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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Patzún — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Guatemala · Patzún / Chimaltenango · municipal · Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballotGT-M-03-07

Read the complete original research briefing

Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Patzún / Chimaltenango
Next election
2027-06-27
Linked upcoming event
next-d8c527228b622ec320da9154
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-27 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-25

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS23.2%
  • CABAL19.6%
  • UNE18.3%
  • UNIONISTA14.3%
  • URNG-MAIZ WINAQ6.4%
  • TODOS3.7%
  • VIVA3.0%
  • PODEMOS2.7%
  • MLP2.4%
  • VOS2.0%
  • AZUL1.9%
  • VALOR1.2%
  • PPN0.6%
  • PHG0.5%
  • CAMBIO0.5%
Results for event-285e5333abc6f84bc9a005da
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · GUADALUPE COJTI XULUguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235,15123.2%5Recorded
CABALguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,35919.6%2Recorded
UNEguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234,06818.3%2Recorded
UNIONISTAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20233,17414.3%1Recorded
URNG-MAIZ WINAQguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231,4196.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20238163.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVAguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236573%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20236072.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20235252.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VOSguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234402%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
AZULguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20234181.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20232641.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PPNguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231290.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231110.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CAMBIOguatemala/S86641369d4ca/20231050.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • VAMOS28.9%
  • UNE25.8%
  • PODEMOS11.5%
  • WINAQ5.8%
  • VALOR5.0%
  • CREO3.9%
  • URNG MAIZ3.9%
  • PC3.1%
  • TODOS2.1%
  • MLP1.9%
  • UCN1.7%
  • PP VICTORIA1.6%
  • LIBRE1.5%
  • SEMILLA1.2%
  • FCN NACION0.8%
  • FUERZA0.6%
  • PHG0.5%
  • UNIDOS0.2%
Results for event-2c93d3e1ef2e2a09ad69cd6d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
VAMOS · GUADALUPE COJTI XULUguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195,62728.9%5Recorded
UNEguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195,02125.8%2Recorded
PODEMOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192,22911.5%1Recorded
WINAQguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191,1385.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VALORguatemala/S6d250220e847/20199685%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREOguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197683.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
URNG MAIZguatemala/S6d250220e847/20197553.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PCguatemala/S6d250220e847/20195943.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
TODOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/20194172.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MLPguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193651.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCNguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193221.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PP VICTORIAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20193171.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
LIBREguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192891.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SEMILLAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20192371.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FCN NACIONguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191630.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FUERZAguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191110.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PHGguatemala/S6d250220e847/20191050.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOSguatemala/S6d250220e847/2019350.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-09-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNE19.1%
  • TODOS16.4%
  • PP13.8%
  • LIDER12.5%
  • FCN NACION11.6%
  • URNG MAIZ8.6%
  • CREO- Unionista4.3%
  • UCN4.2%
  • WINAQ3.4%
  • PRI1.8%
  • PAN1.7%
  • EG1.6%
  • VIVA0.9%
Results for event-94cf85a186413545973a2b39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNE · Reyes Patal Yosguatemala/S6241581360d0/20153,12219.1%4Recorded
TODOS · Guadalupe Cojti Xuluguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,68316.4%1Recorded
PP · Mardoqueo Cancax Sacachguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,26313.8%1Recorded
LIDER · Alberta Lidia Teleguario Coy de Sincalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152,04412.5%1Recorded
FCN NACION · Lorenzo Julián Batz Itzolguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,89911.6%1Recorded
URNG MAIZ · Gonzalo Ball Ajuguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151,4158.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CREO- Unionista · Marcelino Sincal Higuatemala/S6241581360d0/20157094.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UCN · Faustino Maczul Sipacguatemala/S6241581360d0/20156954.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
WINAQ · Mario Eliseo Xinico Guitzolguatemala/S6241581360d0/20155583.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PRI · Encarnación Batz Xuluguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152881.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PAN · Isaac Ajbal Xicayguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152801.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
EG · Enrique Vinicio Solis Santizoguatemala/S6241581360d0/20152621.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA · Ricardo Cujcuj Patalguatemala/S6241581360d0/20151500.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Final TSE report returns for 2023, 2019 and 2015, where this municipality existed. Court-ordered repeated contests and later replacements require the dated event review. The 2027 office call is pending.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.5606707728274074, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=3.113920147988285

