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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Patzicía — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Patzicía / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-09

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Patzicía / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-35489192f8efb003660a2498
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • SAMAJEL39.9%
  • VAMOS19.8%
  • CABAL17.5%
  • TODOS15.8%
  • MLP2.1%
  • PODEMOS2.0%
  • VOS1.6%
  • UNE1.3%
Results for event-34ddab59bac05ffef28b6b7a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SAMAJEL · SERGIO ELEAZAR ESQUIT CANguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,61139.9%5Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,78019.8%1Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,46317.5%1Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232,22115.8%1Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233002.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232882%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232301.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231821.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS23.7%
  • CCE SAMAJEL17.9%
  • FUERZA16.5%
  • VIVA10.2%
  • VALOR7.5%
  • PODEMOS6.2%
  • UCN3.7%
  • UNIONISTA3.7%
  • CONVERGENCIA2.4%
  • TODOS2.2%
  • EG2.2%
  • UNE2.1%
  • LIBRE1.6%
Results for event-380ef4b6847b7398db6d2f33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · JOEL JUSTINIANO ESQUIT SANUMguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,95623.7%5Recorded
CCE SAMAJELguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,23017.9%1Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,05916.5%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,27310.2%1Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199327.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197776.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194633.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194623.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONVERGENCIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193042.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192742.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192692.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192582.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191941.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PAN17.0%
  • UCN15.9%
  • LIDER15.0%
  • VIVA13.4%
  • PP12.8%
  • CCEC9.8%
  • UNE6.9%
  • FCN NACION4.6%
  • TODOS3.9%
  • PRI0.8%
Results for event-61f80e169ae5ee0d65fff2d4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN · Silvestre Per Xarguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,23017%4Recorded
UCN · Joel Justiniano Esquit Sanumguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,08015.9%1Recorded
LIDER · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,96115%1Recorded
VIVA · Carlos Humberto Cujcuj Ajcivinacguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,76213.4%1Recorded
PP · Sergio Eleazar Esquit Canguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,67812.8%1Recorded
CCEC · Arturo Choy Ajquejayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,2789.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNE · Victor Manuel Ajcivinac Arreagaguatemala/S6241581360d0/20158986.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACION · Romeo Sis Muhunguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155974.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Ose Abdias Esquit Ajquejayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155143.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Vacanteguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151030.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.340–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.113676731793962, oldest_gap=1.144950767117015, previous_gap=5.8308569592803785

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.42percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.2930728241563054,19.75133214920071,15.779751332149202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.175843694493786],[2.072122721066581,23.741064974700826,2.200626455706369,3.7185768211388646,10.22407838727813,0,0,0,0,3.7105453377238775,0,54.332985302385346],[6.854438592473857,0,3.9233646286543014,15.876650637355928,13.449355011067857,14.96832302877643,12.80818258148233,0,0,0,0,32.1196855201893]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.2930728241563054,19.75133214920071,15.779751332149202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.175843694493786],[2.072122721066581,23.741064974700826,2.200626455706369,3.7185768211388646,10.22407838727813,0,0,0,0,3.7105453377238775,0,54.332985302385346],[6.854438592473857,0,3.9233646286543014,15.876650637355928,13.449355011067857,14.96832302877643,12.80818258148233,0,0,0,0,32.1196855201893]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.2930728241563054,19.75133214920071,15.779751332149202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,63.175843694493786],[2.072122721066581,23.741064974700826,2.200626455706369,3.7185768211388646,10.22407838727813,0,0,0,0,3.7105453377238775,0,54.332985302385346],[6.854438592473857,0,3.9233646286543014,15.876650637355928,13.449355011067857,14.96832302877643,12.80818258148233,0,0,0,0,32.1196855201893]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Silvestre Per XarAlcalde2015PANunknown
Manuel Yancoba AjsivinacSíndico I2015PANunknown
Israel Buch TozSíndico II2015PANunknown
Ifrain Esquit CanSíndico Suplente2015PANunknown
Erik Yovani Gómez XicayConcejal 12015PANunknown
Ricardo Ajquejay EsquitConcejal 22015UCNunknown
Mynor Armando Magzul MiculaxConcejal 32015LIDERunknown
Jose Luis Sanun MiculaxConcejal 42015VIVAunknown
Carlos Xico AjsacConcejal 52015PPunknown
Adan Toj MiculaxConcejal suplente 12015PANunknown
Andres Per YancobaConcejal suplente 22015UCNunknown
JOEL JUSTINIANO ESQUIT SANUMALCALDE2019VAMOSunknown
CESAR AUGUSTO AJSIVINAC SIÁNSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019VAMOSunknown
JOSÉ ELISEO GÓMEZ PEROBALSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019VAMOSunknown
JOSÉ LOCH CÁNSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019VAMOSunknown
JOSÉ MARÍA PANTEUL XICAYCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019VAMOSunknown
FRANCISCO CUA XICAYCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019VAMOSunknown
ALVARO ISAIAS MOSQUITO XICAYCONCEJAL TERCERO2019CCE SAMAJELunknown
PEDRO SISIMIT AJUCHANCONCEJAL CUARTO2019FUERZAunknown
VICTOR MANUEL MUJ COCCONCEJAL QUINTO2019VIVAunknown
ANDRÉS PER YANCOBAPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VAMOSunknown
JESUS XAR AJQUEJAYSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019CCE SAMAJELunknown
SERGIO ELEAZAR ESQUIT CANALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023SAMAJELunknown
JUAN JOSE ALONZO UMULSINDICO I2023SAMAJELunknown
SAUL OSIAS PEROBAL COJSINDICO II2023SAMAJELunknown
MIGUEL XICO AJUCHANCONCEJAL I2023SAMAJELunknown
JESUS XAR AJQUEJAYCONCEJAL II2023SAMAJELunknown
JOSE MARIA PANTEUL XICAYCONCEJAL III2023VAMOSunknown
MARCO ANTONIO RACANAC XICOCONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
OSCAR MARTIN SALOJCONCEJAL V2023TODOSunknown
MAXIMILIANO XETEY ESCOBARSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023SAMAJELunknown
TORIBIO CUA MACUCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023SAMAJELunknown
FELICIANO AJQUEJAY SIMALIJCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023SAMAJELunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Patzicía — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-09. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.