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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pochuta — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Pochuta / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-08

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pochuta / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-91ca4ece6759793ae1153f23
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VALOR30.0%
  • UNE29.1%
  • VAMOS23.3%
  • VICTORIA10.6%
  • PODEMOS2.7%
  • CAMBIO2.0%
  • MLP1.2%
  • AZUL0.8%
  • UNIONISTA0.3%
Results for event-f63e14c408ce335c94f884d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VALOR · LESTER JOEL GARCIA GUERREROguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,17330%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,13929.1%1Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202391223.3%1Recorded
VICTORIAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/202341410.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231042.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023802%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023471.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023330.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/2023100.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE34.5%
  • VALOR20.8%
  • FUERZA18.3%
  • VIVA14.3%
  • VAMOS5.4%
  • UCN3.5%
  • CREO3.2%
Results for event-2424797febff35ce513783d2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · JOSÉ BENJAMÍN VÁSQUEZ REYESguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,15134.5%5Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/201969420.8%1Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201961018.3%1Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S6d250220e847/201947914.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VAMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191825.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191183.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191063.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • LIDER31.3%
  • UNE27.3%
  • PP19.9%
  • FCN NACION9.6%
  • WINAQ3.4%
  • VIVA2.5%
  • CREO- Unionista2.3%
  • TODOS2.0%
  • UCN1.9%
Results for event-b7ad3d3fcb630d6111d39d7d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
LIDER · Héctor Gonzalo Alfaro Moscosoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,11131.3%5Recorded
UNE · Jose Benjamin Vasquez Reyesguatemala/S6241581360d0/201596727.3%1Recorded
PP · Gustavo Adolfo Ramirez Garciaguatemala/S6241581360d0/201570519.9%1Recorded
FCN NACION · Claudia Eugenia Seguraguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153419.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQ · Yembe Serato Urizar Otzoyguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151193.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Victor Hugo Doradea Guerraguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015882.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Flavio Samuel Zapeta Sutujguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015802.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOS · Waldemar Suar Nicolasguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015702%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Francisco Tepen Yoxonguatemala/S6241581360d0/2015671.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

74.840–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.8691206543967276, oldest_gap=4.058624577226606, previous_gap=13.682634730538922

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[29.11554192229039,23.312883435582823,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2556237218813906,0,47.315950920245406],[34.461077844311376,5.449101796407185,0,3.532934131736527,14.341317365269461,0,0,3.1736526946107784,0,0,0,39.04191616766467],[27.254791431792558,0,1.9729425028184893,1.8883878241262684,2.480270574971815,31.313416009019164,19.870349492671927,0,0,0,0,15.219842164599775]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[29.11554192229039,23.312883435582823,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2556237218813906,0,47.315950920245406],[34.461077844311376,5.449101796407185,0,3.532934131736527,14.341317365269461,0,0,3.1736526946107784,0,0,0,39.04191616766467],[27.254791431792558,0,1.9729425028184893,1.8883878241262684,2.480270574971815,31.313416009019164,19.870349492671927,0,0,0,0,15.219842164599775]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.78percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[29.11554192229039,23.312883435582823,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.2556237218813906,0,47.315950920245406],[34.461077844311376,5.449101796407185,0,3.532934131736527,14.341317365269461,0,0,3.1736526946107784,0,0,0,39.04191616766467],[27.254791431792558,0,1.9729425028184893,1.8883878241262684,2.480270574971815,31.313416009019164,19.870349492671927,0,0,0,0,15.219842164599775]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Héctor Gonzalo Alfaro MoscosoAlcalde2015LIDERunknown
Brenda Azucena Salvador GálvezSíndico I2015LIDERunknown
Cruz Enrique Callejas RamírezSíndico II2015LIDERunknown
Arturo Luis BochSíndico Suplente2015LIDERunknown
Rudy Amilcar Noj GomezConcejal 12015LIDERunknown
Aurelio Cojom de la CruzConcejal 22015LIDERunknown
Jose Armando Rosales HernandezConcejal 32015UNEunknown
Gladys Patricia Ortega JuarezConcejal 42015PPunknown
Celia Lily Chacon Juarez de MaldonadoConcejal suplente 12015LIDERunknown
Rony Sutuj QuexConcejal suplente 22015UNEunknown
JOSÉ BENJAMÍN VÁSQUEZ REYESALCALDE2019UNEunknown
ALAN ESTUARDO RAMOS NOJSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
MARIO RODOLFO TEO GIRÓNSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
YAMIL WILFREDO BATZ PABLOSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
JOSÉ HUMBERTO ANDRES ANDRESCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019UNEunknown
VILMA MARILY CHENOL GONZÁLEZ AGUILARCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019UNEunknown
NELSON ONELIO MALDONADO CHONAYCONCEJAL TERCERO2019VALORunknown
HERBER WILFREDO MORALES CHONAYCONCEJAL CUARTO2019FUERZAunknown
LOIDA EUNICE CHAVAC SUARPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
HOSBALDO SARBELIO CALDERON LIMASEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VALORunknown
LESTER JOEL GARCIA GUERREROALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VALORunknown
JIMMY LEO VAN DE LEON ALEMANSINDICO I2023VALORunknown
SALVADOR DE JESUS XICAYSINDICO II2023VALORunknown
LUIS ANTONIO PEREZ GUERRACONCEJAL I2023VALORunknown
JULIAN QUECHE NICOLASCONCEJAL II2023VALORunknown
JOSE ENRIQUE MARTIN NORIEGACONCEJAL III2023UNEunknown
JOSE HUMBERTO ANDRES ANDRESCONCEJAL IV2023VAMOSunknown
EVERARDO RANCK PRIMEROSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
VILMA BEATRIZ QUEVEDO CASTROCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VALORunknown
FRANK WERNER LOPEZ ALEMANCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Pochuta — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-08. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.