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.288899878613496,23.157847412669156,3.6685698871555097,0,2.953738254731826,0,0,0,0,14.26965786989165,0,37.66128669693836],[25.800318585889727,28.914238733878012,2.1427470325265916,1.6545912337495503,0,0,0,3.9463542469554493,0,0,1.2178202558964082,36.323929911104265],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.288899878613496,23.157847412669156,3.6685698871555097,0,2.953738254731826,0,0,0,0,14.26965786989165,0,37.66128669693836],[25.800318585889727,28.914238733878012,2.1427470325265916,1.6545912337495503,0,0,0,3.9463542469554493,0,0,1.2178202558964082,36.323929911104265],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eleven exact standalone party labels in the certified tables. Coalition ballots, civic committees, unverified renamed parties and all others remain Other. Dissolved and newly entering parties can move to/from zero; this is not a voter-transfer estimate. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["UNE","VAMOS","TODOS","UCN","VIVA","LIDER","PP","CREO","FCN-NACION","UNIONISTA","SEMILLA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.288899878613496,23.157847412669156,3.6685698871555097,0,2.953738254731826,0,0,0,0,14.26965786989165,0,37.66128669693836],[25.800318585889727,28.914238733878012,2.1427470325265916,1.6545912337495503,0,0,0,3.9463542469554493,0,0,1.2178202558964082,36.323929911104265],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
Reyes Patal YosAlcalde2015UNEunknown
Elviro Cocon BochSíndico I2015UNEunknown
Francisco Javier Sicajan IxenSíndico II2015UNEunknown
Mario Tucubal CapirSíndico Suplente2015UNEunknown
Carlos Sir SitanConcejal 12015UNEunknown
Hilario Sipac IxenConcejal 22015TODOSunknown
Alejandro Teleguario IxenConcejal 32015PPunknown
Cleto Juan Baran RaquecConcejal 42015LIDERunknown
Jose Efrain Cujcuj RaquecConcejal 52015FCN-NACIÓNunknown
Rodolfo Cocon TujalConcejal suplente 12015UNEunknown
Bonifacio Aju AjuConcejal suplente 22015TODOSunknown
GUADALUPE COJTI XULUALCALDE2019VAMOSunknown
NESTOR ROLANDO AJÚ LOPEZSÍNDICO PRIMERO2019VAMOSunknown
BONIFACIO AJÚ AJÚSÍNDICO SEGUNDO2019VAMOSunknown
EVERILDO SANÚM SAQUECSÍNDICO SUPLENTE2019VAMOSunknown
LORENZO SIPAC CALCÁCONCEJAL PRIMERO2019VAMOSunknown
ABEL JOCHOLÁ CANCAXCONCEJAL SEGUNDO2019VAMOSunknown
CARLOS SIR SITÁNCONCEJAL TERCERO2019UNEunknown
JOSE EFRAIN CUJCUJ RAQUECCONCEJAL CUARTO2019UNEunknown
CARLOS DAVID ALVAREZ MONTOYACONCEJAL QUINTO2019PODEMOSunknown
DANIEL CANÚ PATALPRIMER CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019VAMOSunknown
MARCELO MUXTAY YOSSEGUNDO CONCEJAL SUPLENTE2019UNEunknown
GUADALUPE COJTI XULUALCALDE MUNICIPAL2023VAMOSunknown
JOSE EFRAIN CUJCUJ RAQUECSINDICO I2023VAMOSunknown
EFRAIN AJU AJUSINDICO II2023VAMOSunknown
ABEL JOCHOLA CANCAXCONCEJAL I2023VAMOSunknown
CARLOS SIR SITANCONCEJAL II2023VAMOSunknown
OSCAR EDUARDO SINCAL COYOTECONCEJAL III2023CABALunknown
VILMA MARLENY XICAY SICAJAN DE COCONCONCEJAL IV2023CABALunknown
CARLOS ROLANDO SIPAC AJUCONCEJAL V2023UNEunknown
EDWIN LIZANDRO XICO XIQUINCONCEJAL VI2023UNEunknown
LUCIO NATANAEL SEQUECH AJUCONCEJAL VII2023UNIONISTAunknown
JUAN AJBAL SITANSINDICO SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
LEONARDO ITZOL YOSCONCEJAL SUPLENTE I2023VAMOSunknown
MARVIN DAVID IXEN CANCONCEJAL SUPLENTE II2023CABALunknown
VICTOR GONZALES COYOTECONCEJAL SUPLENTE III2023UNEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Votes do not reconcile to printed emitted total: {"id": "GT-M-03-07", "year": 2015, "issue": "Votes do not reconcile to printed emitted total", "difference": -102, "pages": [344]}

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2015 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2015. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2019 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2019. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

  • other · open

    Country screen evidence: TSE Memoria Electoral 2023 — final municipal votes and adjudications (archived official report); Archived primary final electoral report; downloaded and parsed; source date 2023. All 340 municipalities have certified 2015/2019/2023 evidence, including valid repeated polls. Three usable vote series are available for 324 offices. Thirteen vote discrepancies, thirteen seat discrepancies and four mayor-proclamation issues remain flagged. Superseded initial polls are not extra cycles. Current incumbents and later replacements remain to be checked.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Patzún — Municipal corporation — shared mayor/council ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/GT-M-03-07. Sources: guatemala--url-e1fb17bd9b2b6a792a269e9e, guatemala--url-af4ae16617a8a33434830962, guatemala--url-62f5b3430b66377f9a7c4645, guatemala--S86641369d4ca, guatemala--S6d250220e847, guatemala--S6241581360d0.