz Balanyá / Chimaltenango
- Next election
- 2027-06-27
- Linked upcoming event
- next-3e3002d959c53890bbd7b79f
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-25
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- VAMOS37.4%
- CABAL28.8%
- VALOR16.2%
- PODEMOS11.4%
- UNE2.9%
- VICTORIA2.7%
- CAMBIO0.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS · ENIO OSWALDO JUAREZ ROQUEL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,759 | 37.4% | 5 | Recorded |
| CABAL | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 1,356 | 28.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| VALOR | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 761 | 16.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 536 | 11.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 136 | 2.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| VICTORIA | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 127 | 2.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CAMBIO | guatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023 | 32 | 0.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2019-06-16
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- PC38.5%
- UNE22.6%
- SEMILLA15.1%
- FUERZA9.5%
- CREO5.8%
- FCN NACION4.7%
- BIEN1.6%
- TODOS1.4%
- PODEMOS0.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PC · ENIO OSWALDO JUÁREZ ROQUEL | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 1,634 | 38.5% | 5 | Recorded |
| UNE | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 960 | 22.6% | 1 | Recorded |
| SEMILLA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 641 | 15.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| FUERZA | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 401 | 9.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| CREO | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 244 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 198 | 4.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| BIEN | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 69 | 1.6% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| TODOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 60 | 1.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| PODEMOS | guatemala/S6d250220e847/2019 | 33 | 0.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
2015-09-06
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown
- LIDER43.5%
- PP28.1%
- UNE10.9%
- FCN NACION7.9%
- UCN5.2%
- UNIDOS POR BALANYA4.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDER · Luis Everardo Chonay Sirin | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,768 | 43.5% | 6 | Recorded |
| PP · Edgar Augusto Coroy Juárez | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 1,142 | 28.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| UNE · José Gabriel Xicay | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 442 | 10.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| FCN NACION · Luis Alberto Chonay Sanic | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 322 | 7.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UCN · Salomón Estuardo Arroyave Cerón | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 213 | 5.2% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| UNIDOS POR BALANYA · Catarino Ruyan Chonay | guatemala/S6241581360d0/2015 | 182 | 4.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI42.780–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.561716592309324, oldest_gap=15.384615384615383, previous_gap=15.89622641509434
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.8893137879753557,37.36987465476949,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.74081155725515],[22.641509433962263,0,1.4150943396226414,0,0,0,0,5.754716981132075,0,0,15.117924528301886,55.070754716981135],[10.86261980830671,0,0,5.234701400835586,0,43.45047923322684,28.065863848611453,0,0,0,0,12.386335709019416]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility76.75percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.8893137879753557,37.36987465476949,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.74081155725515],[22.641509433962263,0,1.4150943396226414,0,0,0,0,5.754716981132075,0,0,15.117924528301886,55.070754716981135],[10.86261980830671,0,0,5.234701400835586,0,43.45047923322684,28.065863848611453,0,0,0,0,12.386335709019416]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.4percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.8893137879753557,37.36987465476949,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.74081155725515],[22.641509433962263,0,1.4150943396226414,0,0,0,0,5.754716981132075,0,0,15.117924528301886,55.070754716981135],[10.86261980830671,0,0,5.234701400835586,0,43.45047923322684,28.065863848611453,0,0,0,0,12.386335709019416]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
| Person | Role | As of | Affiliation | Principal? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Everardo Chonay Sirin | Alcalde | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Víctor Chipix Morales | Síndico I | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Donaldo Coroy Pata | Síndico II | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Jonatan Chonay Bal | Síndico Suplente | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| José Carlos Chonay Martin | Concejal 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Esdras Nehemias Juárez Sey | Concejal 2 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Juan Similox Tucubal | Concejal 3 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Enio Oswaldo Juárez Roquel | Concejal 4 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| Jaime Francisco González Sey | Concejal suplente 1 | 2015 | LIDER | unknown |
| Concha Mercedes López Raxtun | Concejal suplente 2 | 2015 | PP | unknown |
| ENIO OSWALDO JUÁREZ ROQUEL | ALCALDE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| EDGAR CHONAY CHONAY | SÍNDICO PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JONAS CHOLAC GONZALEZ | SÍNDICO SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| TRANSITO ASUNCIÓN PICHIYÁ PICHIYÁ | SÍNDICO SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| WENDELL ESTHUARDO TICHOC RUYÁN | CONCEJAL PRIMERO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JOSÉ FELIX ALONZO BOC | CONCEJAL SEGUNDO | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| JOSÉ CARLOS CHONAY MARTÍN | CONCEJAL TERCERO | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ERNESTO CALI RAXJAL | CONCEJAL CUARTO | 2019 | SEMILLA | unknown |
| MARIA ANTONIETA COROY CALÍ | PRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | PC | unknown |
| FRANCISCO GAMALIEL TOCAL PICHIYÁ | SEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE | 2019 | UNE | unknown |
| ENIO OSWALDO JUAREZ ROQUEL | ALCALDE MUNICIPAL | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| FRANCISCO SEY PATA | SINDICO I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JONAS CHOLAC GONZALEZ | SINDICO II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| WUENDEL ESTHUARDO TICHOC RUYAN | CONCEJAL I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE FELIX ALONZO BOC | CONCEJAL II | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| JOSE GABRIEL XICAY | CONCEJAL III | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
| ERNESTO CALI RAXJAL | CONCEJAL IV | 2023 | VALOR | unknown |
| TRANSITO ASUNCION PICHIYA PICHIYA | SINDICO SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARIA ISIDRA SIRIN RUYAN | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE I | 2023 | VAMOS | unknown |
| MARVIN ESTUARDO RAXJAL PER | CONCEJAL SUPLENTE II | 2023 | CABAL | unknown |
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
other · open
Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.
Sources
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20250225143526id_/https://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me/2023_Memoria_Elecciones.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20201027015650id_/http://www.tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2019.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: https://web.archive.org/web/20161124082300id_/http://tse.org.gt/images/memoriaselec/me2015.pdf · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
- Guatemala: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report) · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Cruz Balanyá — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-10. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.